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New Publications
The Next Arms Race, by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski. As the United States and Russia negotiate to bring their number of deployed nuclear weapons down, China, India, Pakistan, and Israel continue to bump their numbers up while a growing number of smaller states develop "peaceful" nuclear programs that will bring them closer to getting bombs if they choose. Welcome to the brave new world of tighter, more opaque nuclear competitions, the focus of The Next Arms Race — a must read for policy analysts and planners eager to understand and prevent the worst.

Against All Odds: Relations between NATO and the MENA Region, by Dr. Florence Gaub. Whereas NATO had no relationships with the Middle East and North Africa at all until 1994, it has expanded now to an extent where the League of Arab States mandated its Libya mission in 2011. This monograph explains this unlikely development.

Culture, Identity, and Information Technology in the 21st Century: Implications for U.S. National Security, by Dr. Pauline Kusiak. The author describes strategic trends in cultural change and identity formation in the 21st century and suggests that the beliefs and values of foreign societies may increasingly, and more directly, impact our own national security in a future dominated by information technology.

Arms Control and European Security, edited by Dr. Stephen J. Blank, COL Louis H. Jordan, Jr. Is the Conventional Armed Forces in Europe Treaty dead, or waiting to be reborn? These three papers from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Russia illuminate the complexities and dilemmas facing any attempt to raise the vexed issue of conventional arms control in Europe.

Transnational Organized Crime, Terrorism, and Criminalized States in Latin America: An Emerging Tier-One National Security Priority, by Douglas Farah. The emergence of new hybrid (state and nonstate) transnational criminal/terrorist franchises in Latin America operating under broad state protection now pose a tier-one security threat for the United States. Similar hybrid franchise models are developing in other parts of the world, making understanding the new dynamics an important factor in a broader national security context.

Coming Soon
Perspectives on Russian Foreign Policy, edited by Stephen J. Blank

Russia's Homegrown Insurgency: Jihad in the North Caucasus, edited by Stephen J. Blank

Russia and the Current State of Arms Control, edited by Stephen J. Blank

Hidden Dragon, Crouching Lion: How China's Advance in Africa is Underestimated and Africa's Potential Underappreciated, by David E. Brown

The Prospects for Security Sector Reform in Tunisia: A Year After the Revolution, by Querine Hanlon

Lead Me, Follow Me, Or Get Out Of My Way: Rethinking And Refining The Civil-Military Relationship, by Mark R. Shulman

A "Hollow Army" Reappraised: President Carter, Defense Budgets, and the Politics of Military Readiness, by Frank L. Jones

The Promise and Pitfalls of Grand Strategy, by Hal Brands

 
Monthly Op-Ed
The New Security Reality: Not Business as Usual, by Dr. Max G. Manwaring

Proposals For Partnerships Due
Through our Academic Engagement Program, SSI collaborates with premier universities and research institutes to examine key strategic issues identified by the Army and the Joint Community. Academic and other institutions wishing to partner with SSI should immediately submit a proposal. Please review solicitation W911S0-12-R-0015 and contact Justin Balster with any questions. Both a sample and Mr. Balster's contact information are available at the solicitation link.

2012-2013 KSIL
The 2012-13 Key Strategic Issues List is now online. The purpose of the Key Strategic Issues List is to provide military and civilian researchers a ready reference for issues of special interest to the Department of the Army and the Department of Defense.

Upcoming Events
Cyber Infrastructure Protection 2012 Conference (CIP12)
September 13-14, 2012 — New York, NY

The New Mexican Government and Its Prospects
September 27, 2012 — Washington, DC

Cyberspace: Malevolent Actors, Criminal Opportunities and Strategic Competition
November 1-2, 2012 — Pittsburgh, PA

The United States-India Relationship in the 21st Century: Challenges for Strategic Leaders; Opportunities for Cross-Sector Collaboration to promote Sustainable Development
March 12-14, 2013 — Carlisle, PA

More News & Resources
On July 25, Dr. Stephen Blank published, "A Multi Polar Bear? Russia's Bid for Influence in Asia," in Global Asia. On August 8, Dr. Blank and Younkyoo Kim published, "Rethinking China's Strategy for Border Disputes: Chinese Border Policy Toward Central Asia, 1991-2011," in Issues & Studies. On August 8, Dr. Blank published, "Recent Trends in Russo-Chinese Military Relations," in Eurasian Ascent in Energy and Geopolitics: Rivalry of Partnership for China, Russia, and Central Asia? edited by Robert E. Bedeski and Niklas Swanstrom.

On July 12, Parameters published Dr. W. Andrew Terrill's review of Joby Warrick's book, The Triple Agent: The Al-Qaeda Mole Who Infiltrated the CIA. On July 19, Khaled Yacoub Oweis cited Dr. Terrill in the article, "Assad's Brother, Fourth Division Chief: The Muscle Behind the Throne," published in the The Daily Star (Beirut). On July 25, Neil MacFarquhar cited Dr. Terrill in the article, "Showdown Looms in Aleppo as Syrian Army Closes In," published in the New York Times.

The views expressed in this newsletter are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. This newsletter is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited.

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