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New Publications
Decisionmaking In Operation IRAQI FREEDOM: The Strategic Shift of 2007, by Dr. Steven Metz. Was the 2007 decision to surge forces into Iraq effective in turning the war from a potential disaster to a possible success?

Reviewing the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT), edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski. Why does the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) warrant support as a nonproliferation convention?

Shades of CORDS in the Kush: The False Hope of "Unity of Effort" in American Counterinsurgency, by Mr. Henry Nuzum. Counterinsurgency (COIN) requires an integrated military, political, and economic program best developed by teams that field both civilians and soldiers. This paper describes the benefits that unity of command at every level would bring to the American war in Afghanistan.

Short of General War: Perspectives on the Use of Military Power in the 21st Century, edited by Dr. Harry R Yarger. In this anthology, students in the U.S. Army War College Class of 2008 critically examine the emerging 21st century security environment and offer diverse and innovative thoughts on how military power should be applied in situations short of general war.

The Construction of Liberal Democracy: The Role of Civil-Military Institutions in State and Nation-Building in West Germany and South Africa, by Dr. Jack J. Porter. West Germany’s and South Africa’s experiences remind U.S. policymakers of the tremendous obstacles and challenges that confront states as they attempt to install liberal, democratic political institutions.

The State-Owned Enterprise as a Vehicle for Stability, by Dr. Neil Efird. State-owned enterprises affect stability in conflict-prone environments, and decisive control of them creates positive or negative conditions. However, it is a challenge to know how and when to use these enterprises, and a good set of metrics is necessary to measure their effectiveness.

Criminal Sovereignty: Understanding North Korea's Illicit International Activities, by Dr. Paul Rexton Kan, Dr. Bruce E. Bechtol, and Jr., Mr. Robert M. Collins. North Korea’s criminal conduct—smuggling, trafficking and counterfeiting—is well known, but the portion of the government, Office Number 39, which directs it, is understudied or overlooked. This shadowy part of an already opaque government is examined to reveal how it conducts its activities and supports the longevity of the regime.

Thinking about Nuclear Power in Post-Saddam Iraq, by Dr. Norman Cigar. Iraqis are debating the desirability of atomic power for their country. U.S. and international policymakers will have to consider Iraqi views as they shape policy to manage the process of an orderly, safe, and peaceful nuclear reintegration of Iraq in the civilian sector while guaranteeing safeguards against both accidents and any future diversion of a nuclear program for military purposes or terrorist exploitation.

Coming Soon
Crime, Violence, and the Crisis in Guatemala: A Case Study in the Erosion of the State, by Hal Brands

Towards a U.S. Army Officer Corps Strategy for Success: Employing Talent, COL Casey Wardynski, MAJ David S. Lyle, and Mr. Michael J. Colarusso.

Sufism in Northern Nigeria: A Force for Counter-Radicalization? by Jonathan N. C. Hill

Endgame for the West in Afghanistan? Explaining the Decline in Support for the War in Afghanistan in the United States, Great Britain, Canada, Australia, France and Germany, by Charles A Miller

Human Intelligence (HUMINT): All Humans, All Minds, All the Time, by Robert D. Steele

Implications of a Changing NATO, LTC Phillip R. Cuccia

 
Monthly Op-Ed
Untangling a New Gordian Knot: Don't Ask, Don't Tell, and Alexander's Sword, by Dr. Leonard Wong and Douglas C. Lovelace, Jr.

What is War?
The 2010 U.S. Army War College Strategy Conference, "Defining War for the 21st Century," brought together the world's foremost experts to examine war in the post-September 11 world. See the videos on YouTube.

Of Interest
Arms Sales to Taiwan: Enjoy the Business While it Lasts, by Dr. David Lai

Cutting Through Myths on China Trade Surplus, by Dr. Leif Rosenberger

Events
Virtual Conference: The Future of the U.S. Army Officer Corps
The Vice Chief of Staff of the Army needs you in the discussion on developing an officer corps strategy.
Employing Talent: May 10 - June 1, 2010

2010 Western Hemisphere Security Colloquium
May 25-26, 2010 - Miami, FL

Security and Governance: Foundations for International Stability
June 21-23, 2010 - Kingston, Ontario, Canada

Violent Armed Groups
September 16-17, 2010 - Pittsburgh, PA

News
Join SSI on facebook.

The External Research Associates Program (ERAP) will be open from June-July. Prepare a synopsis and a CV now if you wish to submit a contract proposal.

On April 12, Dr. Robin Dorff spoke as part of a panel addressing "US and Chinese National Security Strategies" at the The Royal Danish Defence College in Copenhagen, Denmark.

On April 20, Dr. Steve Metz gave a presentation entitled "Lessons Learned From Corruption and Counterinsurgency in Iraq" at the Centra Technologies Workshop on Corruption and Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan, which took place in Arlington, VA.

On 6 May, SSI hosted a “launch” of the Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) Key Decisions monograph series in Washington, DC. SSI’s Prof. John R. Martin introduced the series as an analysis of how strategic decisions were made in OIF and explained that the series would focus more on processes than on effects. SSI’s Dr. Steven Metz then discussed common threads in the first two monographs, which cover the 2003 decision to go to war in Iraq and the 2007 decision to surge forces. Dr. Joseph Collins (National War College faculty and former DASD for Stability Operations) and journalist Greg Jaffe (Washington Post) provided alternative perspectives on Dr. Metz’s work. Several members of the audience, consisting of Congressional staffers, HQDA representatives, defense attachés, DoS representatives and representatives of various think tanks and academia, expressed support for SSI’s sponsorship of such an important series. View Volume 1 and Volume 2.

On May 6-7, Dr. Stephen Blank gave a presentation discussing Russo-US Relations to the Global Security Institute conference in Ottawa, Canada.

Dr. Blank is featured in "The Helsinki Final Act," a three-minute video discussing the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe by The Helsinki Commission.
The views expressed in this newsletter are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. This newsletter is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited.

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