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New Research and Analysis
Harnessing Post-Conflict "Transitions": A Conceptual Primer, by Nicholas J. Armstrong and Jacqueline Chura-Beaver. A widely accepted and understood definition of "transition" is necessary to enable U.S. military, interagency, and multinational planners to foster greater collaboration and unity of effort as operations move toward a "clear, hold, build, transition" strategy.

Preparing for One War and Getting Another? by Dr. Antulio J. Echevarria, II. The idea that war or strategy is driven by a paradoxical logic is attractive, but a number of questions remain unanswered. If war has its own logic, rather than its own grammar, where does the logic of policy fit in? If the logic of strategy is paradoxical, how can it be taught? What are paradoxes, and can they be useful in guiding our strategic choices?

An Army Transformed: The U.S. Army's Post-Vietnam Recovery and the Dynamics of Change in Military Organizations, by Lieutenant Colonel Suzanne C. Nielsen. Drawing on the literature on military innovation and reform, the author examines an important case of military change: the transformation of the U.S. Army in the 2 decades preceding the Persian Gulf War of 1991. The findings of this study have significant implications for how the U.S. Army should think about implementing changes needed today to meet new strategic, economic, and technological challenges.

Somalia: Line in the Sand -- Identification of MYM Vulnerabilities, by LTC Eloy E. Cuevas and Madeleine Wells. Continuing instability in Somalia has increased concern that terrorists who seek to establish a foothold in Africa may use such insecure places as a safe haven and launching pad for future attacks. Several attempts have been made to establish lawful governments in Somalia; however, warlord and clan interests have managed to take center stage among the population. The Somali-based al-Shabaab (also known as the Mujahidin Youth Movement [MYM]) is a militant organization born out of both successive regional turmoil and international salafi-jihadi ideology, which continues to actively undermine the United Nations (UN)-supported African Union (AU) peacekeeping force, the fledging Somali Transitional Federal Government (TFG), and all UN efforts to support Somalis in creating a stable state.

Coming Soon
Operation EUFOR TCHAD/RCA and the EU's Common Security and Defense Policy, by Bjoern Helmut Seibert

Some of the Best Weapons for Counterinsurgents Do Not Shoot, by Eric Olson

Deciding to Buy: Civil-Military Relations and Major Weapons Programs, by Quentin E. Hodgson

Russia's Prospects in Asia, edited by Stephen J. Blank

Cyber Infrastructure Protection, edited by Tarek N. Saadawi and COL Louis H. Jordan, Jr.

Nuclear Power's Global Expansion: Weighing Its Costs and Risks, edited by Henry D. Sokolski

The European Campaign, Its Origins and Conduct, by Sam J. Newland and Clayton K.S. Chun

 
Monthly Op-Ed
The Coming of Chinese Hawks, by Dr. David Lai

In response to our August Op-Ed, "Americas Flawed Afghanistan Strategy," MAJ Peter Dvorscak (USAR) wrote a letter to the editor. Steve Metz wrote a rebuttal.

Events
Brazil's Security Strategy and Defense Doctrine
October 20, 2010 - Washington, DC

Conflict Management: A Tool for U.S. National Security Strategy
February 24-25, 2011 - Kennesaw, GA

Post-heroic Warfare
March 22-23, 2011 - Oxford, United Kingdom

22nd Annual Strategy Conference
American Society and Its Profession of Arms

April 5-7, 2011 - Carlisle, PA
Website is now online!

News & Resources
From September 13-14, Dr. Antulio Echevarria participated in a workshop entitled "Russia as a Great Power," which was hosted by Joint Forces Command.

On September 28, Dr. Steven Metz gave at presentation at the National Defense University's "Policing and Counterinsurgency" workshop. He suggested that Americans use three distinct conceptualizations of insurgency--as a variant of war, as a violent competition for support, and as a manifestation of a deeper social pathology.

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The University of Pittsburgh Matthew B. Ridgeway Center for International Security Studies posted an online conference brief with videos and interviews from "Violent Armed Groups," an SSI co-sponsored event held on September 16-17.

Dr. Stephen Blank published "Energy and Environmental Issues in Central Asia's Security Agenda" in The China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly; "The Real Reset: Moscow Refights the Cold War" in World Affairs; and "Recent Trends in Russian-Cuban Relations" in Cuban Affairs.

Throughout September and October, Dr. Leonard Wong traveled to various Department of Defense installations to present and discuss the effects of multiple deployments on children and the implications of repealing "Don't Ask, Don't Tell."

The views expressed in this newsletter are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. This newsletter is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited.

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