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Mr. Keir Giles

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KEIR GILES is the Director of the Conflict Studies Research Centre (CSRC), a group of deep subject matter experts on Eurasian security formerly attached to the United Kingdom (UK) Ministry of Defence. Now operating in the private sector, CSRC provides in-depth analysis on a wide range of security issues affecting Russia and its relations with overseas partners.

After beginning his career working with paramilitary aviation in Russia and Ukraine immediately following the fall of the Soviet Union, Mr. Giles joined the BBC Monitoring Service (BBCM) to report on political and military affairs in the former Soviet space. While still working for the BBCM, Mr. Giles also worked for CSRC at the UK Defence Academy where he wrote and briefed for UK and North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) government agencies on a wide range of Russian defense and security issues. He is an Associate Fellow of the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House) in London, UK, as well as a regular contributor to research projects on Russian security issues in both the UK and Europe. Mr. Giles’s work has appeared in a wide range of academic and military publications across Europe and in the United States.

*The above information may not be current. It was current at the time when the individual worked for SSI or was published by SSI.

SSI books and monographs by Mr. Keir Giles

  • The Turning Point for Russian Foreign Policy

    May 25, 2017

    Authored by Mr. Keir Giles.
    View the Executive Summary

    Russia’s military interventions in Ukraine and Syria were responses to what Moscow perceived as direct and immediate security challenges to Russia. This Letort Paper analyzes the roots of this Russian assessment and of Russia’s new assertiveness and confidence in foreign policy.

  • Prospects for the Rule of Law in Cyberspace

    January 24, 2017

    Authored by Mr. Keir Giles.
    View the Executive Summary

    This Letort Paper surveys moves toward establishing international norms and rule of law in cyberspace, and the potential for establishing further internationally agreed upon standards of behavior. It highlights opposing views on the nature of legality in cyberspace; and how and where those views are gaining global support. The survey shows that despite long-term campaigns for new binding international treaties, at present bilateral confidence building agreements and commercial interaction are the strongest drivers for norms building.

  • Training Humans for the Human Domain

    November 02, 2015

    Authored by Dr. Steve Tatham, Mr. Keir Giles.
    View the Executive Summary

    Experience from Afghanistan and Iraq has demonstrated the vital nature of understanding human terrain, with conclusions relevant far beyond counterinsurgency operations in the Islamic world. This monograph offers an outline for educating U.S. and allied service personnel in fundamental human domain skills, and argues against their being overlooked in favor of technical solutions.

  • Cyber Defense: An International View

    September 14, 2015

    Authored by Mr. Keir Giles, Ms. Kim Hartmann.
    View the Executive Summary

    Because of the seamlessly international nature of the internet, effective cybersecurity demands close cooperation with allies and friends overseas.

  • Russian Ballistic Missile Defense: Rhetoric and Reality

    June 29, 2015

    Authored by Mr. Keir Giles.
    View the Executive Summary

    Russia continues to oppose strenuously U.S. plans for missile defense in Europe, despite the fact that Russia itself seeks to develop comparable missile defense systems, that, by their own logic, would be equally destabilizing. This monograph reviews Russian plans and progress toward implementing them, to prepare the ground for inevitable future confrontation with Russia over the rollout of U.S. systems.

  • A Russian View on Landpower

    April 09, 2015

    Authored by Major General Aleksandr V. Rogovoy, Mr. Keir Giles.
    View the Executive Summary

    In a time of rapid change for the U.S. Army, it is essential to retain awareness of how potential adversaries are also developing their concepts of Landpower. This Letort Paper lays out an authoritative Russian view on the importance of substantial conventional land forces—a view which U.S. force planners should study closely.

  • Prospects for Iran's New Direction

    February 20, 2015

    Authored by Mr. Keir Giles.
    View the Executive Summary

    This monograph, completed ahead of the November 2014 deadline, examines some of the underlying factors which will be constant in dealing with a nuclear capable Iran under President Hassan Rouhani, and which will help determine the success or failure of talks in 2015.

  • European Missile Defense and Russia

    July 17, 2014

    Authored by Mr. Keir Giles, Dr. Andrew Monaghan.
    View the Executive Summary

    Strong Russian opposition to U.S. plans for ballistic missile defense (BMD) in Europe is likely to intensify further through 2015-16 as Phase III of the European Phased Adaptive Approach is implemented. This monograph examines a number of fundamental reasons—some valid, some spurious—why Russia is alarmed at U.S. BMD plans, and provides recommendations for managing the missile defense dialogue with Russia in the future in order to mitigate potentially damaging responses.

  • Russian Military Transformation - Goal In Sight?

    May 05, 2014

    Authored by Mr. Keir Giles, Dr. Andrew Monaghan.
    View the Executive Summary

    This Letort Paper assesses the range of options available to Russia for closing the capability gap with the United States and its allies, the authors review a flawed political perception of the key threats facing Russia and the challenges facing Russia’s military transformation.

  • Legality in Cyberspace: An Adversary View

    March 11, 2014

    Authored by Mr. Keir Giles, Dr. Andrew Monaghan.
    View the Executive Summary

    The United States and its allies are in general agreement on the legal status of conflict in cyberspace. But other key cyber actors have radically different ideas on key concepts of cyber warfare, including when a state of war exists. This paper explores the Russian approach to legal constraints governing actions in cyberspace, in order to assist in formulating an effective response to Russian cyber initiatives.

  • Russian Interests in Sub-Saharan Africa

    July 12, 2013

    Authored by Mr. Keir Giles.
    View the Executive Summary

    Russia is intensifying its engagement with Southern Africa to meet both foreign policy and long-term economic objectives. This presents both potential opportunities and challenges for U.S. policy in the region - especially in those states where a preference for U.S. presence and influence is not axiomatic.