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US Army War College

European Security

Russian Gas, Green Technology, and the Great Sacrifice

Dr. Sarah Lohmann, at The Georgetown Journal of International Affairs (GJIA), June 2022 This article argues that the Russian invasion of Ukraine has highlighted the long-term energy dependencies on Moscow that Europe’s fledgling green technology will not be able to fix in the short term. While the crisis does have the power to speed their …

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Coalition of the unWilling and unAble

European Realignment and the Future of American Geopolitics Dr. John R. Deni, 2022, forthcoming With the Defense Department weighing whether and how to change the U.S. military footprint overseas, it’s time to make the American military presence in the Baltic states durable. Maintaining merely periodic American boots on the ground, sometimes there and sometimes not …

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China, Europe, and the Pandemic Recession: Europe’s Evolving Attitude Toward China

SSI Live Podcast 090 — This is the third podcast in a short series to launch a recently published multi-author study on China, Europe, and the Pandemic Recession: Beijing’s Investments and Transatlantic Security. In this podcast, contributing author Erik Brattberg joins Dr. John R. Deni to discuss Europe’s evolving attitude toward China. How does Europe …

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Cooperation, Competition, and Compartmentalization:
Russian-Turkish Relations and Their Implications for the West

Robert E. Hamilton, 2021, the Foreign Policy Research Institute The relationship between the Russian Federation and Republic of Turkey is one of the most important bilateral relationships in Eurasia today. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO) original adversary and one of its earliest members have in recent times veered sharply between cooperation—often against NATO’s interests—and …

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Russian-Turkish Relations and Their Implications for the West
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Yes, Russia Might Invade a NATO Country. Here’s How the Alliance Should Prepare

Dr. John R. Deni, 2022 in Politico Russia’s invasion has been a wake-up call: It’s time for NATO allies to get back to basics. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has triggered a careful balancing act on the part of NATO allies, who are eager to see Russia fail but also unwilling to jump into the war directly. …

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Yes, the United States Should Weaken Russia

The old approach of outreach and inclusion has failed. In the wake of Russia’s latest invasion, Washington must seek to erode Moscow’s power. Dr. John R. Deni, 2022 in Foreign Policy Following a recent visit to Kyiv, Ukraine, with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said the United States wanted “to …

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NATO Must Prepare to Defend Its Weakest Point—the Suwalki Corridor

On the Polish-Lithuanian border, the West must respond to Russia’s actual capabilities rather than making assumptions about its intent. Dr. John R. Deni, 2022 in Foreign Policy As the Biden administration monitors Moscow’s reaction to dramatic U.S. and allied increases in assistance to Ukraine as well as the punishing Western economic and financial sanctions on …

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Toward a New Normal in Transatlantic Collective Defense

With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in its third month, it is already possible to draw some important lessons from the most serious security crisis in Europe in decades. Dr. John R. Deni, 2022 in German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) It has fundamentally altered security on the continent, prompting a reappraisal of where …

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The West Should Not Wish Away the Russian Threat Yet Again

The time to institutionalize a muscular and ready front line force posture is now. Dr. John R. Deni and Christopher Skaluba, 2022 in Defense One The West’s initial response to Russia’s brutal, unprovoked invasion of Ukraine has been remarkably unified and effective. The multifaceted effort to arm Ukraine while reinforcing NATO allies in Eastern Europe …

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China, Europe, and the Pandemic Recession: Beijing’s Investments and Transatlantic Security

Dr. John R. Deni, 2022 Given the depth and breadth of the pandemic-induced recession in Europe, private companies in need of capital and governments looking to shed state-owned enterprises may be tempted to sell shares, assets, or outright ownership to investors with liquidity to spare. Of greatest concern is the role that China might play …

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Would a Russian Coup Solve Anything

Putin’s successor would face the same political and geographic conditions that led him to confrontation. Dr. John R. Deni, 2022 in the Wall Street Journal Some Western observers hope Vladimir Putin will be overthrown in a coup. While the likelihood of such an event is debatable, one thing is certain: If Mr. Putin were removed …

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Lessons from Russia’s Latin America engagement over Ukraine

Dr. R. Evan Ellis, 2022 Russia’s engagement with Latin America after its unprovoked invasion of Ukraine, and the Latin American response to the invasion, illustrates the growing strategic challenge to the U.S. from the survival and proliferation of populist authoritarian regimes in the Western Hemisphere. It also hints at opportunities for Russian President Vladimir Putin …

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SRAD Director’s Corner: Russia’s Strategy and Its War on Ukraine

COL George Shatzer, 2022 In this contribution, Colonel George Shatzer, director of the Strategy Research and Analysis Department of the Strategic Studies Institute at the US Army War College, discusses books of relevance to US Joint planners and strategists, as well as those of allies and strategic partners. He applies his experience and education as …

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Putin’s Invasion of Ukraine in 2022: Implications for Strategic Studies

Dr. Antulio J. Echevarria, II, 2022 This special commentary examines critical issues for the field of strategic studies raised by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, including the waning of major war, strategic coercion, and “War Amongst the People.” Drawing on previous scholarship and current events, this commentary considers the questions raised by the first major war …

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Navigating New Threats: NATO’s Posture on Emerging Technologies

Dr. Sarah Lohmann, Dr. Carol Evans, 2022 The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) faces a volatile global security environment. Climate change will challenge international stability through natural disasters, migration crises, and land degradation. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine upended peace in Europe, and the COVID-19 pandemic reminded the world of the lurking danger of public health …

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Negotiating with Russia Over Ukraine

Dr. John R. Deni, 2022 SSI Live 086 – Negotiating with Russia Over Ukraine Negotiations between Russia and the United States, NATO, and the OSCE regarding the situation in/around Ukraine begin this week. How should the West approach those negotiations? SSI Live host Dr. John R. Deni argues the West should strike a hard bargain, …

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Panel Discussion: Germany After Merkel – Assessing the 2021 Elections

Dr. Sarah Lohmann, 2021 How the country will position itself in terms of addressing climate change, countering antidemocratic challengers, safeguarding the welfare state and a competitive economy, and providing leadership in Europe and beyond, is up for debate. Watch/listen to Dr. Lohman’s contribution beginning at 20:00.

America Needs a Permanent Military Presence in the Baltics, and Here’s Why

Dr. John R. Deni, 2021 in Defense News With the Defense Department weighing whether and how to change the U.S. military footprint overseas, it’s time to make the American military presence in the Baltic states durable. Maintaining merely periodic American boots on the ground, sometimes there and sometimes not — especially while a more permanent …

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Germany Has a Math Problem, and It’s about to Get Worse

Dr. Sarah Lohmann, 2021, American Institute for Contemporary German Studies (AICGS) What the numbers say about the energy landscape In this traditional state of Bavaria where election banners offering defense of “Heimat” (Homeland) seized the day in the last election, the posters wedged between ancient church domes on cobblestone streets now tout pictures of wind …

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