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Research and Analysis
The Saudi-Iranian Rivalry and the Future of Middle East Security, by Dr. W. Andrew Terrill. Saudi Arabia and Iran have often behaved as serious rivals for influence in the Middle East and especially the Gulf area since at least Iran’s 1979 Islamic Revolution. While both nations define themselves as Islamic, the differences between their foreign policies could hardly be more dramatic. Recently, the rivalry between Riyadh and Tehran has intensified and been reflected in their policies involving a number of regional states including Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Egypt, Yemen, Bahrain, and others.

The Strategic Logic of the Contemporary Security Dilemma, by Dr. Max G. Manwaring. This monograph is part of a continuing effort to inform the contemporary transnational security debate, move it to the strategic level, and support the best interests of the United States Government and peoples, and also those of the Western Hemisphere and the rest of the world.

Forecasting Zero: U.S. Nuclear History and the Low Probability of Disarmament, by Jonathan Pearl. Should the United States relinquish its nuclear weapons? This monograph discusses both the technical and political factors related to the future of American nuclear weapons.

Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future, edited by Dr. Stephen J. Blank. A new work by leading Russian, European, and U.S. experts analyzing the multiple issues of force structure, doctrine, strategy, and Russian national security policy connected with Russia’s reliance on nuclear weapons as the main deterrent of threats to its security.

Real Leadership and the U.S. Army: Overcoming a Failure of Imagination to Conduct Adaptive Work, by John B. Richardson IV. This is a case study of a cavalry squadron struggling with operational adaptability and provides a means for analyzing the complexity of organizational leadership in the contemporary security environment. Hard fought lessons learned result in approaching leadership in a more holistic way where the leader transcends simply being an authority figure and becomes a real leader who provides a safe and creative learning environment for the organization to tackle and solve complex problems.

Coming Soon
The United States and China in Power Transition, by David Lai

Organizational Change in the Russian Airborne Forces: The Lessons of the Georgian Conflict, by Rod Thornton

Cyber Infrastructure Protection, by Dr. Tarek Saadawi and COL Louis Jordan, Jr.
Monthly Op-Ed
The West and the Durability and Problems of Monarchies in the Arab Spring, by Dr. W. Andrew Terrill.

Upcoming Events
XXIII USAWC Annual Strategy Conference
The Future of U.S. Grand Strategy in an Age of Austerity: Challenges and Opportunities
April 10-12, 2012 — Carlisle, PA
Submit your email address on the conference website to be notified of registration availability.

News & Resources
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On November 30, Taylor & Francis published Dr. Max Manwaring's article, "Security, Stability, and Sovereignty Challenges of Politicized Gangs and Insurgents in the Americas," in Small Wars & Insurgencies (requires subscription).

The U.S. Army War College named Dr. Max Manwaring a 2011 winner of the Colonel John J. Madigan III, U.S. Army War College Staff and Faculty Published Writing Competition. He was selected for his book, Gangs, Pseudo-Militaries, and Other Modern Mercenaries: New Dynamics in Uncomfortable Wars.

On November 8, Dr. Stephen Blank gave a lecture, "Taking Stock of Medvedev's Foreign Policy," to the Finnish Institute of International Affairs in Helsinki, Finland. On November 9, Dr. Blank presented a paper, "Whither the Great Game in Central Asia," at the Center for Eastern Studies Conference, "Study on the Challenges to Regional Security in Central Asia - From Religious Extremism and Terrorism to the Soft Security Issues," in Warsaw, Poland. On November 14, Dr. Blank presented a paper on Central Asia issues at the Jamestown Foundation Conference, "Central Asia, Afghanistan, and the New Silk Road: Political, Economic, and Security Challenges," in Washington, DC. On November 19, Dr. Blank presented two papers, "The Military Dimensions of Russo-Chinese Relations" and "Russian Foreign Policy in East Asia in 2011," at the Annual Convention of the Association for Slavic, East European, and Eurasian Studies in Washington, DC.

Dr. Andrew Terrill published a review of Our Last Best Chance for Peace, by King Abdullah II of Jordan, in the Autumn 2011 edition of the Middle East Journal, (requires subscription).

On November 16, COL Carolyn Kleiner gave a presentation, "Women in the U.S. Military: Past, Present, Future," to Penn State University students as part of their college course, "Gender and Politics."

On November 5-6, Dr. David Lai gave a presentation, "The United States and China in Power Transition and the Chinese Way of War," at the U.S. Navy 7th Fleet Conference, "2011 Asia-Pacific Symposium and Vision 2020: Pacific Rim Dynamics," in Forth Worth, Texas. On November 15, Dr. David Lai gave a presentation, "The Chinese Way of War in Cultural Perspectives," to the Chief of Naval Operations Strategic Studies Group at the U.S. Naval War College as part of a strategic dialogue designed for the U.S. Navy’s special project on warfighting campaign 2025-2030.

The views expressed in this newsletter are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. This newsletter is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited.

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