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Lead Me, Follow Me, Or Get Out of My Way: Rethinking and Refining the Civil-Military Relationship, by Dr. Mark R. Shulman. Troubled relations between the armed forces and civil society sap the vitality of the republic and undermine the effectiveness of the military. This timely monograph launches a discussion about what kind of civil-military relationship we have and how to improve it.

The Future of American Landpower: Does Forward Presence Still Matter? The Case of the Army in Europe, by Dr. John R. Deni. In this monograph, Dr. John R. Deni explores the utility of forward presence in Europe, placing the recent decisions – and, in particular, the arguments against forward presence – in the context of a decades-long tradition on the part of many political leaders, scholars, and others to mistakenly tie the forward-basing of U.S. forces to more equal defense burden sharing across the entire North Atlantic alliance.

A "Hollow Army" Reappraised: President Carter, Defense Budgets, and the Politics of Military Readiness, by Professor Frank L. Jones. For more than 30 years, the term “hollow army” has represented President Carter’s alleged willingness to allow American military capability to deteriorate in the face of growing Soviet capability. The true story is more complicated than the metaphor suggests.

Russia's Homegrown Insurgency: Jihad in the North Caucasus, Edited by Dr. Stephen J. Blank. The insurgency in the North Caucasus is virtually unknown outside Russia, but it is the greatest threat to Russia’s domestic security. These studies open that “black box” and provide much analysis that should lead to further reflection on the issues of Islamist insurgency and counterinsurgency.

How Nation-States Craft National Security Strategy Documents, by Dr. Alan G. Stolberg. This monograph compares and contrasts how different countries craft their national security strategy documents. It highlights similarities as well as differences, and provides lessons learned that all national strategy makers can apply.

State-Building Challenges in a Post-Revolution Libya, by Dr. Mohammed El-Katiri. Following the overthrow of Muammar Qadhafi, Libya’s National Transitional Council inherited a difficult and volatile domestic situation. The new leadership faces serious challenges in all areas of statehood. Libya’s immediate future is of critical importance, consequently, it is especially important for Libya's interim government to build the political institutions for a functioning modern democratic state.

Beyond the Battlefield: Institutional Army Transformation Following Victory in Iraq, by Lieutenant Colonel G. Scott Taylor. Learning lessons from past conflicts is essential to avoid repeating the same mistakes in future wars. Even more important, it is critical to apply those lessons to institutional change to inculcate the lessons of the past conflict – this Paper highlights some of the author’s observations on changes that should be integrated into the institutional Army to ensure that the hard-earned lessons of counterinsurgency fighting and stability operations achieved in the sands of Iraq and hills of Afghanistan are not lost over the years ahead as we withdraw from Iraq and Afghanistan.

Jihadist Cells and "IED" Capabilities in Europe: Assessing the Present and Future Threat to the West, by Dr. Jeffrey M. Bale. The increasing diffusion and application of expertise acquired by jihadists in fabricating “improvised explosive devices” and the extent to which local jihadist cells in the West may or may not be connected to veteran terrorist groups and networks in other countries and regions are vital concerns for Western military forces and security and intelligence agencies as they relate to these veteran terrorist groups and networks in other countries and regions of the world.

The Energy and Security Nexus: A Strategic Dilemma, edited by Dr. Carolyn Pumphrey. It is hard to overstate the importance of energy. Energy literally drives the global economy. Without question, the links between energy and security are significant, but how so? This book explores the connections between energy and security (human, national, and international) and provides considerable discussion on how best to resolve this strategic dilemma.

Learning by Doing: The PLA Trains at Home and Abroad, Edited by Mr. Roy Kamphausen, Dr. David Lai, Mr. Travis Tanner. The papers presented in this latest volume in a series on the PLA are a timely and critical look at an evolving and expanding Chinese military and provide context for the changes we may see as the PLA continues to modernize.
Monthly Op-Ed
Can Sanctions Be More Effective Than Military Action in Iran? by Dr. W. Andrew Terrill

2012-2013 KSIL
The 2012-13 Key Strategic Issues List (KSIL) Update No. 02 is now online. The purpose of the Key Strategic Issues List is to provide military and civilian researchers a ready reference for issues of special interest to the Department of the Army and the Department of Defense.

Coming Soon
Venezuela as an Exporter of 4th Generation Warfare Instability, by Max G. Manwaring

Talking Past Each Other? How Views of U.S. Power Vary Between U.S. and International Military Personnel, by Richard H. M. Outzen

A National Security Staff for the 21st Century, by Jack A. LeCuyer

India’s Changing Afghanistan Policy: Regional and Global Implications, by Harsh V. Pant

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Keep an eye out for upcoming news on the USAWC Strategy Conference. Registration for the conference should start at the end of January 2013. This year's conference will begin with registration day activities and a hosted reception ice breaker on April 9; the actual conference takes place from April 10 - 11. The theme of this year's conference is "The Future of American Landpower," a continuation of last year's theme "The Future of U.S. Grand Strategy in an Age of Austerity: Challenges and Opportunities." The Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army War College will provide more detail on its webpage and in upcoming newsletters. For now, put the dates April 9-11 on your calendars.

The views expressed in this newsletter are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. This newsletter is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited.

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