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New Publications
Russian Defense Reform: Current Trends by Dr. Irina Isakova. Clearly, rebuilding Russian military strength is a high priority for President Vladimir Putin. This monograph provides a comprehensive account of Russian defense policy, encompassing all aspects of reform of the forces, their organizational structure, financing of the military, and reform of the defense industrial sector.

Naval Transformation, Ground Forces and the Expeditionary Impulse: The Sea Basing Debate by Dr. Geoff Till. The author of this paper focuses on the modern concept of sea-basing, but argues that the maritime effect on land operations is far greater than that. He demonstrates that point by examining allied, especially British, experience to set alongside American views. He also investigates the concept of naval transformation in the early 21st century to show that sea-basing would have been familiar to navies of the past.

Regional Fears of Western Primacy and the Future of U.S.- Middle Eastern Basing Policy by Dr. W. Andrew Terrill. This monograph examines Middle Eastern (especially Arab) views about Western military facilities in their region and foreign soldiers on their soil. The author traces the historical background of these facilities, and looks at new versions of old concerns. Currently, the United States seeks to help defend its many allies in the region. He concludes that this can be done successfully, but such tasks must be approached with delicacy and with sensitivity to local concerns.

Challenging Transformation's Cliches by Dr. Antulio J. Echevarria II. The author of this monograph challenges some of the accepted notions that have become foundational to contemporary theories of military transformation. His view is that any endeavor as resource-intensive as military transformation is too important to rest on uncontested truths.

Castro's Cuba: Quo Vadis? by Dr. Francisco Wong-Diaz. This Letort Paper is designed to contribute to understanding the strategic and political implications of Castro's demise or incapacitation. The author stresses the need to anticipate possible transition or succession scenarios, examines the consequences that might follow, and the role that the United States might be called to play.

Coming Soon
Learning from Iraq: Counterinsurgency in American Strategy, by Dr. Steven Metz.

Iraq, Women's Empowerment, and Public Policy by Dr. Sherifa Zuhur.

Russian Non-Proliferation Policy and the Korean Peninsula by Dr. Yong-Chool Ha and Dr. Beom-Shik Shin.

Rosoboroneksport: Arms Sales and the Structure of Russian Defense Industry by Dr. Stephen Blank.

A Nation at War, Seventeenth Annual Strategy Conference Report edited by Colonel (Retired) John Martin.

Monthly Op-Ed
Negotiating with Iran and Syria over Iraq, by Dr. W. Andrew Terrill.

Annual Strategy Conference
Global Challenges to U.S. Security Interests.
Online registration has opened! Join us for the XVIII Annual Strategy Conference from March 27-29 at the Army War College in Carlisle, PA as we identify and debate the most important potential security threats around the globe.

Visit the website for more information.

Upcoming Events
Western Hemisphere Mini-Colloquium Series (Mexico)
February 7, 2007 - Washington, DC

The Roots of Terror: Understanding the Evolving Threat of Global Terrorism
February 12, 2007 - Washington, DC

The Evolution of U.S.-Turkish Relations in a Transatlantic Context
March 26, 2007 - Washington, DC

Global Security Challenges to U.S. Interests
March 27-29, 2007 - Carlisle, PA

The National Security Implications of Global Climate Change
March 30-31, 2007 - Durham, NC

News and Updates
The External Research Associates Program (ERAP) window is open. If you wish to be published by SSI, please submit your proposal now. See our website for more information.

Dr. Steven Metz served as a team leader for the Chief of Staff of the Army's Unifed Quest Strategic Guidance Seminar, McLean, VA, January 8-11.

Dr. Andy Terrill served on a U.S. Institute of Peace panel discussion on military and security recommendations of the Iraq Study Group Report on January 8.

Dr. Steve Blank's "Ukraine, Sakhalin, and Beyond: The Unanticipated Consequences of Russian Energy Crises," was published in Northeast Asia Energy Focus, III, No. 4, Winter, 2006, pp. 55-62.

COL (Ret) John Martin and Dr. Steve Biddle continue to coordinate for a study of the recent Israel-Hezbollah conflict.

COL Joe Nunez's manuscript, "NATO Is Not Enough," was accepted for publication by the New York Times as an Op-Ed that will be published in mid-January 2007.

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The views expressed in this newsletter are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. This newsletter is cleared for public release; distribution is limited.