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European Security | Dec. 19, 2024

It’s (Still) More Expensive to Rotate Military Forces Overseas than Base...

In mid-2020, then-President Donald Trump ordered the Pentagon to withdraw roughly one-third of US forces from Germany, reportedly because of policy differences with Berlin. Given how long it would take to implement such a significant change in

South & Latin America | Dec. 18, 2024

Security Implications for the United States from Iranian and Hezbollah A...

This presentation will examine engagement with Latin America by Iran, its government agents, and surrogate groups such as Hezbollah, including terrorist finance, terrorism, and other activities and their evolution in recent years. It will address the

External Articles | Dec. 17, 2024

Making the Case for Democratic, Limited Government and Economic Liberty ...

This work is derived from an address given by the author to the InterAmerican Institute for Democracy on December 4, 2024, in Miami, Florida.In discussing the status of political and economic freedom in Latin America, my thoughts go to the

European Security | Dec. 10, 2024

Will Assad’s Defeat be Putin’s Waterloo?

The narrative of Russia’s ascendancy in 2024 is beginning to look like more fiction than fact. The Assad regime in Syria has become a casualty of Moscow’s increasingly desperate efforts in Ukraine, and its collapse is a strategic and operational blow

Publications | Dec. 5, 2024

China’s Next Step in Modernizing the People’s Liberation Army: A New Res...

The Chinese Communist Party’s massive active-duty army—the largest in the world—understates the manpower available to the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) during a future protracted war. Despite the hundreds of thousands of combat troops garrisoned
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Category: External Articles

Understanding the PRC’s Selective Use of Military Hotlines
October 4, 2024
The PRC’s strategic use of and reluctance to establish military hotlines reflect a calculated approach to escalation risk, which can be seen in crises ranging from the accidental bombing of its embassy in Belgrade in 1999 to the present day. There is a recognition that hotlines offer tactical benefits, but they are not viewed as a solution to

Bargaining for Justice: Ukraine, Gaza, and the Ethics of Conflict Termination
September 23, 2024
Bargaining for Justice: Ukraine, Gaza, and the Ethics of Conflict Termination | C. Anthony Pfaff

The Role of America’s European Allies in the Russia-Ukraine War, 2022–24
September 19, 2024
The Role of America’s European Allies in the Russia-Ukraine War, 2022–24

The Growing Significance of China-Russia Defense Cooperation
September 18, 2024
The Growing Significance of China-Russia Defense Cooperation |
Brian G. Carlson

The Impact of the Political Orientation of Latin America, on the Advance of the People’s Republic of China in the Region
August 27, 2024
The Impact of the Political Orientation of Latin America, on the Advance of the People’s Republic of China in the Region
R. Evan Ellis

Satellites in the Russia-Ukraine War 
August 21, 2024
Satellites in the Russia-Ukraine War by Ron Gurantz

Russia's Deepening Ties to North Korea: China's Gateway to the Arctic?
August 15, 2024
Russia's Deepening Ties to North Korea: China's Gateway to the Arctic?

AY25 Campaign Planning Handbook
August 14, 2024
AY25 Campaign Planning Handbook

Secrecy and Solidarity: PRC Internal Security Partnerships with Socialist States
August 2, 2024
Secrecy and Solidarity: PRC Internal Security Partnerships with Socialist States | Jake Rinaldi

2024 Annual Estimate of the Strategic Security Environment
July 24, 2024
The 2024 Annual Estimate of the Strategic Security Environment sets the foundation for cutting-edge research to understand the ever-evolving security environment domestically and internationally.