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If China Attacks Taiwan: The Consequences for China of "Minor Conflict" and "Major War" Scenarios
GMF: If China Attacks Taiwan article screenshot for CLSC
Jan. 6, 2026 - Introduction by Bonnie S. Glaser: Research on the possibility and likely outcome of a conflict in the Taiwan Strait has expanded rapidly in recent years. Studies have focused on a broad range of questions related to...

How Maduro’s capture went down – a military strategist explains what goes into a successful special op
Screenshot of the article covering R. Evan Ellis' interview with
Jan. 5, 2026 - The predawn seizure of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on Jan. 3, 2026 was a complicated affair. It was also, operationally, a resounding success for the U.S. military.Operation Absolute Resolve achieved its objective of...

China’s Foreign Police Training: A Global Footprint
China’s Foreign Police Training: A Global Footprint
Nov. 13, 2025 - New data reveal how China’s foreign police training programs have become an integral part of Beijing’s strategy to remake global security...

Forecasting the PRC’s Next Global Initiative
Forecasting the PRC’s Next Global Initiative
Nov. 7, 2025 - Executive Summary:• Xi Jinping could unveil a “global environmental initiative” as soon as mid-November 2025, at the COP31 summit in Brazil. This would align with previous initiatives that have been announced at international...

The PLA’s Progress toward World-Class Ground Force Capabilities
The PLA's Progress screenshot
Oct. 27, 2025 - This essay examines Xi Jinping’s dictum of creating a world-class military by 2049 and assesses the progress of the PLA ground forces toward achieving that notional benchmark...

Preparing for PRC Military Actions in Latin America in the Context of a War in the Indo-Pacific
US Military Academy Modern Warfare Institute's
Oct. 16, 2025 - Within the new book by the U.S. Military Academy Modern Warfare Institute, “Expecting the Unexpected: Essays on Strategic Surprise in the 21st Century” comes a chapter from Dr. R. Evan Ellis: “Preparing for PRC Military...

Peru’s Complex Security Challenges and the Government Response
Expediente Abierto's Peru’s Complex Security Challenges and the Government Response by R. Evan Ellis
Oct. 14, 2025 - "From September 13 through 21, 2025, the author traveled to Lima, Peru for an event bring them together faculty from the US Army War College and it’s alumni from Peru and across the region. There, he spoke to a wide range of...

Global Public Security with Chinese Characteristics
Slide for GMF's China Global Podcast episode Global Public Security with Chinese Characteristics
Sept. 30, 2025 - A conversation between Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Bonnie Glaser on China's Global Security Initiative...

Adapting to Future Wars: The Reorganization of the PLA Army’s Special Operations Forces and the Move toward Professionalization
Slide for Adapting to Future Wars: The Reorganization of the PLA Army’s Special Operations Forces and the Move toward Professionalization
Sept. 26, 2025 - The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) implemented major changes to the organization, accession, and training of its army’s special operations forces (SOF) beginning in 2017, including the creation of a 12-man SOF team and...