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Regional Issues
Regional Issues
Screenshot of the article covering R. Evan Ellis' interview with "The Conversation"
External Articles
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Jan. 5, 2026
How Maduro’s capture went down – a military strategist explains what goe...
The predawn seizure of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on Jan. 3, 2026 was a complicated affair. It was also, operationally, a resounding success for the U.S. military.Operation Absolute Resolve achieved its objective of seizing Maduro through a
Loyal Paraguay
Publications
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Aug. 26, 2025
Loyal Paraguay: The Peña Government’s Strategic Choice to Stay with Taiwan
From August 11-15, 2025, the author was in Asuncion, Paraguay, in an International Republican Institute (IRI) event hosted by that nation’s President Santiago Peña, bringing together government officials, diplomats, businesspersons, and civil
Slide for The Economic Argument for Keeping US Forces in Europe
Publications
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Aug. 15, 2025
The Economic Argument for Keeping US Forces in Europe
NATO’s Hague summit earlier this summer has generally been viewed as a qualified success, despite — or perhaps because of — its unusually short and focused agenda. The new 5 percent defense spending commitment deserves most of the credit for this
Slide for "Election, Crisis, and US Opportunity"
External Articles
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Aug. 13, 2025
Election, Crisis, and U.S. Opportunity in Bolivia
Bolivia, strategically at the center of South America, faces a critical election that will define its direction in its current profound economic, political and security crisis, its future relationship with the People’s Republic of China (PRC), its
Slide for More Than a Numbers Game: Comparing US and Chinese Landpower in the Pacific Requires Context
Publications
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July 22, 2025
More Than a Numbers Game: Comparing US and Chinese Landpower in the Paci...
As the US Army organizes, trains, and equips for an unforeseen future, service decisions should create or amplify relative operational advantages over the US military’s rising foe—the People’s Liberation Army. Discerning critical differences between
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External Articles
2025: Possibilities for the Year to Come
December 27, 2024
— 2025 is likely to be a transformative year for Latin America and the Caribbean, and its...
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Ecuador’s Evolving Engagement with the PRC
December 24, 2024
— Under the current Ecuadorian government of Daniel Noboa, major infrastructure, financial, and...
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Making the Case for Democratic, Limited Government and Economic Liberty in the Americas
December 17, 2024
— This work is derived from an address given by the author to the InterAmerican Institute for...
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China’s Summit Diplomacy: Insights From BRICS, APEC and the G20
November 26, 2024
— From late October through mid-November, China’s President Xi Jinping held high-profile engagements in three very different major international forums: the BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia; the APEC Leadership Forum in Lima, Peru; and the G-20 summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Beyond the dominant role of Xi and China in each summit, the three distinct performances by Xi also provide important...
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Opidata #8: The BRICS Summit, China, and the Emerging Illiberal Counter-Order
November 14, 2024
— The 2024 BRICS summit in Kazan solidified an anti-liberal «counter-order,» challenging the rules-based international system. With its expansion to 23 members, the bloc, financially led by China, seeks to evade global restrictions and advance its agendas, though it faces coordination challenges and diverse objectives among its members. ...
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Strategic Implication of the Chinese-Operated Port of Chancay
November 7, 2024
— This article examines the Port of Chancay from a strategic perspective, with a focus on how COSCO (China Ocean Shipping Company) achieved unprecedented control over the operation of the new Peruvian megaport, the impact that the port is likely to have on the global logistics system, and its strategic implications in time of war with the United States. It argues that the project is illustrative of how the PRC...
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Venezuela: The Path Forward
November 6, 2024
— Thanks to the courageous work of the Venezuelan opposition, including obtaining physical and photographic evidence of over 80% of the individual “acts” from Venezuela’s more than 30,000 polling places, the world generally knows that Edmundo Gonzalez received far more votes than Nicholas Maduro in the country’s July 28, 2024, Presidential election. Nonetheless, he is unlikely to successfully take control of the state apparatus that controls Venezuela’s territory on Inauguration Day, January 10, 2025. ...
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Chile’s Expanding Defense Relationship with China
October 18, 2024
— From September 9-14, 2024, Chilean Defense Minister Maya Fernandez Allende, granddaughter of Chile’s...
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Re-Asserting the Value of the Individual for Latin America’s Security and Prosperity
October 15, 2024
— Empowerment of the individual, not the state, is the key to innovation, prosperity, physical and political security for Latin America, as the region engages with an unprecedented array of challenges and new partners. ...
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Understanding the PRC’s Selective Use of Military Hotlines
October 4, 2024
— Executive Summary: The PRC’s strategic use of and reluctance to establish military hotlines reflect a calculated approach to escalation risk, which can be seen in crises ranging from the accidental bombing of its embassy in Belgrade in 1999 to the present day. There is a recognition that hotlines offer tactical benefits, but they are not viewed as a solution...
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