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Nov. 6, 2024

Venezuela: The Path Forward

By Dr. Evan Ellis, PhD

Thanks to the courageous work of the Venezuelan opposition, including obtaining physical and photographic evidence of over 80% of the individual “acts” from Venezuela’s more than 30,000 polling places, the world generally knows that Edmundo Gonzalez received far more votes than Nicholas Maduro in the country’s July 28, 2024, Presidential election.  Nonetheless, he is unlikely to successfully take control of the state apparatus that controls Venezuela’s territory on Inauguration Day, January 10, 2025.   

As during the 2019-2020 period and before, Maduro’s criminal co-conspirators and the repressive apparatus that supports them have not broken with his leadership in any substantial way.  However divided, discontent, and displeased with his leadership they may be, those at the top, understanding that governments and courts know their complicity in the regime’s criminality and corruption from the United States to the United Nations, now fear the criminal liability political change will bring more than they fear the dead-end road Maduro is taking them on. Those at lower levels are watched by both their fearful superiors and the Cuban agents who have thoroughly penetrated the Chavista governing and repressive apparatus.

Keywords: Maduro, Gonzalez, Guyana, Hezbollah, dual sovereignty, People’s Republic of China (PRC), Russia, Iran

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Photo of a man holding the flag of Venezuela, sourced from the article and Pexels (https://www.pexels.com/photo/venezuela-s-president-venezuela-s-president-27857255/)