Recent Publications

Opidata #8: The BRICS Summit, China, and the Emerging Illiberal Counter-Order
November 14, 2024 — The 2024 BRICS summit in Kazan solidified an anti-liberal «counter-order,» challenging the rules-based international system. With its expansion to 23 members, the bloc, financially led by China, seeks to evade global restrictions and advance its agendas, though it faces coordination challenges and diverse objectives among its members. ... MORE

Opidata #8: The BRICS Summit, China, and the Emerging Illiberal Counter-Order | Dr. R. Evan Ellis

On The Annual Estimate of the Strategic Security Environment
November 22, 2023 — The Annual Estimate of the Strategic Security Environment serves as a guide for academics and practitioners in the defense community on the current challenges and opportunities in the strategic environment. This year’s publication outlines key strategic issues across the four broad themes of Regional Challenges and Opportunities, Domestic Challenges, Institutional Challenges, and Domains Impacting US Strategic... MORE

Terrorist Sanctuary in the Sahara: A Case Study
November 1, 2017 — Author: LTC Joseph C. GuidoView the Executive Summary The idea to deny sanctuary to terrorist groups lies at the heart of contemporary U.S. counterterrorism strategy. Violent extremist organizations in North Africa, most notably the group al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), have used remote and sparsely populated areas in the Sahara for... MORE

The Quest for Military Cooperation in North Africa: Prospects and Challenges
October 25, 2016 — Author: Dr Mohammed El-KatiriView the Executive SummaryNorth Africa's security landscape has worsened in the aftermath of the political events of the Arab Spring. Libya's dire state of affairs has had significant repercussions not only on its internal security and stability, but also on that of its neighboring countries, particularly the ones with... MORE

Cover for The Quest for Military Cooperation in North Africa: Prospects and Challenges

An Arab NATO in the Making? Middle Eastern Military Cooperation Since 2011
September 6, 2016 — Author: Dr Florence GaubView the Executive SummaryArab military cooperation has been, over the past century, mostly a history of failures. Whether the Arab League’s Defence Pact or the Middle East Command, ideas for collective security in the region all failed to move beyond the state of declarations. Most of the time, Arab states were either at... MORE

Cover for An Arab NATO in the Making? Middle Eastern Military Cooperation Since 2011

Strengthening Statehood Capabilities for Successful Transitions in the Middle East / North Africa Region
April 2, 2015 — Author: Dr Mohammed El-KatiriView the Executive SummaryIn this monograph, Dr. Mohammed El-Katiri focuses on the variety of challenges that face reform attempts in the post-revolution Arab countries. He examines underlying factors that have prevented new political elites and post-revolution institutions from successfully implementing essential... MORE

State-Building Challenges in a Post-Revolution Libya
October 1, 2012 — Author: Dr Mohammed El-Katiri Following the overthrow of Muammar Qadhafi, Libya’s National Transitional Council inherited a difficult and volatile domestic situation. The new leadership faces serious challenges in all areas of statehood. Libya’s key geostrategic position, and role in hydrocarbon production and exportation, means that the internal... MORE

Cover for State-Building Challenges in a Post-Revolution Libya

Against All Odds: Relations between NATO and the MENA Region
August 1, 2012 — Author: Dr Florence Gaub While NATO was created with a primary outlook to the East, its Southern rim was neglected strategically until the end of the Cold War. Since then, the Alliance has undertaken a number of efforts to build strategic relationships with the Middle East and North Africa, recognizing the region’s importance for Allied security... MORE

Cover for Against All Odds: Relations between NATO and the MENA Region

Strategic Effects of Conflict with Iraq: The Middle East, North Africa, and Turkey
March 1, 2003 — Author: Dr W Andrew Terrill War with Iraq signals the beginning of a new era in American national security policy and alters strategic balances and relationships around the world. The specific effects of the war, though, will vary from region to region. The author offers the following conclusions regarding this region of the world.A U.S. invasion... MORE

Pax NATO: The Opportunities of Enlargement
August 1, 2002 — Author: LTC Raymond A Millen The author examines NATO's extraordinary performance and incisive initiatives during the immediate post-Cold War years. He scrutinizes the impact of enlargement on the Alliance, not only from a military but also a geopolitical perspective. He is quick to point out that, without the needed reforms, new members will bring... MORE