Recent Publications

Maneuver and Manipulation: On the Military Strategy of Online Information Warfare
May 7, 2019 — Author: Mr. Tim HwangView the Executive Summary How should the defense community best organize to combat modern campaigns of propaganda and disinformation? Without a broader strategic concept of the nature of the challenge posed by these techniques, current efforts and investments run the risk of simply chasing the latest tactics without... MORE

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Grand Strategy is Attrition: The Logic of Integrating Various Forms of Power in Conflict
April 5, 2019 — Author: Dr Lukas MilevskiView the Executive Summary In this monograph, Dr. Lukas Milevski examines the logic of grand strategy in practice, defined by its most basic building block—combining military and non-military power in war. He lays out competing visions of how to define grand strategy and why the aforementioned building block is the most... MORE

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New Directions in Just-War Theory
July 30, 2018 — Author: Dr. J. T. ReinerView the Executive SummaryOne of the major developments in international law since World War II is the growth of human rights law dedicated to ensuring the protection of individuals from violence wherever they are, including from their own state. Tracking such changes, in recent decades, just-war theory has evolved from its... MORE

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The Clash of the Trinities: A New Theoretical Analysis of the General Nature of War
September 11, 2017 — Author: MAJ Daniel D. MaurerView the Executive Summary This monograph reimagines war’s fundamental nature, extending Clausewitz’s theory of its political origin and “Trinitarian” elements in a way that embraces alternative, sociological explanations like that of John Keegan. Ultimately, it proposes a new way to visualize the complexities of war’s... MORE

Operating in the Gray Zone: An Alternative Paradigm for U.S. Military Strategy
April 4, 2016 — Author: Dr Antulio J Echevarria IIView the Executive SummarySo-called gray zone wars are not new, but they have highlighted shortcomings in the way the West thinks about war and strategy. This monograph proposes an alternative to the U.S. military's current campaign-planning framework, one oriented on achieving positional advantages over rival... MORE

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Strategy and Grand Strategy: What Students and Practitioners Need to Know
December 31, 2015 — Author: Dr Tami Davis BiddleView the Executive Summary In this monograph, Dr. Tami Davis Biddle examines why it is so difficult to devise, implement, and sustain sound strategies and grand strategies. Her analysis begins with an examination of the meaning of the term “strategy” and a history of the ways that political actors have sought to employ... MORE

Mastering the Gray Zone: Understanding a Changing Era of Conflict
December 2, 2015 — Author: Dr Michael J MazarrView the Executive Summary Discussions of an emerging practice of “gray zone” conflict have become increasingly common throughout the U.S. Army and the wider national security community, but the concept remains ill-defined and poorly understood. This monograph aims to contribute to the emerging dialogue about competition... MORE

Duffer’s Shoal: A Strategic Dream of the Pacific Command Area of Responsibility
August 11, 2015 — Authors: COL Russell N Bailey, LTC Bob Dixon, Ms Laura McAleer, LTC Derek J O'Malley, COL (NZ) Christopher J Parsons, COL Elizabeth R SmithView the Executive Summary This strategic assessment seeks to go beyond a traditional comparative analysis of the military, technological, political, cultural, and economic factors governing the relationships... MORE

Thucydides Was Right: Defining the Future Threat
April 3, 2015 — Author: Dr Colin S GrayView the Executive SummaryTo define future threat is, in a sense, an impossible task, yet it is one that must be done. The only sources of empirical evidence accessible are the past and the present; one cannot obtain understanding about the future from the future. The author draws upon the understanding of strategic history... MORE

Defense Planning for National Security: Navigation Aids for the Mystery Tour
March 19, 2014 — Author: Dr Colin S Gray View the Executive SummaryThe challenge that is defense planning includes: "educated futurology" and the humanities as methodological approaches; futurists and scenarios, trend spotting and defense analysis; the impossibility of science in studying the future; the impossibility of verification by empirical testing of... MORE

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Ambassador Stephen Krasner’s Orienting Principle for Foreign Policy (and Military Management)—Responsible Sovereignty
April 27, 2012 — Author: Dr Max G Manwaring The principle security threat of the past several centuries—war between or among major powers—is gone. Two new types of threats have been introduced into the global security arena. Violent nonstate actors and other indirect political, economic, and social causes of poverty, social exclusion, corruption, terrorism,... MORE

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Puncturing the Counterinsurgency Myth: Britain and Irregular Warfare in the Past, Present, and Future
September 1, 2011 — Author: Dr Andrew Mumford This monograph holds that an aura of mythology has surrounded conventional academic and military perceptions of British performance in the realm of irregular warfare. It identifies 10 myths regarding British counterinsurgency performance and seeks to puncture them by critically assessing the efficacy of the British way of... MORE