Recent Publications

Brazil’s Collision Course With the U.S.?
November 6, 2025 — "In “Brazil’s Collision Course With the U.S.?”, R. Evan Ellis examines the strategic shift in Brazil’s foreign policy under President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and its implications for U.S.–Brazil relations. Since World War II, the two nations have maintained a complex friendship built on cooperation and autonomy. Yet under Lula’s current administration, that relationship faces unprecedented strain."... MORE

Screenshot of Expediente Abierto's Brazil’s Collision Course With the U.S.? by R. Evan Elllis

Leveraging Latin America’s Embrace of the United States
November 4, 2025 — "In recent months, the assertive policy of the Trump administration toward Latin America, from Panama to Mexico to Venezuela to Colombia, has received significant media attention. Ironically, for reasons largely unrelated to that engagement, a confluence of political currents in the region is giving rise to a group of governments, almost unprecedented in number, aligned with and interested in strengthening relations with the United States."... MORE

Screenshot of CSIS' Leveraging Latin America’s Embrace of the United States

Preparing for PRC Military Actions in Latin America in the Context of a War in the Indo-Pacific
October 16, 2025 — Within the new book by the U.S. Military Academy Modern Warfare Institute, “Expecting the Unexpected: Essays on Strategic Surprise in the 21st Century” comes a chapter from Dr. R. Evan Ellis: “Preparing for PRC Military Actions in Latin America in the Context of a War in the Indo-Pacific.”... MORE

Evan Ellis - Preparing for PRC Actions in Latin America in the Context of a War in the Indo-Pacific

Peru’s Complex Security Challenges and the Government Response
October 14, 2025 — "From September 13 through 21, 2025, the author traveled to Lima, Peru for an event bring them together faculty from the US Army War College and it’s alumni from Peru and across the region. There, he spoke to a wide range of Peruvian security experts about the country’s challenges and the response of its government and security forces. This work relays the insights from those conversations."... MORE

Expediente Abierto's Peru’s Complex Security Challenges and the Government Response by R. Evan Ellis

Global Public Security with Chinese Characteristics
September 30, 2025 — A conversation between Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Bonnie Glaser on China's Global Security Initiative... MORE

Slide for GMF's China Global Podcast episode Global Public Security with Chinese Characteristics