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External Articles | Jan. 5, 2026

How Maduro’s capture went down – a military strategist explains what goe...

The predawn seizure of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on Jan. 3, 2026 was a complicated affair. It was also, operationally, a resounding success for the U.S. military.Operation Absolute Resolve achieved its objective of seizing Maduro through a

Publications | Aug. 26, 2025

Loyal Paraguay: The Peña Government’s Strategic Choice to Stay with Taiwan

From August 11-15, 2025, the author was in Asuncion, Paraguay, in an International Republican Institute (IRI) event hosted by that nation’s President Santiago Peña, bringing together government officials, diplomats, businesspersons, and civil

Publications | Aug. 15, 2025

The Economic Argument for Keeping US Forces in Europe

NATO’s Hague summit earlier this summer has generally been viewed as a qualified success, despite — or perhaps because of — its unusually short and focused agenda. The new 5 percent defense spending commitment deserves most of the credit for this

External Articles | Aug. 13, 2025

Election, Crisis, and U.S. Opportunity in Bolivia

Bolivia, strategically at the center of South America, faces a critical election that will define its direction in its current profound economic, political and security crisis, its future relationship with the People’s Republic of China (PRC), its

Publications | July 22, 2025

More Than a Numbers Game: Comparing US and Chinese Landpower in the Paci...

As the US Army organizes, trains, and equips for an unforeseen future, service decisions should create or amplify relative operational advantages over the US military’s rising foe—the People’s Liberation Army. Discerning critical differences between
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Category: Publications

Arms Control and Proliferation Challenges to the Reset Policy
November 1, 2011
Arms Control and Proliferation Challenges to the Reset Policy

Forecasting Zero: U.S. Nuclear History and the Low Probability of Disarmament
November 1, 2011
Forecasting Zero: U.S. Nuclear History and the Low Probability of Disarmament

Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future
November 1, 2011
Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

Chinese Lessons from Other Peoples’ Wars
November 1, 2011
Chinese Lessons from Other Peoples’ Wars

Op-Ed: China’s Aircraft Carrier: The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly
October 27, 2011

Economic Transition in Afghanistan: How to Soften a Hard Landing
October 25, 2011

The Afghanistan Question and the Reset in U.S.-Russian Relations
October 1, 2011
Real Leadership and the U.S. Army: Overcoming a Failure of Imagination to Conduct Adaptive Work

Natural Gas as an Instrument of Russian State Power
October 1, 2011
Real Leadership and the U.S. Army: Overcoming a Failure of Imagination to Conduct Adaptive Work

Presidential Succession Scenarios in Egypt and Their Impact on U.S.-Egyptian Strategic Relations
October 1, 2011
Presidential Succession Scenarios in Egypt and Their Impact on U.S.-Egyptian Strategic Relations

Mexico’s “Narco-Refugees”: The Looming Challenge for U.S. National Security
October 1, 2011
Mexico's "Narco-Refugees": The Looming Challenge for U.S. National Security