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Recent Publications
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AY 97 Compendium Army After Next Project
April 1, 1998
— Author: Dr Douglas V Johnson II These student papers are largely focused on present problems which must be solved before movement toward the future can make much progress. If they are not dramatically futuristic in approach, they are nevertheless set against a future backdrop which is still in the process of being defined. The broader Army After...
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New Century, Old Thinking: The Dangers of the Perceptual Gap in U.S.-China Relations
April 1, 1998
— Author: COL Susan M Puska The author provides an examination of the reciprocal relations between China and the United States over the past century and a half. She articulates the theme that cycles of misperception have characterized the relationship. If this past is prologue, then potential conflict looms darkly over future U.S.-China interactions...
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Evolutionary Technology in the Current Revolution in Military Affairs: The Army Tactical Command and Control System
March 25, 1998
— Author: Ms. Elizabeth A. Stanley Elizabeth A. Stanley analyzes developments in the Army Tactical Command and Control System as a vehicle for assessing the U.S. Army's strategy for exploiting information age technologies. Her analysis will be of great value to those interested in several dimensions of military modernization, in particular whether we...
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Russia’s Armed Forces on the Brink of Reform
March 1, 1998
— Author: Dr Stephen J Blank Despite over a dozen years of talk, the Soviet and now Russian military has not undergone a true military reform. What did happen was a form of degeneration and disintegration, but not a methodically planned and directed transformation and/or adaptation to new conditions. Consequently, defense policy, in all of its...
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Five-Dimensional (Cyber) Warfighting: Can the Army After Next be Defeated Through Complex Concepts and Technologies?
March 1, 1998
— Author: Dr Robert J Bunker The theme for the U.S. Army War College's Ninth Annual Strategy Conference (April 1998) is "Challenging the United States Symmetrically and Asymmetrically: Can America Be Defeated?" Dr. Robert J. Bunker of California State University, San Bernardino, answers the question with an emphatic "yes." He expounds a scenario in...
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The Age of Revolutions
March 1, 1998
— Author: LTG Claudia Kennedy Lieutenant General Claudia Kennedy, the Army Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, postulates a future world where challenges to the national security and national interests of the United States will come from many sources. Not only will the armed forces of the United States have to be prepared to counter attacks by...
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Joint U.S. Army-Navy War Planning on the Eve of the First World War
February 16, 1998
— Author: COL Adolf Carlson All the histories of the First World War devote considerable attention to the impact of war plans and war planners—how in the foreign relations among the great powers war plans became factors in their own right. Many of these plans revealed volumes about the attitudes of the officers who wrote them, from the offensive a...
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Force Planning Considerations for Army XXI
February 1, 1998
— Author: Dr William T Johnsen The U.S. Army has moved along the path of preparing for the 21st century. This process began with the conceptual examinations and assessments carried out under the "Louisiana Maneuvers" and the Army's Battle Labs, and matured through the Force XXI process. The Army recently completed its first series of Advanced...
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Searching for Stable Peace in the Persian Gulf
February 1, 1998
— Authors: Dr Kenneth Katzman, Dr Stephen C Pelletiere Congressional Research Staffer Kenneth Katzman reviews the history of dual containment, and shows how adherence to the policy has eroded. He suggests it is time for Washington to change course in the Gulf, and lays out a course of action the United States should follow to maintain its leadership...
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World View: The 1998 Strategic Assessment from the Strategic Studies Institute
February 1, 1998
— Author: Dr Earl H Tilford Jr World View presents the annual strategic assessments of the analysts at the Strategic Studies Institute. It is fifth in a series that reflects both our individual forecasts and collective review of the key security issues facing the United States. The process that produces World View also leads to our annual Research...
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Assessing the Costs of Failure
June 26, 1997
— Authors: Dr Stephen C Pelletiere, Prof Shibley Telhami, Mr Lawrence R Velte As of mid-1997, the fate of the Arab-Israeli peace process is dangerously uncertain. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's decision to begin work on a new Jewish settlement in Jerusalem has so enraged Palestinians that they have effectively walked out of the negotiations...
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The Evolution in Military Affairs: Shaping the Future U.S. Armed Forces
June 16, 1997
— Author: Prof Douglas C Lovelace Jr Professor Douglas Lovelace articulates the exigent need to begin preparing the U.S. armed forces for the international security environment which will succeed the post-Cold War era. He defines national security interests, describes the future international security environment, identifies derivative future...
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