Recent Publications

War with China: A View from Early 2024
April 11, 2024 — US defense analysts are overdue for a fundamental reassessment of the strategic factors that would shape a future Sino-American war. The United States may lower the overall risk of sparking a war between Washington and Beijing by more formally committing advanced US capabilities in intelligence collection and targeting, long-range fires, and theater air and missile defense to Japan and South Korea and by initiating bilateral planning to introduce such capabilities in Taiwan in the future. The US defense community still lacks a broad and integrated national strategy for successfully managing the rivalry with China. A clear-eyed assessment of a possible United States-China war could lead to a national strategy... MORE

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Parameters | Spring 2024
March 7, 2024 — The Spring issue is out! In this edition: “Ukraine: A Case for Urgency” by Anthony L. Tingle and Rebecca W. Jensen and “Strategic Art for Sanctions” by David Katz; SRAD DIRECTOR’S CORNER “Emerging Technologies and Terrorism: A Report from NATO's COE-DAT”; For the latest on the Indo-Pacific, Strategic Thinking, the Middle East, and even the US Civil War check out the new issue... MORE

Assessing the Outcome of Taiwan's Presidential Election | 2024 Elections to Watch
January 18, 2024 — On January 13 Taiwanese voters headed to the polls, where they elected William Lai to serve as president. Carnegie Asia Program non-resident scholar Sheena Greitens breaks down the results of the election and the various issues at play.Watch on YouTube MORE

On January 13 Taiwanese voters headed to the polls, where they elected William Lai to serve as president.

Carnegie Asia Program non-resident scholar Sheena Greitens breaks down the results of the election and the various issues at play.

Deterrence Gap: Avoiding War in the Taiwan Strait
January 5, 2024 — Jared M. McKinney and Peter Harris | The likelihood China will attack Taiwan in the next decade is high and will continue to be so, unless Taipei and Washington take urgent steps to restore deterrence across the Taiwan Strait. This monograph introduces the concept of interlocking deterrents, explains why deterrents lose their potency with the... MORE

The likelihood China will attack Taiwan in the next decade is high and will continue to be so, unless Taipei and Washington take urgent steps to restore deterrence across the Taiwan Strait. This monograph introduces the concept of interlocking deterrents, explains why deterrents lose their potency with the passage of time, and provides concrete recommendations for how Taiwan, the United States, and other regional powers can develop multiple, interlocking deterrents that will ensure Taiwanese security in the short and longer terms. By joining deterrence theory with an empirical analysis of Taiwanese, Chinese, and US policies, the monograph provides US military and policy practitioners new insights into ways to deter the People’s Republic of China from invading Taiwan without relying exclusively on the threat of great-power war.
Jared M. McKinney and Peter Harris
Keywords
Taiwan, China, deterrence, cross-strait relations, Indo-Pacific, East Asia, US foreign policy, international security

Disciplines
Defense and Security Studies

https://press.armywarcollege.edu/monographs/964

Parameters | Autumn 2023
August 25, 2023 — A Historical Perspective on Today’s Recruiting Crisis | A Call to Action: Lessons from Ukraine for the Future Force | The Strategic Importance of Taiwan to the United States and Its Allies: Part Two – A Focus on Policy since the Start of the Russia-Ukraine War | The Impact of Antarctic Treaty Challenges on the US Military | US-Russia Foreign Policy: Confronting Russia’s Geographic Anxieties |... MORE

Parameters | Autumn 2023

From the Acting Editor in Chief
Conrad C. Crane
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/8

In Focus
A Historical Perspective on Today’s Recruiting Crisis
Brian McAllister Linn
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/9

Parameters | Autumn 2023
A Call to Action: Lessons from Ukraine for the Future Force
Katie Crombe and John A. Naglhttps://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/10

Strategic Challenges
The Strategic Importance of Taiwan to the United States and Its Allies: Part Two – A Focus on Policy since the Start of the Russia-Ukraine War
Luke P. Bellocchi
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/11

The Impact of Antarctic Treaty Challenges on the US Military
Ryan J. Bridley and Kevin W. Matthews
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/12

US-Russia Foreign Policy: Confronting Russia’s Geographic Anxieties
Caitlin P. Irby
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/11

Historical Studies
Urban Resistance to Occupation: An Underestimated Element of Land Warfare
Kevin D. Stringer and Jelle J. H. Hooiveld
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/14

The Chechen Kadyrovtsy’s Coercive Violence in Ukraine
Wilson A. Jones
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/11=5

SRAD Director’s Corner
US Army War College Russia-Ukraine War Study Project
Eric Hartunian
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/15

Autumn Book Reviews
USAWC Press
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/16

Parameters | Summer 2023
May 19, 2023 — adetail.news .article-body { max-width: 80% !important; }Parameters | Summer 2023 From the Acting Editor in ChiefConrad C. CraneIn FocusResponding to Future Pandemics: Biosecurity Implications and Defense ConsiderationsDiane DiEuliis and James GiordanoUnderstanding the Adversary: Strategic Empathy and Perspective Taking in National SecurityAllison... MORE

Parameters Summer 2023 Issue
US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College Press

Parameters | Winter 2022–23
November 18, 2022 — Parameters | Winter 2022–23From the Acting Editor in ChiefConrad C. CraneIn FocusPresent Danger: Nuclear Power Plants and Modern WarfareHenry D. SokolskiPutin Chooses between a Series of Bad OptionsJeffrey D. McCauslandIndo-PacificIndian Perspectives: Insights for Indo-American PartnershipTyrell O. MayfieldSecurity Force Assistance Brigades and US... MORE

Parameters Winter 2021–22
November 22, 2021 — What Went Wrong in Afghanistan? | Broken Nest: Deterring China from Invading Taiwan | Sino-Indian Border Disputes in an Era of Strategic Expansions | Rethinking US Strategic Concepts | Defeat Mechanisms in Modern Warfare | The Air Littoral: Another Look In Tribute | The Grand Strategic Thought of Colin S. Gray | Sherman and His Historians: An End to the Outsized Destroyer Myth?... MORE

A Hard Look at Hard Power: Assessing the Defense Capabilities of Key US Allies and Security Partners—Second Edition
October 30, 2020 — Mr. Gary J. Schmitt, 2020With the United States facing two major revisionist powers, Russia and China, as well as additional security threats from North Korea, Iran, and jihadist terrorism, a critical advantage for the United States is its global network of alliances and strategic partners. As the 2018 National Defense Strategy states, “Alliances... MORE

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Strategic Insights: Un-"Steady" State Operations: Redefining the Approach to Phase Zero in a Complex World
June 20, 2016 — LTC Thomas R. Matelski In recent months, there has been much discussion in the U.S. Department of Defense and its subordinate components over the conduct of steady state operations, or as defined in the Joint Operation Planning Process (JOPP), Phase Zero (Phase 0) operations.1 While important to military planning, the current construct for Phase 0... MORE

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A Few Questions About China’s Air Defense Identification Zone and Its Aftermath
March 22, 2014 — China declared an air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in the East China Sea on November 23, 2013 (See Figure 1). This move set off a security and political tsunami in the Western Pacific. The United States immediately denounced China’s sudden and unilateral act. Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, Australia, the European Union, and many... MORE

The Chinese People’s Liberation Army and Information Warfare
March 1, 2014 — Author: Dr Larry M Wortzel On November 23, 2013, the Chinese government announced plans to establish a new air defense intercept zone which will include the Diaoyu or Senkaku Islands, sovereignty over which is disputed by Japan, China, and Taiwan. Due to complaints of cyber penetrations attributed to the Chinese People’s Liberation Army, U.S... MORE

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