Recent Publications

Assessing the Outcome of Taiwan's Presidential Election | 2024 Elections to Watch
January 18, 2024 — On January 13 Taiwanese voters headed to the polls, where they elected William Lai to serve as president. Carnegie Asia Program non-resident scholar Sheena Greitens breaks down the results of the election and the various issues at play.Watch on YouTube MORE

On January 13 Taiwanese voters headed to the polls, where they elected William Lai to serve as president.

Carnegie Asia Program non-resident scholar Sheena Greitens breaks down the results of the election and the various issues at play.

Deterrence Gap: Avoiding War in the Taiwan Strait
January 16, 2024 — The likelihood China will attack Taiwan in the next decade is high and will continue to be so, unless Taipei and Washington take urgent steps to restore deterrence across the Taiwan Strait. This podcast introduces the concept of interlocking deterrents, explains why deterrents lose their potency with the passage of time, and provides concrete... MORE

Deterrence Gap: Avoiding War in the Taiwan Strait
January 5, 2024 — The likelihood China will attack Taiwan in the next decade is high and will continue to be so, unless Taipei and Washington take urgent steps to restore deterrence across the Taiwan Strait. This monograph introduces the concept of interlocking deterrents, explains why deterrents lose their potency with the passage of time, and provides concrete... MORE

The likelihood China will attack Taiwan in the next decade is high and will continue to be so, unless Taipei and Washington take urgent steps to restore deterrence across the Taiwan Strait. This monograph introduces the concept of interlocking deterrents, explains why deterrents lose their potency with the passage of time, and provides concrete recommendations for how Taiwan, the United States, and other regional powers can develop multiple, interlocking deterrents that will ensure Taiwanese security in the short and longer terms. By joining deterrence theory with an empirical analysis of Taiwanese, Chinese, and US policies, the monograph provides US military and policy practitioners new insights into ways to deter the People’s Republic of China from invading Taiwan without relying exclusively on the threat of great-power war.
Jared M. McKinney and Peter Harris
Keywords
Taiwan, China, deterrence, cross-strait relations, Indo-Pacific, East Asia, US foreign policy, international security

Disciplines
Defense and Security Studies

https://press.armywarcollege.edu/monographs/964

The Strategic Importace of Tawian to the United States and Its Allies: Part Two
October 30, 2023 — Taiwan has become increasingly important to the United States and its allies as the Russia-Ukraine War has united democracies against authoritarian expansionism and indeed has developed an international democracy-authoritarianism dynamic in global affairs. Part one of this article clearly outlined the geopolitical, economic, and soft-power reasons why Taiwan is strategically important. Part two reviews the development... MORE

On White Sun War: The Campaign for Taiwan
September 19, 2023 — In this podcast, US Army Col. Jon Klug and retired Australian Major General Mick Ryan discuss Ryan’s most recent book, White Sun War: The Campaign for Taiwan, and its potential implications for future warfare. In the summer of 1986, Tom Clancy’s novel Red Storm Rising debuted at number one on the New York Times bestseller list as it brought to life World War III, although a nonnuclear version... MORE

Parameters Autumn 2023 Issue Preview
September 12, 2023 — This podcast offers a preview of the latest Parameters demi-issue and full issue. Read the issue here: https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/7/ ... MORE

Parameters | Autumn 2023
August 25, 2023 — A Historical Perspective on Today’s Recruiting Crisis | A Call to Action: Lessons from Ukraine for the Future Force | The Strategic Importance of Taiwan to the United States and Its Allies: Part Two – A Focus on Policy since the Start of the Russia-Ukraine War | The Impact of Antarctic Treaty Challenges on the US Military | US-Russia Foreign Policy: Confronting Russia’s Geographic Anxieties |... MORE

Parameters | Autumn 2023

From the Acting Editor in Chief
Conrad C. Crane
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/8

In Focus
A Historical Perspective on Today’s Recruiting Crisis
Brian McAllister Linn
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/9

Parameters | Autumn 2023
A Call to Action: Lessons from Ukraine for the Future Force
Katie Crombe and John A. Naglhttps://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/10

Strategic Challenges
The Strategic Importance of Taiwan to the United States and Its Allies: Part Two – A Focus on Policy since the Start of the Russia-Ukraine War
Luke P. Bellocchi
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/11

The Impact of Antarctic Treaty Challenges on the US Military
Ryan J. Bridley and Kevin W. Matthews
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/12

US-Russia Foreign Policy: Confronting Russia’s Geographic Anxieties
Caitlin P. Irby
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/11

Historical Studies
Urban Resistance to Occupation: An Underestimated Element of Land Warfare
Kevin D. Stringer and Jelle J. H. Hooiveld
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/14

The Chechen Kadyrovtsy’s Coercive Violence in Ukraine
Wilson A. Jones
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/11=5

SRAD Director’s Corner
US Army War College Russia-Ukraine War Study Project
Eric Hartunian
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/15

Autumn Book Reviews
USAWC Press
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol53/iss3/16

"The Strategic Importance of Taiwan to the United States and Its Allies"
July 31, 2023 — This podcast presents four factors to consider in evaluating Taiwan’s strategic importance to the United States and its allies and answers a question often raised at forums concerning the Indo-Pacific: “Why should the United States care” about this small island in the Pacific? The response often given is simply US credibility, and while this is an important factor, this podcast reviews a wider array of possible factors to consider when answering that question. The study of these factors should assist US military and policy practitioners in accurately evaluating the related strategic environment... MORE

“Taiwan’s Food Resiliency—or Not—in a Conflict with China”
June 2, 2023 — The US military, intelligence, and diplomatic communities have overlooked a key vulnerability in their assessment of a potential military conflict between China and Taiwan—Taiwan’s growing reliance on agricultural imports and its food stocks (except for rice) that could endure trade disruptions for only six months. This podcast assesses Taiwan’s agricultural sector and its ability to feed the country’s population if food imports and production are disrupted; identifies the food products that should be prioritized in resupply operations, based on Taiwan’s nutritional needs and domestic food production; and outlines the required logistical assets. These findings underscore the urgency for US military planners to develop long-term logistical solutions for this complex strategic issue. ... MORE

Parameters | Summer 2023
May 19, 2023 — adetail.news .article-body { max-width: 80% !important; }Parameters | Summer 2023 From the Acting Editor in ChiefConrad C. CraneIn FocusResponding to Future Pandemics: Biosecurity Implications and Defense ConsiderationsDiane DiEuliis and James GiordanoUnderstanding the Adversary: Strategic Empathy and Perspective Taking in National SecurityAllison... MORE

Parameters Summer 2023 Issue
US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College Press

Parameters Summer Preview
April 26, 2023 — This podcast offers a preview of the latest Parameters demi-issue and full issue... MORE

SRAD Director’s Corner: Preserving Taiwan as Strategic Imperative
December 1, 2022 — In the fourth installment of the SRAD Director’s Corner, Shatzer focuses on the Taiwan/China relationship. He reviews The Trouble with Taiwan: History, the United States and a Rising China by Kerry Brown and Kalley Wu Tzu-hui and Taiwan Straits Standoff: 70 Years of PRC–Taiwan Cross-Strait Tensions by Bruce A. Elleman and shows how these books might help strategists better understand the contentious and violent history of cross-strait relations between Taiwan and China so they can deal with the problem today and in the future. ... MORE