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Parameters | Autumn 2025
September 16, 2025
Parameters Autumn 2025 Slide

Understanding, Deterring, and Preparing for a Great-Power War in the Twenty-First Century
August 6, 2025
Slide for Understanding, Deterring, and Preparing for a Great-Power War in the Twenty-First Century

Weaponizing Risk: Recalibrating Western Deterrence
July 22, 2025
Slide for Weaponizing Risk: Recalibrating Western Deterrence

It’s (Still) More Expensive to Rotate Military Forces Overseas than Base Them There
December 19, 2024
It’s (still) more expensive to rotate military forces overseas than base them there | By John R. Deni

Rethinking the Relevance of Self-Deterrence
April 24, 2024
Decisive Point podcast graphic

Deterrence Gap: Avoiding War in the Taiwan Strait (Part 2)
April 24, 2024
Conversations on Strategy

Deterrence Gap: Avoiding War in the Taiwan Strait - Part 1
April 11, 2024
Conversations on Strategy

Parameters | Spring 2024
March 7, 2024
Parameters Spring 2024

Deterrence Gap: Avoiding War in the Taiwan Strait
January 16, 2024
Conversations on Strategy

Deterrence Gap: Avoiding War in the Taiwan Strait
January 5, 2024
The likelihood China will attack Taiwan in the next decade is high and will continue to be so, unless Taipei and Washington take urgent steps to restore deterrence across the Taiwan Strait. This monograph introduces the concept of interlocking deterrents, explains why deterrents lose their potency with the passage of time, and provides concrete recommendations for how Taiwan, the United States, and other regional powers can develop multiple, interlocking deterrents that will ensure Taiwanese security in the short and longer terms. By joining deterrence theory with an empirical analysis of Taiwanese, Chinese, and US policies, the monograph provides US military and policy practitioners new insights into ways to deter the People’s Republic of China from invading Taiwan without relying exclusively on the threat of great-power war.
Jared M. McKinney and Peter Harris
Keywords
Taiwan, China, deterrence, cross-strait relations, Indo-Pacific, East Asia, US foreign policy, international security
 
Disciplines
Defense and Security Studies
 
https://press.armywarcollege.edu/monographs/964

"Deterring Russian Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons A Revised Approach"
December 7, 2023
Decisive Point Podcast

“Was the Russian Invasion of Ukraine a Failure of Western Deterrence?"
November 22, 2023
Decisive Point Podcast