Recent Publications

Civil-Military Change in China: Elites, Institutes, and Ideas After the 16th Party Congress
September 1, 2004 — Authors: Dr Andrew Scobell, Dr Larry M Wortzel In November 2002, the Chinese Communist Party held its 16th Congress and formally initiated a sweeping turnover of senior leaders in both the Party and the People's Liberation Army (PLA). The meeting heralded not merely a new set of personalities in positions of political and military power, but also... MORE

China and North Korea: From Comrades-In-Arms to Allies at Arm’s Length
March 1, 2004 — Author: Dr Andrew Scobell At first, it might not seem surprising to have a formal military alliance that has endured more than 4 decades between two communist neighbors, China and North Korea. After all, their armed forces fought shoulder-to-shoulder in the Korean War 50 years ago. However, Beijing's ties to Pyongyang have weakened considerably... MORE

The Lessons of History: The Chinese people’s Liberation Army at 75
July 1, 2003 — Authors: Ms Laurie Burkitt, Dr Andrew Scobell, Dr Larry M Wortzel With the armed forces of the People's Republic of China (PLA) celebrating its 75th anniversary on August 1, 2002, it only seemed appropriate and timely to take stock of the world's largest military. The PLA has officially been in existence for three-quarters of a century, and its... MORE

Recalibrating the U.S.-Republic of Korea Alliance
May 1, 2003 — Authors: COL Donald W Boose Jr, Ms Balbina Y Hwang, Dr Patrick Morgan USMC, Dr Andrew Scobell On October 18-20, 2001, the 16th Annual Conference of the Council on U.S.-Korean Security Studies was held in Washington, DC. Created in 1985 by retired generals Richard Stilwell of the United States and Sun Yup Paik of the Republic of Korea, the Council's... MORE

Strategic Effects of Conflict with Iraq: Australia and New Zealand
March 1, 2003 — Author: Dr Andrew Scobell The author has been asked to analyze four issues: the position that key states in their region are taking on U.S. military action against Iraq; the role of America in the region after the war with Iraq; the nature of security partnerships in the region after the war with Iraq; and the effect that war with Iraq will have on... MORE

China’s Growing Military Power: Perspectives on Security, Ballistic Missiles, and Conventional Capabilities
September 1, 2002 — Authors: Dr Andrew Scobell, Dr Larry M Wortzel This volume, comprised of papers originally presented at a conference held at Carlisle Barracks in September 2001, helps to put the Hainan Island incident in the broader context of China's strategic aspirations and its growing military capabilities. This conference's co-sponsors were the American... MORE

China and Strategic Culture
May 1, 2002 — Author: Dr Andrew Scobell The author examines the impact of strategic culture on 21st century China. He contends that the People's Republic of China's security policies and its tendency to use military force are influenced not only by elite understandings of China's own strategic tradition, but also by their understandings of the strategic cultures... MORE

The Costs of Conflict: The Impact on China of a Future War
October 1, 2001 — Author: Dr Andrew Scobell It is increasingly important for Americans to think carefully about the vast complexities of the U.S.-China relationship, and the calculations that go into forming courses of action. The key question is: will China s so-called first priority of economic development and its resulting influence on domestic social stability... MORE

U.S. Army and the Asia-Pacific
April 1, 2001 — Author: Dr Andrew Scobell The United States has key economic and security interests in the Asia-Pacific region. In recent decades, the Asia-Pacific has experienced rapid economic growth, a wave of democratization, and the emergence of a web of regional and sub regional multilateral institutions. All these developments have contributed to enhancing... MORE

The Asia-Pacific in the U.S. National Security Calculus for a New Millennium
December 1, 2000 — Authors: Dr Andrew Scobell, Dr Larry M Wortzel The authors of this monograph survey the challenges to U.S. national security that confront this diverse and dynamic region, highlighting the particularly volatile situation that continues on the Korean peninsula. Beyond continued U.S. attention to maintaining a robust military presence and steadfast... MORE

Chinese Army Building in the Era of Jiang Zemin
July 1, 2000 — Author: Dr Andrew Scobell To many in the United States, China looms large and threatening. This monograph attempts to answer, through an analysis of China's defense establishment under the leadership of Jiang Zemin, questions such as: What are the national security and national military goals of China's leaders? What strategies are Chinese leaders... MORE