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Understanding the PRC’s Selective Use of Military Hotlines
Executive Summary: The PRC’s strategic use of and reluctance to establish military hotlines reflect a calculated approach to escalation risk, which can be seen in crises ranging from the accidental bombing of its embassy in Belgrade in 1999 to the present day. There is a recognition that hotlines offer tactical benefits, but they are not viewed as a solution to Image source: Xi Jinping met with representatives of the 78th Group Army officers and soldiers, via qstheory from article (https://jamestown.org/program/understanding-the-prcs-selective-use-of-military-hotlines/)
Oct. 4, 2024 - Executive Summary: The PRC’s strategic use of and reluctance to establish military hotlines reflect a calculated approach to escalation risk, which can be seen in crises ranging from the accidental bombing of its embassy in...
Ukraine in NATO: Beyond the ‘Irreversible Path’
Whether and how NATO might pull Ukraine closer attracted a great deal of attention at the 2024 Washington summit, with the Alliance settling on the formulation of an ‘irreversible path’ towards Kyiv’s membership and pledging to further institutionalise the NATO–Ukraine relationship. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00396338.2024.2403220
Sept. 20, 2024 - Whether and how NATO might pull Ukraine closer attracted a great deal of attention at the 2024 Washington summit, with the Alliance settling on the formulation of an ‘irreversible path’ towards Kyiv’s membership and pledging...
Brazil’s Attempt to Control X: The Deterioration of the Liberal World Order
Elon Musk’s clash with the Lula government raises the issue of how to promote democracy and free speech in the new technological era. The move by the Brazilian government of Luis Ignacio (Lula) da Silva against the Elon Musk-owned information companies X and Starlink have transcendental significance beyond the struggle at hand. It is illustrative of the efforts of regimes both authoritarian and democratic to shield themselves from informational, commercial and legal vulnerabilities arising from a global connectivity whose effects are made increasingly pronounced by advances in digital technologies.
Sept. 13, 2024 - Elon Musk’s clash with the Lula government raises the issue of how to promote democracy and free speech in the new technological era...
Bolivia and US Dilemmas in Engaging with Problematic Regimes in Latin America
R. Evan Ellis Background photo of La Paz, Bolivia skyline from article (https://www.indrastra.com/2024/09/bolivia-and-us-dilemmas-in-engaging.html)
Sept. 12, 2024 - I recently had the opportunity to engage with a senior Bolivian colleague connected with the government of Luis Arce regarding the country’s economic and political difficulties and its relationship with the United...
Ukraine has invaded Russia, what happens next?
Ukraine has invaded Russia, what happens next? Dr. John R. Deni Background image of the roadsign at the semi-destroyed entry-exit checkpoint ‘Sudzha’ on the Ukraine-Russia border from ABC.net.au (https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/saturdayextra/ukraine-kursk/104260482)
Aug. 26, 2024 - Ukraine shocked Russia and its allies by launching a surprise attack on the Kursk region and has now seized over 1200 square kilometres of enemy territory. Will this operation prove pivotal for the war or could it turn into a...
The NATO Strategic Concept on Its Seventy-Fifth Anniversary
The NATO Strategic Concept on its Seventy-Fifth Anniversary Dr. John R. Deni Dr. Sten Rynning https://www.armyupress.army.mil/Journals/Military-Review/English-Edition-Archives/July-August-2024/NATO-Strategic-Concept/ The 2022 Brussels summit in Belgium, a meeting of the heads of state and government of NATO, took place 24 March 2022 at NATO’s headquarters just one month after the February 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. Following the summit, leaders released a joint statement condemning the attacks on civilians and calling on Russia to immediately suspend military operations in Ukraine. (Photo courtesy of NATO)
Aug. 14, 2024 - | Published by Army University Press Military Review, July-August 2024 |  The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will celebrate its seventy-fifth anniversary at its 2024 summit in Washington, D.C. NATO’s age tells a...
Venezuela’s Elections: Hoping for the Best, Preparing for the Worst
Venezuela's Elections: Hoping for the Best, Preparing for the Worst - R. Evan Ellis As Venezuela moves toward promised national elections on July 28, my heart is with the hopes of Venezuelans for a miracle that will translate their courageous act of voting, into a restoration of democracy. Everything I have seen unfold in the country over the past 25 years of my career in government and the private sector following Venezuela leads me to expect the worst. https://www.indrastra.com/2024/07/venezuelas-elections-hoping-for-best.html
July 25, 2024 - As Venezuela moves toward promised national elections on July 28, my heart is with the hopes of Venezuelans for a miracle that will translate their courageous act of voting, into a restoration of democracy. Everything I have...
China, the Illiberal Counter-Order, and the Role of Values in the Strategic Response
China, the Illiberal Counter-Order, and the Role of Values in the Strategic Response R. Evan Ellis https://gordoninstitute.fiu.edu/news-events/the-policy-spotlight/2024/china-the-illiberal-counter-order-and-the-role-of-values-in-the-strategic-response.html
July 22, 2024 - The dynamics of the international order in the third decade of the 21st Century are changing profoundly.  The magnitude and complexity of the change are illustrated by Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine, in both its initial...
Engagement with China has had a Multifaceted Impact on Latin American Democracy
R. Evan Ellis Background photo by AP Ng Han Guan, Pool, reposted from article (https://thediplomat.com/2024/07/engagement-with-china-has-had-a-multifaceted-impact-on-latin-american-democracy)
July 15, 2024 - While Beijing may not deliberately promote authoritarian regimes in Latin America, implicit risks to the dynamics of democracies arise out of engagement with China.In its public discourse, unlike the Soviet Union during the...
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