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8 Simmering Threats You Shouldn’t Ignore in 2025: A Plausibly Deniable Russian War Against Europe
A Plausibly Deniable Russian War Against Europe | John R. Deni, in Foreign Policy
Jan. 2, 2025 - The sabotage of undersea communications cables in the Baltic Sea by the cargo ship Yi Peng 3 is only the latest in a series of asymmetric attacks against Western interests and infrastructure that appear to be connected in one...

2025: Possibilities for the Year to Come
2025: Possibilities for the Year to Come | Dr. R. Evan Ellis in Indrastra
Dec. 27, 2024 - 2025 is likely to be a transformative year for Latin America and the Caribbean, and its relationships with the United States, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and other actors. Although it is impossible to predict with...

Ecuador’s Evolving Engagement with the PRC
Ecuador’s Evolving  Engagement with the PRC | Dr. R. Evan Ellis | Published by The Diplomat
Dec. 24, 2024 - Under the current Ecuadorian government of Daniel Noboa, major infrastructure, financial, and security cooperation with China has been restrained, but political expediency may change that.In September 2024, Ecuadorian Economy...

It’s (Still) More Expensive to Rotate Military Forces Overseas than Base Them There
It’s (still) more expensive to rotate military forces overseas than base them there | By John R. Deni
Dec. 19, 2024 - In mid-2020, then-President Donald Trump ordered the Pentagon to withdraw roughly one-third of US forces from Germany, reportedly because of policy differences with Berlin. Given how long it would take to implement such a...

Security Implications for the United States from Iranian and Hezbollah Activities in Latin America
Security Implications for the United States from Iranian and Hezbollah Activities in Latin America | R. Evan Ellis 
WEBINAR with Homeland Defense and Security Information Analysis Center (HDIAC) https://youtu.be/tCh_k7zYgiQ
Dec. 18, 2024 - This presentation will examine engagement with Latin America by Iran, its government agents, and surrogate groups such as Hezbollah, including terrorist finance, terrorism, and other activities and their evolution in recent...

Making the Case for Democratic, Limited Government and Economic Liberty in the Americas
Making the Case for Democratic, Limited Government and Economic Liberty in the Americas | R. Evan Ellis
Background image of worldmap overlaid on a city, from Freepik (https://www.freepik.com/free-photo/world-map-continent-global-support-graphic_17117708.htm)
US Army War College Press
Dec. 17, 2024 - This work is derived from an address given by the author to the InterAmerican Institute for Democracy on December 4, 2024, in Miami, Florida.In discussing the status of political and economic freedom in Latin America, my...

Will Assad’s Defeat be Putin’s Waterloo?
Will Assad’s defeat be Putin’s Waterloo? | John R. Deni
The Assad regime in Syria has become a casualty of Moscow’s increasingly desperate efforts in Ukraine, and its collapse is a strategic and operational blow that undermines the narrative of Russia as ascendant, Kyiv as doomed, and Vladimir Putin as strategic mastermind.
Dec. 10, 2024 - The narrative of Russia’s ascendancy in 2024 is beginning to look like more fiction than fact. The Assad regime in Syria has become a casualty of Moscow’s increasingly desperate efforts in Ukraine, and its collapse is a...

China’s Summit Diplomacy: Insights From BRICS, APEC and the G20
China’s Summit Diplomacy: Insights From BRICS, 
APEC and the G20 | R. Evan Ellis
Nov. 26, 2024 - From late October through mid-November, China’s President Xi Jinping held high-profile engagements in three very different major international forums: the BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia; the APEC Leadership Forum in Lima,...

Challenges and Opportunities for U.S.-Mexico Security Cooperation
Challenges and Opportunities for US-Mexico Security Cooperation | R. Evan Ellis
Nov. 26, 2024 - While policy clashes between the elected governments of Mexico and the United States in the coming years appear likely, the degree to which those tensions degrade the commercial relationship and security cooperation that is...