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Recent Publications
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NATO Vilnius Summit could have been historic. Instead, it mostly kicked the can down the road.
July 14, 2023
— John R. Deni argues that at the NATO Summit, “there was little significant movement on several key issues, leaving much on the table for the alliance’s 75th birthday summit next year in Washington, DC.” With the Vilnius Summit concluded, NATO observers can take a breath — and take a step back to see what was really accomplished at the meeting,...
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We don’t really know which NATO allies are pulling their weight.
July 10, 2023
— Here’s how to fix that. John R. Deni The Defense Investment Pledge agreed to by NATO allies in 2014 is reaching its decade-long finish line. The Alliance’s own data indicate that not all allies will cross that line, as many still spend less than the equivalent of 2 percent of their gross domestic products on defense and several still devote less...
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Debate continues over whether to invite Ukraine to join NATO
July 10, 2023
— Podcast appearance. John R. Deni As leaders of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, or NATO, meet at the annual summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, the conversation continues over whether to invite Ukraine to join the alliance and if so, when.Here & Now‘s Celeste Headlee speaks with John Deni, research professor at the U.S. Army War College and a...
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Security Challenges in the Caribbean: Threats, Migration, and International Cooperation
July 6, 2023
— R. Evan Ellis The Caribbean faces growing security challenges, ranging from geopolitical tensions to armed violence and the gang epidemic, exacerbated by drug trafficking and competition for drug routes. The region has also been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, mass migration, and money laundering. Caribbean countries require integrated solutions...
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The Weaponisation of Everything: A Field Guide to the New Way of War
June 21, 2023
— Technology and War Book Review: The Weaponisation of Everything: A Field Guide to the New Way of War Robert J. Bunker Author: Mark Galeottii | Reviewed by Dr. Robert J. Bunker, director of research and analysis, managing partner, C/O Futures LLC | In this field guide, Galeotti departs from his customary focus on Russia and covers a broad area of...
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Military Virtues
June 21, 2023
— Strategic Leadership Book Review: Military Virtues George J. Fust Editors: Michael Skerker, David Whetham, and Don Carrick | Reviewed by Major George J. Fust, active-duty US Army officer | Filling the gap between theoretical and practical application, this collection of essays by leading scholars and practitioners revitalizes the application of...
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The Age of AI and Our Human Future
June 21, 2023
— Technology and War Book Review: The Age of AI and Our Human Future Russell W. Glenn Authors: Henry A. Kissinger, Eric Schmidt, and Daniel Huttenlocher | Reviewed by Dr. Russell W. Glenn, principal, Innovative Defense Research LLC | Notable for its authoritative arguments and analysis of the nature and potential impact of artificial intelligence...
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Managing Sex in the U.S. Military: Gender, Identity, and Behavior
June 21, 2023
— Military History Book Review: Managing Sex in the U.S. Military: Gender, Identity, and Behavior Mary Raum Editors: Beth Bailey, Alesha E. Doan, Shannon Portillo, and Karen Dixon Vuic | Reviewed by Dr. Mary Raum, professor of national security affairs, US Naval War College | This compilation of scholarly, practical, and historical writings presents...
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Brazil and the Illiberal Anti-U.S. Alliance
June 20, 2023
— R. Evan EllisDuring World War II, Brazil contributed to the security of allied trans-Atlantic shipping routes and sent a division-sized expeditionary force to Italy to help liberate Europe from Hitler and Mussolini’s murderous dictatorships. In 1985, Brazilians rallied around Tancredo Neves and José Sarney to end undemocratic military rule...
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The Advance of China and Authoritarian Populism in Honduras
June 9, 2023
— R. Evan EllisIn Latin America, it is strategically important that the United States distinguish between principled left-oriented democratic regimes versus those which seek to manage the alarm of Washington and Western investors as they pursue a fundamentally anti-democratic, anti-market, anti-U.S. course. It is time for Washington to recognize that...
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The Trouble with China’s Global Civilization Initiative (on The Diplomat)
June 1, 2023
— R. Evan EllisHistory is marked by the recurring tragedy of publics rallying around leaders with attractive-sounding rhetoric, from new constitutions to government-led development and social justice, to prosperity through privatization. Whether on the right or the left, the most consistent outcome is to empower and benefit the elites selling the...
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Panama’s Popular Discontent Is Still Simmering
May 27, 2023
— R. Evan EllisWith roughly a year to go before Panama’s next general election scheduled for May 2024, Panamanians are broadly frustrated with the country’s current conditions. During a weeklong visit last month, government officials, academics and others I spoke with expressed concerns over insecurity, the economy, corruption and the stalled...
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