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Recent Publications
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The Military and the Market
July 21, 2023
— Armed Forces and Society Book Review: The Military and the Market Editors: Jennifer Mittelstadt and Mark R. Wilson | Reviewed by Major Ryan Orsini, Infantry officer, US Army | The Military and the Market is filled with historical and political science case studies to help US policymakers and practitioners navigate the interrelationships between the...
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NATO’s Defense Demands Eastern Front Improvements
July 20, 2023
— John R. Deni The recent summit largely avoided urgent questions about the mismatch between available forces and the Russian threat. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s rather impolitic reaction to the news that his country would not receive a firm timetable for membership in NATO stole the show at the alliance’s summit in Vilnius last week...
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NATO Vilnius Summit could have been historic. Instead, it mostly kicked the can down the road.
July 14, 2023
— John R. Deni argues that at the NATO Summit, “there was little significant movement on several key issues, leaving much on the table for the alliance’s 75th birthday summit next year in Washington, DC.” With the Vilnius Summit concluded, NATO observers can take a breath — and take a step back to see what was really accomplished at the meeting,...
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We don’t really know which NATO allies are pulling their weight.
July 10, 2023
— Here’s how to fix that. John R. Deni The Defense Investment Pledge agreed to by NATO allies in 2014 is reaching its decade-long finish line. The Alliance’s own data indicate that not all allies will cross that line, as many still spend less than the equivalent of 2 percent of their gross domestic products on defense and several still devote less...
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Debate continues over whether to invite Ukraine to join NATO
July 10, 2023
— Podcast appearance. John R. Deni As leaders of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, or NATO, meet at the annual summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, the conversation continues over whether to invite Ukraine to join the alliance and if so, when.Here & Now‘s Celeste Headlee speaks with John Deni, research professor at the U.S. Army War College and a...
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Security Challenges in the Caribbean: Threats, Migration, and International Cooperation
July 6, 2023
— R. Evan Ellis The Caribbean faces growing security challenges, ranging from geopolitical tensions to armed violence and the gang epidemic, exacerbated by drug trafficking and competition for drug routes. The region has also been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, mass migration, and money laundering. Caribbean countries require integrated solutions...
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“Understanding the Adversary: Strategic Empathy and Perspective Taking in National Security”
July 5, 2023
— National security practitioners need to understand the motives, mindsets, and intentions of adversaries to anticipate and respond to their actions effectively. Although some authors have argued empathy helps build an understanding of the adversary, research points to its cognitive component of perspective taking as the more appropriate skill for national security practitioners to have. In this podcast, Dr. Allison Abbe synthesizes previous research on the development and application of perspective taking in analysis and decision making and recommends four ways strategists and practitioners can enhance their ability to gain insight into adversaries...
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“Geniuses Dare to Ride Their Luck: Clausewitz's Card Game Analogies”
June 30, 2023
— Scholars have been using the wrong card games to analyze Carl von Clausewitz’s analogies in On War, which has led to errors in understanding his ideas. This podcast identifies the games Clausewitz discusses, allowing for a more accurate interpretation of his original meaning for the study of war. Since Clausewitz’s ideas underpin strategy development within service education systems, it is critical his ideas are fully understood in context. ...
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AI: Centaurs Versus Minotaurs—Who Is in Charge?
June 28, 2023
— Who is in charge when it comes to AI? People or machines? In this episode, Paul Scharre, author of the books Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War and the award-winning Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence, and Robert Sparrow, coauthor with Adam Henschke of “Minotaurs, Not Centaurs: The Future of Manned-Unmanned Teaming”...
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Trusting AI: Integrating Artificial Intelligence into the Army’s Professional Expert Knowledge
June 22, 2023
— Integrating artificially intelligent technologies for military purposes poses a special challenge. In previous arms races, such as the race to atomic bomb technology during World War II, expertise resided within the Department of Defense. But in the artificial intelligence (AI) arms race, expertise dwells mostly within industry and academia. Also, unlike the development of the bomb, effective employment of AI...
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The Weaponisation of Everything: A Field Guide to the New Way of War
June 21, 2023
— Technology and War Book Review: The Weaponisation of Everything: A Field Guide to the New Way of War Robert J. Bunker Author: Mark Galeottii | Reviewed by Dr. Robert J. Bunker, director of research and analysis, managing partner, C/O Futures LLC | In this field guide, Galeotti departs from his customary focus on Russia and covers a broad area of...
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Military Virtues
June 21, 2023
— Strategic Leadership Book Review: Military Virtues George J. Fust Editors: Michael Skerker, David Whetham, and Don Carrick | Reviewed by Major George J. Fust, active-duty US Army officer | Filling the gap between theoretical and practical application, this collection of essays by leading scholars and practitioners revitalizes the application of...
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