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Feb. 21, 2025

Toward a More Effective DoD Contribution to Strategic Competition in the Western Hemisphere

By Dr. R. Evan Ellis, PhD

Cover for Toward a More Effective DoD Contribution to Strategic Competition in the Western HemisphereR. Evan Ellis
©2025 R. Evan Ellis
 
Innovative new thinking on the security dimension of the challenges posed by the PRC’s engagement in Latin America and the DoD’s role in the whole-of-government US response is needed. This monograph highlights risks from PRC influence networks, digital architectures, and dual-use commercial facilities in the region, particularly at ports and in the space sector; shows how PRC economic engagement and other support sustains illiberal regimes, indirectly contributing to the risks these regimes pose by hosting criminal and terrorist groups and other US adversaries, such as Russia and Iran; and illustrates how commercial, people-to-people, and security engagements create options for the PRC to exploit against the United States in times of war.

It advocates for new effects-based strategic concepts for how the DoD can strengthen cooperation with the region and limit PRC access through enhanced security cooperation and leveraging partners’ valuation of their relationships with the United States to influence their choices regarding cooperation with the PRC and gain better situational awareness for responding to China. Finally, it discusses how the United States should work with regional partners to plan for likely PRC actions in the region in times of war, leveraging the presence, relationships, and knowledge created through engagement.
 

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Keywords:
China, Latin America, Caribbean, security cooperation, PRC commercial activities, people-to-people networks, Department of Defense, Western Hemisphere