Recent Publications

Strategic Effects of Conflict with Iraq: Post-Soviet States
March 1, 2003 — Author: Dr Stephen J Blank The author has been asked to analyze four issues: the position that key states in their region are taking on U.S. military action against Iraq; the role of America in the region after the war with Iraq; the nature of security partnerships in the region after the war with Iraq; and the effect that war with Iraq will have... MORE

Mapping Colombia: The Correlation between Land Data and Strategy
March 1, 2003 — Author: Dr Geoffrey Demarest The mapping of Colombian national territory, however, is fundamental to the problem of control of national territory. As a threshold matter, policy, strategy, and military asset management in contemporary conflict in virtually any unstable part of the world must deal with the problem of governance in "lawless areas."... MORE

Strategic Effects of Conflict with Iraq: The Middle East, North Africa, and Turkey
March 1, 2003 — Author: Dr W Andrew Terrill War with Iraq signals the beginning of a new era in American national security policy and alters strategic balances and relationships around the world. The specific effects of the war, though, will vary from region to region. The author offers the following conclusions regarding this region of the world.A U.S. invasion... MORE

Strategic Effects of Conflict with Iraq: Australia and New Zealand
March 1, 2003 — Author: Dr Andrew Scobell The author has been asked to analyze four issues: the position that key states in their region are taking on U.S. military action against Iraq; the role of America in the region after the war with Iraq; the nature of security partnerships in the region after the war with Iraq; and the effect that war with Iraq will have on... MORE

Strategic Effects of Conflict with Iraq: Southeast Asia
March 1, 2003 — Author: Dr Anthony L Smith The author has been asked to analyze four issues: the position that key states in their region are taking on U.S. military action against Iraq; the role of America in the region after the war with Iraq; the nature of security partnerships in the region after the war with Iraq; and the effect that war with Iraq will have... MORE

Strategic Effects of Conflict with Iraq: South Asia
March 1, 2003 — Author: Dr Amit Gupta The author has been asked to analyze four issues: the position that key states in their region are taking on U.S. military action against Iraq; the role of America in the region after the war with Iraq; the nature of security partnerships in the region after the war with Iraq; and the effect that war with Iraq will have on the... MORE

Security Transformation: Report of the Belfer Center Conference on Military Transformation
March 1, 2003 — Authors: Dr John Deutch, Dr John White The attacks of September 11, 2001, represented the beginning of what President Bush has called "a new kind of war." While terrorism itself has long been on our spectrum of real and immediate threats, the magnitude of the attacks and the administration's aggressive and expansive response have changed the... MORE

Reconstructing Iraq: Challenges and Missions for Military Forces in a Post-Conflict Scenario
February 1, 2003 — Authors: Dr Conrad C Crane, Dr W Andrew Terrill With the winds of war swirling around Iraq, it is time to plan for its post-conflict reconstruction. To assist such planning, this study proposes a construct for identifying the postwar missions to be accomplished following a victory over the Hussein regime and suggests the time phasing for the... MORE

Waging Ancient War: Limits on Preemptive Force
February 1, 2003 — Author: Dr D Robert Worley The author addresses the ways that the age of terrorism is affecting American grand strategy. He contends that terrorism has made many of the basic concepts of international relations and national security obsolete. Declaring war on a tactic—terrorism—erodes the clarity necessary for coherent strategy. Dr. Worley then... MORE

Russia in Afghanistan and Chechnya: Military Strategic Culture and the Paradoxes of Asymmetric Conflict
February 1, 2003 — Author: Major Robert M Cassidy The author uses a detailed assessment of the Russian experience in Afghanistan and Chechnya to draw important conclusions about asymmetric warfare. He then uses this to provide recommendations for the U.S. military, particularly the Army. Major Cassidy points out that small wars are difficult for every great power,... MORE

Defeating Saddam Hussein’s Strategy
January 1, 2003 — Author: LTC Raymond A Millen Should war break out between Iraq and the United States, Saddam Hussein will likely adopt a strategy designed to undermine the prestige of the United States and turn the Arab World against the West. A war culminating in a titanic battle for Baghdad would provide Saddam Hussein with the prestige and respect he seeks from... MORE

Plan Colombia: Reality of the Colombian Crisis and Implications for Hemispheric Security
December 1, 2002 — Author: Dr Luz E Nagle The author analyzes Colombia's problems and makes recommendations regarding what it will take to achieve stated U.S. and Colombian objectives in that crisis situation. She also examines the concomitant issue of "spillover" from the Colombian crisis into the rest of the Latin American region. The results and recommendations of... MORE