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NEWS | April 24, 2025

Waging War without Disruption: China’s People’s Armed Police in a Future Conflict

By Jake Rinaldi

Introduction

As one of the three branches of China’s armed forces, the People’s Armed Police (PAP) (人民武装警察) operates alongside the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) (人民解放军) and the militia (民兵) as a key instrument of Chinese Communist Party power. According to the Science of Military Strategy, a foundational textbook used to educate senior Chinese military officers, the People’s Armed Police is tasked with meeting the strategic requirements of “multi-functional integration, stability and rights maintenance” (多能一体维稳维权).1 With a force exceeding 500,000 personnel, the People’s Armed Police is structured into specialized components, including the Internal Security Force, mobile contingents (机动总队), and the China Coast Guard.2 This varied force structure, distinct from any service in the US military, enables the People’s Armed Police to execute a broad range of missions, from domestic stability to supporting PLA operations.

The PAP institutional design places the People’s Armed Police in stark contrast to militarized police forces worldwide because the force answers solely to China’s top military authority. Unlike Italy’s Carabinieri, which operates under both the Ministry of Defense and the Ministry of Interior, the People’s Armed Police falls entirely within the military chain of command. Previously subject to a dual-command system shared with China’s State Council, the People’s Armed Police was placed fully under Central Military Commission control in 2018. This shift removed all civilian oversight at local and provincial levels, reinforcing the PAP role as a centralized military entity rather than a law enforcement organization. This distinction is further underscored by the frequent movement of officers between the People’s Armed Police and the People’s Liberation Army, a level of integration uncommon among military police forces elsewhere. Most notably, Central Military Commission member Liu Zhenli previously served as the People’s Armed Police’s chief of staff before assuming the same role in the PLA Army.

According to a military textbook used in Tsinghua University’s national defense curriculum, the PAP Internal Security Force operates under regional commands aligned with China’s provinces, autonomous regions, and major cities.3 These units perform fixed-site security missions, urban armed patrols, and rapid-response duties aimed at maintaining domestic stability. Internal Security Force units are also responsible for securing critical infrastructure and responding to emergencies, including natural disasters.

The PAP provincial-level units, known as zongdui (总队), form the backbone of the People’s Armed Police’s internal-security operations. Each of China’s 31 provincial-level administrative regions hosts a zongdui; Xinjiang houses two because the extra unit supports the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps. These zongdui are further divided into duty zhidui (执勤支队), responsible for local guard duties and patrols, and mobile zhidui (机动支队), which provide rapid-response capabilities based on regional security conditions. The Beijing zongdui, the largest in the People’s Armed Police, consists of 14 duty zhidui and four mobile zhidui. Beneath the zhidui level, units are structured into dadui (大队), roughly equivalent to battalions, and zhongdui (中队), which align with company-sized formations.

Figure 1. Organization of the PAP
(Source: Graphic created by Joel Wuthnow. Used with his permission.)

In addition to the domestic-security role, every provincial zongdui maintains a counterterrorism capability through designated SOF units or tezhang dadui (特战大队). These specialized formations are tasked with handling high-risk operations like hostage rescues and armed interventions against terrorist threats. This tiered structure allows the People’s Armed Police to maintain a permanent local-security presence while ensuring rapid-deployment capabilities for contingencies that require armed force. At the national level, the People’s Armed Police serves as China’s primary counterterrorism force, with three elite units designated as national-level counterterrorism assault forces (国家级反恐突击力量): the Snow Leopard Commandos (雪豹突击队), Falcon Commandos (猎鹰突击队), and Mountain Eagle Commandos (山鹰突击队).

In parallel, the mobile contingents constitute a more agile, combat-capable component tasked with responding to large-scale domestic disturbances, conducting counterterrorism operations, and reinforcing internal-security forces when necessary. Structurally, the mobile contingents include two corps leader–grade formations that provide national and local leaders with additional rapid-response capabilities. Unlike the provincial contingents, these commands do not have a fixed geographic area of responsibility but can be deployed flexibly for crisis response. Although these contingents have designated headquarters, mobile contingent units are geographically dispersed, allowing them to conduct operations far beyond the units’ primary bases. For instance, elements stationed near Guangzhou participated in exercises in Shenzhen during the 2019 Hong Kong protests. The 1st Mobile Contingent, based in Shijiazhuang, is well positioned to reinforce PAP units in Beijing in the event of a crisis.4 The 2nd Mobile Contingent, headquartered in Fuzhou, could play a role in supporting PLA operations in a Taiwan Strait contingency. The two mobile contingents also contain the PAP helicopter and engineering units.

The capabilities and equipment of the People’s Armed Police are more indicative of a light-infantry military force rather than a paramilitary organization. Personnel, field, military-grade weapons and platforms—including Dongfeng CSK-181 light tactical vehicles, DZJ-08 (Type 08) rocket launchers, and self-propelled 82-millimeter mortars—are all far beyond the capabilities of a typical internal-security force.5 Modernization priorities outlined in the Science of Military Strategy emphasize enhancing PAP “troop transport, command, armored vehicles, lethal weapons, and engineering and chemical defense equipment” to enhance combat effectiveness.6 The Science of Military Strategy also aligns PAP development with broader PLA modernization efforts, stressing “informationization” and “intelligentization” to generate combat effectiveness and the advancement of “military-civil” fusion to accelerate the development of intelligent and unmanned combat forces.7

Figure 2. Soldier from the PAP fires vehicle-mounted mortar system
(Source: CCTV 7, “配置拉满中国武警竟然用上炮了车载速射迫击炮官宣入列 让武警火力直线提升海量新装备展示作战模式 穿越机化身战场利器 歼敌于无声!” [Fully equipped! The People’s Armed Police actually used cannons! The vehicle-mounted rapid-fire mortar officially joins the force, enhancing firepower! A massive display of new equipment and combat modes, drones become battlefield weapons, defeating the enemy silently!] (军事纪实 [Junmi Tianxia], October 29, 2024), YouTube video  https://www.youtube dot com/watch?v=DRP8BI1Bgv4.)

Defense journals from professional military educational institutions explicitly frame the People’s Armed Police as a force designed for warfighting. A study from the People’s Armed Police Command College highlights the necessity of “multi-service joint operations” (多军兵种联合作战) and “highly integrated operational forces” (作战力量高度合成) in future conflicts.8 The highest levels of China’s leadership reinforce this emphasis on operational integration. In January 2018, Xi Jinping directed the People’s Armed Police to enhance its “combat-ready training” and “speed up its integration with the People’s Liberation Army’s joint operation system.”9 More recently, Xi explicitly linked the People’s Armed Police to these goals when he urged the elite Falcon Commandos to “remain at the forefront of special operations, continually improving mechanisms for generating new combat capabilities.”10 Given the force’s growing operational flexibility, high mobility, and direct integration into China’s armed forces, the People’s Armed Police is a critical but often overlooked element of Chinese landpower that warrants closer examination for its potential roles in future conflicts.

Internal Security and Stability Operations

The People’s Armed Police first and foremost plays a central role in maintaining domestic stability within China, operating as the state’s primary force for internal security, large-scale riot control, counterterrorism, and the suppression of unrest in politically sensitive regions like Tibet and Xinjiang. According to the Science of Military Strategy, the People’s Armed Police “shoulders major responsibilities in maintaining national security, social stability and defending the people’s good lives. It has an important role in maintaining political security, especially regime security, and institutional security.”11 This mandate highlights the People’s Armed Police’s critical function as a force for both day-to-day security operations and crisis response in defense of the Chinese Communist Party.

Although China’s civilian police forces under the Ministry of Public Security handle routine law enforcement, they are neither structured nor equipped to manage large-scale unrest. When protests, riots, or other mass incidents exceed the capacity of local authorities, municipal or provincial leaders can escalate the response by requesting PAP intervention.12 Although it is not under the direct command of local governments, the People’s Armed Police routinely coordinates with provincial and municipal authorities, providing the necessary manpower to enforce stability operations. Rules of engagement for PAP support to civilian police are likely established at multiple levels, ensuring a structured framework for cooperation.

Given most Chinese police officers historically did not carry firearms, the People’s Armed Police has traditionally served as the country’s designated force for situations requiring armed intervention. During the 1990s and 2000s, PAP forces were frequently mobilized to suppress “mass incidents” (群体性事件), including labor strikes, land disputes, and environmental protests. In 2005, PAP units were deployed to Shanwei, Guangdong, where they used lethal force against demonstrators, resulting in at least 20 deaths.13 In the 2011 Wukan village protests, the People’s Armed Police was deployed to seal off the village and end the perceived rebellion.14 But as local law enforcement personnel have adopted armed patrols, the People’s Armed Police has potentially become less central to routine crowd control. This shift in local police capabilities might enable the People’s Armed Police to focus more on coordinating with the People’s Liberation Army in a rear-area support role.

The People’s Armed Police has also played a decisive role in suppressing dissent in Tibet and Xinjiang, regions of strategic and political sensitivity for the Chinese Communist Party. In 2008, when widespread protests erupted across Tibet, PAP units were mobilized to impose curfews, conduct mass arrests, and engage in urban pacification efforts.15 Later, in 2013, PAP forces responding to protests in Biru county reportedly beat, detained, and fired on unarmed Tibetan demonstrators.16 Following a series of high-profile attacks attributed to Uyghur militants, the People’s Armed Police expanded its counterterrorism footprint in Xinjiang. The concentration of PAP forces in northwestern China remains higher than in any other region, underscoring the force’s role in regime protection against perceived separatists.17 Through years of sustained operations in these restive regions, PAP units have engaged in some of the most intense and prolonged security operations of any Chinese armed force, making the units’ troops among the most experienced in the nation’s security apparatus.

As noted in Science of Military Strategy, the People’s Armed Police must “strive to achieve a flexible combination of force elements, an organic integration of force systems, and a high degree of integration of system effectiveness.”18 This evolution aligns with broader reforms that were designed to expand the People’s Armed Police’s operational reach, enhance PAP responsiveness, and extend the force’s role beyond domestic stability operations. As the force modernizes, its integration into joint operations and potential use in future conflicts warrant closer scrutiny.

Roles of the People’s Armed Police in a Conflict Scenario

In a future conflict contingency, the People’s Armed Police would play an important role in ensuring the Chinese Communist Party can wage war without domestic disruption; supporting the People’s Liberation Army in combat operations; and potentially, securing control in a post-conflict environment. Although often viewed as a domestic paramilitary force, the People’s Armed Police has demonstrated conventional military capabilities that can deploy beyond China’s borders, raising important implications for US and allied military planning in the Indo-Pacific. The force’s responsibilities span pre-conflict stabilization, wartime rear-area security, and perhaps even post-conflict pacification, making the People’s Armed Police a key enabler of China’s military operations.

Pre-Conflict Domestic-Stabilization Operations as Key Indicators and Warnings

The People’s Armed Police functions as a frontline force for domestic stability inside China, ensuring internal security before military operations and preempting unrest that could interfere with defense planning. This role could extend beyond riot suppression, encompassing control over critical infrastructure, telecommunications, and transportation networks.19 Therefore, large-scale PAP mobilization and the movement of PAP mobile contingents serve as potential indications and warnings of impending PLA military action.

China’s 2019 intervention in Hong Kong provides a clear precedent in this regard. In August 2019, thousands of PAP personnel were staged in Shenzhen. Satellite imagery confirmed the presence of armored vehicles, troop carriers, and large formations conducting drills across the border near Hong Kong.20 This force was subsequently used to suppress Hong Kong demonstrations.21 In a future conflict, PAP deployments would both reinforce domestic stability inside China and likely facilitate military mobilization by securing transportation hubs, restricting information flows, and suppressing early dissent. During a visit to the 2nd Mobile Contingent, Xi underscored the need for force pre-positioning (力量预置) to ensure the People’s Armed Police could rapidly respond to crises.22 This guidance on proactive deployment further suggests large-scale PAP movements, particularly in regions geographically proximate to Taiwan, such as Fujian, could serve as an early warning of imminent military action, providing the United States and its allies a critical window to prepare.

Figure 3. Staging by the PAP in Shenzhen during Hong Kong protests
(Source: Chelsea Gohd, “Satellite Photo Shows China’s Military Buildup in Response to Hong Kong Protests,” Space.com, August 15, 2019, https://www.space.com/china-military-buildup-hong-kong-protests-satellite-photo.html.)

Rear Support to PLA Operations

Once a hypothetical conflict began, the People’s Armed Police would play a key role in securing rear areas—especially, traffic control along road and rail supply lines as well as other logistical tasks essential for sustaining PLA operations. The 2006 Science of Campaigns outlines PAP coordination with active and reserve PLA units and local governments for defensive operations (防卫作战), including anti-air assaults, counter-sabotage, and the maintenance of transportation networks.23 A 2012 article by Wang Shucheng and Xie Feng from the PAP Headquarters’ Training Department further highlighted the need for the People’s Armed Police to integrate its operations with both military and civilian elements to maintain stability and ensure operational effectiveness in rear areas.24 By 2020, the Science of Military Strategy had stated the People’s Armed Police “should be capable of rear defense, maintaining order, and supporting operations.”25 Together, these sources demonstrate the evolving PAP role in supporting PLA operations.

The People’s Armed Police’s logistics capabilities are institutionalized within the Logistics University of the People’s Armed Police Force, which provides training across logistics, transportation, and medical-support disciplines.26 The college’s curriculum thus closely aligns with the expected wartime rear-support responsibilities of the People’s Armed Police. The PAP role in China’s COVID-19 response further demonstrates the force’s ability to conduct large-scale logistics operations in coordination with the People’s Liberation Army. During the crisis, the People’s Armed Police worked under a joint command structure led by the Central Military Commission’s Logistics Support Department, managing transportation, medical logistics, and quarantine enforcement.27 The scale and complexity of this effort exhibit a capability directly applicable to wartime rear-area support operations. The People’s Armed Police also maintains training facilities for rear-area defense operations where personnel engage in scenario-based training to refine their ability to secure critical infrastructure, manage supply lines, and coordinate battlefield support.28 These efforts highlight the PAP role in ensuring both stability and sustainment of PLA operations in a wartime environment.

Pacification and Post-Conflict Stabilization

Should the People’s Liberation Army achieve military success in Taiwan, the People’s Armed Police could also be tasked with post-conflict stabilization. Although this role remains speculative, PAP expeditionary activities and military writings serve as evidence of potential involvement. The People’s Armed Police has increasingly engaged in deployments beyond China’s borders. The 2015 Counterterrorism Law of the People’s Republic of China explicitly authorizes the People’s Armed Police to conduct overseas operations, and PAP forces have been airlifted to Russia for joint counterterrorism drills, demonstrating long-range deployment capability.29 A 2023 PAP mobility exercise demonstrated the use of rail, highway, and maritime transportation to deploy, reflecting a novel and advanced approach to operational flexibility.30 The People’s Armed Police has also conducted island combat (岛上作战) exercises in which special operations units practiced amphibious landings, reconnaissance, and key terrain security.31 Maritime counterterrorism training further enhances the force’s ability to operate in littoral and riverine environments, and helicopter-insertion exercises reinforce rapid-reaction and mobility capabilities.32 These developments demonstrate the People’s Armed Police provide more than just domestic security, positioning the force as a potential enforcer of political stability in territories beyond the Chinese mainland.

Figure 4. Mobility exercise by the PAP in 2023
(Source: Jiang Yang 姜杨, “武警江苏总队组织开展军地联合投送训练” [The Jiangsu PAP Contingent organizes military-civilian joint deployment training], 荔枝网 [Litchi News], July 19, 2023, https://news.jstv.com/a/20230719/0d25b6325e184b528fcb72bb845ff226.shtml.)

The People’s Armed Police’s overseas presence is not limited to training exercises. A permanent PAP base in Tajikistan, near the Afghan and Chinese borders, offers valuable experience in sustained out-of-area operations.33 Satellite imagery indicates a facility capable of housing a battalion-sized force with armored-support and rotary-wing assets.34 Rotations in and out of the base could hone PAP logistics and command structures for extended deployments. The Tajikistani base thus provides a test bed for the evolving PAP mission set.

Worth reemphasizing is PAP forces bring operational experience the People’s Liberation Army largely lacks. Units assigned to Xinjiang and Tibet have been engaged in counterinsurgency and internal-security operations for years, providing practical experience in population-control measures. Hence, these forces would be well positioned to conduct stabilization missions in occupied territory on Taiwan, particularly if PLA ground forces remain focused on any ongoing conventional operations. Given the strategic proximity to Taiwan, particular attention must be focused on the 2nd Mobile Contingent, stationed in Fuzhou. During a 2021 inspection by Xi, the contingent demonstrated its capabilities across various specialized training areas, including counter-explosives, chemical reconnaissance, engineering operations, and bridge construction.35 Continuous tracking of the 2nd Mobile Contingent’s readiness and training is essential to understanding the role the contingent may play in any post-conflict stabilization efforts.

Overall, the extent of the PAP role in a campaign to pacify Taiwan remains uncertain. Kevin McCauley notes, “Provisions for civilian control and reconstruction [of Taiwan], supported by the employment of People’s Armed Police national-level units, would need careful advanced planning.”36 Nevertheless, PAP expeditionary capability and operational experience suggest the People’s Armed Police could be a key element of China’s strategy for consolidating control over Taiwan. Monitoring PAP training, deployments, and coordination with PLA forces will be essential in developing a comprehensive picture of China’s preparedness for such a scenario.

Conclusion

The People’s Armed Police is a critical component of China’s armed forces with expanding responsibilities that warrant sustained monitoring. From an indication-and-warning perspective, the movement of PAP forces—particularly, mobile contingents—should be closely tracked because their deployment often signals imminent security operations.

The People’s Armed Police’s exercises provide further insight into the evolving role of these forces in operational sustainment and rear-area security for the People’s Liberation Army. Although PAP forces are positioned to play a role in logistics, force protection, and internal stability during a conflict, the precise extent of the forces’ notional coordination with PLA operations remains unclear. Exercise patterns, including those used in joint training with PLA units and the scale and focus of logistics drills, offer valuable indicators of the intended function of PAP forces in a wartime environment.

Beyond domestic operations, the expeditionary capabilities of the People’s Armed Police warrant close attention. Participation in overseas exercises and missions as well as the lift assets used for PAP deployment signal an ability to project power beyond China’s borders. This capability has direct implications for a Taiwan contingency, in which the Central Military Commission could task PAP forces with pacification operations. Additionally, examining PAP responses to mass incidents inside China may provide insight into how the force would manage noncombatants in wartime.

Despite its expanding capabilities and mission set, the People’s Armed Police continues to face operational and structural challenges. The increasing scale and complexity of domestic mass incidents have placed greater demands on force coordination and crisis response.37 Internal assessments highlight persistent weaknesses in early warning, command integration, and logistical support. At the same time, an analyst at the People’s Armed Police Command College acknowledges limitations in PAP equipment and technological capabilities.38 Notably, Zhang emphasizes the need to import foreign technology to bridge gaps in digitization, networking, and command systems—developments that should be monitored closely to prevent inadvertent US or allied contributions to PAP modernization.

Ultimately, the People’s Armed Police is a critical and evolving element of Chinese landpower. The PAP role in internal security and operational sustainment is expanding, with direct implications for regional stability and US defense planning. Understanding the force’s trajectory will be essential in anticipating China’s ability to project coercive power and manage security challenges in future conflict contingencies.

 
 

Jake Rinaldi
Dr. Jake Rinaldi is a defense analyst at the China Landpower Studies Center within the Strategic Studies Institute at the US Army War College. Rinaldi holds a PhD and a master of philosophy degree from the University of Cambridge, where his doctoral dissertation examined Sino-North Korean military relations and his master’s degree focused on China’s nuclear forces.

 
 

Acknowledgments: The author is grateful to Colonel Nicola Mangialavori of the Carabinieri for generously sharing his time and insights on gendarmerie forces, which significantly enriched the perspective of this article.

 
 

Endnotes

  1. Xiao Tianliang 肖天亮, ed., 战略学 [Science of Military Strategy] (People’s Liberation Army [PLA] National Defense University Press, 2020), 423; and Xiao Tianliang 肖天亮, ed., Science of Military Strategy 2020, trans. China Aerospace Studies Institute (China Aerospace Studies Institute, 2022). Note: The term “rights maintenance” [维权] in Chinese strategic discourse refers to the defense of state sovereignty and territorial claims, including maritime rights protection in disputed areas, such as the South China Sea. Unless otherwise noted, English-language quotations refer to the China Aerospace Studies Institute’s translation of Science of Military Strategy. Return to text.
  2. The People’s Republic of China has not officially disclosed the size of the People’s Armed Police since the 2015–16 reforms. See Office of the Secretary of Defense, Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2024 (Department of Defense, 2024), 75. Return to text.
  3. Liu Wenbing 刘文炳, ed., 军事课教程 [Military course textbook] (Tsinghua University Press, 2020), 37–39. Return to text.
  4. Joel Wuthnow, China’s Other Army: The People’s Armed Police in an Era of Reform, China Strategic Perspectives no. 14 (National Defense University Press, 2019), 13. Return to text.
  5. 东风猛士新型车型 首次列装武警部队” [DFM’s new model of Dongfeng Mengshi enters service with the Armed Police], Dongfeng Motor Corp Daily, June 19, 2020, https://www.dfmc.com.cn/news/company/news_20200619_1011.html; Li Yufeng 李雨峰 and Zhou Jing 周静, “硬核来袭直击武警官兵迫击炮实弹射击现场” [Hardcore attack! On-site coverage of the People’s Armed Police mortar live-fire exercise], PLA Daily, September 15, 2021, http://www.81.cn/pk/10089548.html; and CCTV 7, 配置拉满中国武警竟然用上炮了车载速射迫击炮官宣入列 让武警火力直线提升海量新装备展示作战模式 穿越机化身战场利器 歼敌于无声! [Fully equipped! The People’s Armed Police actually used cannons! The vehicle-mounted rapid-fire mortar officially joins the force, enhancing firepower! A massive display of new equipment and combat modes, drones become battlefield weapons, defeating the enemy silently!] (军事纪实 [Junmi Tianxia], October 29, 2024), YouTube video,
    . Return to text.
  6. Xiao Tianliang, Science of Military Strategy, 426–27. Return to text.
  7. Xiao Tianliang, Science of Military Strategy. Return to text.
  8. Zhang Pan 张攀, “信息技术环境下武警部队装备数字化建设探析” [An analysis of the digitalization of equipment in the People’s Armed Police in the context of information technology], 科技与创新 [Science and Technology & Innovation] 13 (2024): 162–68. Return to text.
  9. Zhao Lei, “Armed Police Must Obey Party,” China Daily, January 11, 2018, www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201801/11/WS5a568f1ca3102e5b17374094.html. Return to text.
  10. 习主席在解放军和武警部队代表团全体会议上的重要讲话在全军引起热烈反响” [Xi Jinping’s important speech at the full meeting of the PLA and PAP delegations has sparked a warm response across the entire military], 解放军报 [PLA Daily], March 9, 2023, http://www.mod.gov.cn/gfbw/qwfb/16373778.html. Return to text.
  11. Xiao Tianliang, Science of Military Strategy, 423. Return to text.
  12. He Xiaobiao 何晓标, “武警部队参与处置群体性事件研究——以广东武警为例” [A study on the People’s Armed Police’s participation in handling mass incidents: A case study of the Guangdong Armed Police], 万方数据 [Wanfang Data], May 31, 2011, https://d.wanfangdata.com.cn/thesis/Y9004082. Return to text.
  13. Wuthnow, China’s Other Army, 7. Return to text.
  14. Peter Mattis, “In a Fortnight: Wukan Uprising Highlights Dilemmas of Preserving Stability,” China Brief 11, no. 23 (December 2011): 1–3. Return to text.
  15. Tania Branigan and Randeep Ramesh, “Gunfire on the Streets of Lhasa as Rallies Turn Violent,” The Guardian, March 14, 2008, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2008/mar/15/tibet.china1. Return to text.
  16. “Biru Villagers Respond with Protests to Chinese Flags, Security, Detentions,” Congressional-Executive Commission on China, November 20, 2013, https://www.cecc.gov/publications/commission-analysis/biru-villagers-respond-with-protests-to-chinese-flags-security. Return to text.
  17. Wuthnow, China’s Other Army, 12–13. Return to text.
  18. Xiao Tianliang, Science of Military Strategy, 424. Return to text.
  19. Zhang Yuliang 张玉良, ed., 战役学 [Science of campaigns], 2nd ed. (国防大学出版社 [PLA National Defense University Press], 2006), 123. Return to text.
  20. 与香港仅一湾之隔 中国数千武警集结深圳湾体育中心” [With only a bay between Hong Kong and China, thousands of armed police gather at Shenzhen Bay Sports Center], 联合早报 [Lianhe Zaobao], August 16, 2019, https://www.zaobao.com.sg/special/report/politic/hkpol/story20190816-981254. Return to text.
  21. Greg Torode, “Exclusive: China’s Internal Security Force on Frontlines of Hong Kong Protests,” Reuters, March 18, 2020, https://www.reuters.com/article/world/exclusive-chinas-internal-security-force-on-frontlines-of-hong-kong-protests-idUSKBN2150JQ. Return to text.
  22. 习主席视察武警第二机动总队时的重要讲话在全军引起热烈反响” [Xi Jinping’s important speech during his inspection of the PLA’s Second Mobile Division has sparked a warm response across the entire military], 解放军报 [PLA Daily], March 28, 2021, http://www.mod.gov.cn/gfbw/sy/tt_214026/4882167.html. Return to text.
  23. Zhang Yuliang, Science of Campaigns, 123. Return to text.
  24. Wang Shucheng 王树成 and Xie Feng 谢峰, “武警部队后方防卫作战指挥要做到三个坚持’ ” [The three principles for the command of rear defense operations of the People’s Armed Police], 国防 [National Defense] 4 (2012): 54–55. Return to text.
  25. Xiao Tianliang, Science of Military Strategy, 431. Return to text.
  26. 武警后勤学院概况” [Overview of the People’s Armed Police Logistics Academy], 解放军报 [PLA Daily], June 18, 2014, http://www.81.cn/rdzt/2014/0421bkjx/2014-06/18/content_5964263.htm. Return to text.
  27. Sun Xingwei 孙兴维 and Gao Liying 高立英, “解放军全力支援地方打好疫情防控攻坚战” [People’s Liberation Army fully supports local governments in fighting the battle against the epidemic], China Military Online, Jan. 26, 2020, http://www.81.cn/zt/2020nzt/dyyqfkzjz/jdcy/9726397.html. Return to text.
  28. Zhang Fu 张辅 and Li Chaoqiang 李超强, “武警特警学院抓好初级指挥教育培训 提高学员综合能力” [The PAP Special Police Academy strengthens basic command training to enhance cadets’ comprehensive abilities], 解放军报 [PLA Daily], December 13, 2022, http://www.mod.gov.cn/gfbw/wzll/4928261.html. Return to text.
  29. Anti-Terrorism Law of the People’s Republic of China (promulgated by the Stand. Comm. Nat’l People’s Cong., Dec. 27, 2015) (China); and “中国两支最强反恐部队将首次共同赴俄参加演习” [China’s two strongest counterterrorism units to jointly participate in a Russian exercise for the first time], 新浪军事 [Sina Military], June 28, 2016, https://mil.sina.cn/zgjq/2016-06-28/detail-ifxtmwei9438201.d.html. Return to text.
  30. Jiang Yang 姜杨, “武警江苏总队组织开展军地联合投送训练” [The Jiangsu PAP Contingent organizes military-civilian joint deployment training], 荔枝网 [Litchi News], July 19, 2023, https://news.jstv.com/a/20230719/0d25b6325e184b528fcb72bb845ff226.shtml. Return to text.
  31. 滴水湖上“激战正酣”,武警上海总队开展为期十天冲锋舟集训” [Fierce battle on Dishui Lake: Shanghai PAP conducts ten-day assault boat training], 澎湃新闻 [The Paper], August 27, 2020, https://m.thepaper.cn/wifiKey_detail.jsp?contid=8904336. Return to text.
  32. 安徽某部实战化练兵 锻造特战武教头’ ” [Anhui unit conducts real-combat training to forge special operations “instructors”], 人民网-安徽频道 [People’s Daily Online – Anhui Channel], June 24, 2020, http://ah.people.com.cn/GB/n2/2020/0624/c358428-34111592.html; and Gao Yujiao 高玉娇 et al., “精武强能担使命——记武警第二机动总队某支队五中队” [Strengthening combat skills to fulfill the mission: A report on the fifth company of a unit in the Second Mobile Contingent of the People’s Armed Police], 新华社 [Xinhua], September 21, 2023, http://www.news.cn/politics/2023-09/21/c_1129875965.htm. Return to text.
  33. Reid Standish, “From a Secret Base in Tajikistan, China’s War on Terror Adjusts to a New Reality,” Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, October 14, 2021, https://www.rferl.org/a/tajikistan-china-war-on-terror-afghan/31509466.html. Return to text.
  34. Stephen Blank, “China’s Military Base in Tajikistan: What Does It Mean?,” The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst, April 18, 2019, https://www.cacianalyst.org/publications/analytical-articles/item/13569-chinas-military-base-in-tajikistan-what-does-it-mean?.html. Return to text.
  35. 习近平视察武警第二机动总队” [Xi Jinping inspects the 2nd Mobile Contingent of the People’s Armed Police], 新华社 [Xinhua], March 26, 2021, https://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2021-03/26/content_5596019.htm. Return to text.
  36. Kevin McCauley, “Amphibious Operations: Lessons of Past Campaigns for Today’s PLA,” RealClearDefense, February 27, 2018, https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2018/02/27/amphibious_operations_lessons_of_past_campaigns_for_todays_pla_113123.html. Return to text.
  37. He Xiaobiao, “Study.” Return to text.
  38. Zhang Pan, “Analysis.” Return to text.
 
 

Disclaimer: The articles and commentaries published on the CLSC website are unofficial expressions of opinion. The views and opinions expressed on the website are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the Department of Defense, the Department of the Army, the US Army War College, or any other agency of the US government. Authors of Strategic Studies Institute and US Army War College Press products enjoy full academic freedom, provided they do not disclose classified information, jeopardize operations security, or misrepresent official US policy. Such academic freedom empowers them to offer new and sometimes controversial perspectives in the interest of furthering debate on key issues. The appearance of external hyperlinks does not constitute endorsement by the Department of Defense of the linked websites or the information, products, or services contained therein. The Department of Defense does not exercise any editorial, security, or other control over the information you may find at these locations.

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SRAD | Nov. 26, 2024

Challenges and Opportunities for U.S.-Mexico Security Cooperation

While policy clashes between the elected governments of Mexico and the United States in the coming years appear likely, the degree to which those tensions degrade the commercial relationship and security cooperation that is vital to both will depend

SRAD | Nov. 21, 2024

Parameters | Winter 2024–25

Welcome to the Winter 2024–25 issue of Parameters. This issue consists of an In Focus special commentary, three forums (Indo-Pacific, Security Cooperation, and Historical Studies), and the regular Civil-Military Relations Corner installment.

SRAD | Nov. 14, 2024

Opidata #8: The BRICS Summit, China, and the Emerging Illiberal Counter-...

The 2024 BRICS summit in Kazan solidified an anti-liberal «counter-order,» challenging the rules-based international system. With its expansion to 23 members, the bloc, financially led by China, seeks to evade global restrictions and advance its

SRAD | Nov. 12, 2024

Security Challenges in the Dutch Caribbean

This work examines security challenges facing the Dutch Caribbean, including narcotrafficking and other forms of organized crime, money laundering, Venezuelan and other refugee flows, and the little-understood activities of criminal groups operating

SRAD | Nov. 7, 2024

Strategic Implication of the Chinese-Operated Port of Chancay

This article examines the Port of Chancay from a strategic perspective, with a focus on how COSCO (China Ocean Shipping Company) achieved unprecedented control over the operation of the new Peruvian megaport, the impact that the port is likely to

SRAD | Nov. 7, 2024

“China, the Illiberal Counter-Order, and the Role of Values in the Strat...

Dr. R. Evan Ellis discusses his recent article written for the Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs titled, “China, the Illiberal Counter-Order, and the Role of Values in the Strategic Response.”  This illuminating discussion covers what China is doing

SRAD | Nov. 6, 2024

Venezuela: The Path Forward

Thanks to the courageous work of the Venezuelan opposition, including obtaining physical and photographic evidence of over 80% of the individual “acts” from Venezuela’s more than 30,000 polling places, the world generally knows that Edmundo Gonzalez

SRAD | Oct. 28, 2024

Paraguay’s Security Challenges and the Government Response

This article analyzes the security challenges in Paraguay and the government response under the administration of Santiago Peña. It argues that Paraguay, despite its strategic location and regional relevance, faces serious security problems due to

SRAD | Oct. 18, 2024

Chile’s Expanding Defense Relationship with China

From September 9-14, 2024, Chilean Defense Minister Maya Fernandez Allende, granddaughter of Chile’s first socialist president Salvador Allende, traveled to the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to attend the 11th annual Xiangshan Defense Forum in

SRAD | Oct. 17, 2024

China in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: A New Dynamic in Critical...

Critical minerals will continue to grow in importance across the globe in the coming decades as technological advancements require greater quantities of these materials. The 2023 US Department of Energy Critical Materials Assessment report listed

SRAD | Oct. 15, 2024

Re-Asserting the Value of the Individual for Latin America’s Security an...

Empowerment of the individual, not the state, is the key to innovation, prosperity, physical and political security for Latin America, as the region engages with an unprecedented array of challenges and new partners.

SRAD | Oct. 9, 2024

PRC Strategic Adaptation in Africa

The People’s Republic of China (PRC)’s expanding security footprint in Africa, marked by increased military cooperation and infrastructure investments, poses a significant challenge to US strategic interests. As outlined in the Department of

SRAD | Oct. 9, 2024

Peace and Unity: China’s Growing Military Footprint in Tanzania

The July and August 2024 Sino-Tanzanian training exercise Peace Unity-2024 (和平团结-2024) provided the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) an opportunity to apply its growing joint expeditionary capability, while also strengthening its relationship with a


SRAD | Sept. 24, 2024

“A Baseline Assessment of the PLA Army's Border Reinforcement Operations...

In episode 18 of CLSC Dialogues, Josh Arostegui interviews prominent China expert Dennis Blasko on his analysis of PLA Army and Boader Defense Unit activity along the Line of Actual Control between China and India. He describes the development of

SRAD | Sept. 23, 2024

Bargaining for Justice: Ukraine, Gaza, and the Ethics of Conflict Termin...

As wars in Ukraine and Gaza continue with little end in sight, the sense of urgency to determine how they should end is increasing, given how the wars could end. A just war aims to establish a better state of peace, but a better state of peace may

SRAD | Sept. 20, 2024

Ukraine in NATO: Beyond the ‘Irreversible Path’

Whether and how NATO might pull Ukraine closer attracted a great deal of attention at the 2024 Washington summit, with the Alliance settling on the formulation of an ‘irreversible path’ towards Kyiv’s membership and pledging to further

SRAD | Sept. 19, 2024

The Role of America’s European Allies in the Russia-Ukraine War, 2022–24

What more can US allies in Europe do to assist Ukraine militarily? More broadly, what can the United States expect from its closest allies in Europe in strategic competition with Russia and China? In this monograph, John R. Deni and Lisa A. Aronsson

SRAD | Sept. 18, 2024

The Growing Significance of China-Russia Defense Cooperation

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s two recent meetings with Chinese President Xi Jinping, especially his visit to Beijing in May, reinforced US and allied concerns about the China-Russia relationship, especially the two countries’ growing security

SRAD | Sept. 13, 2024

Brazil’s Attempt to Control X: The Deterioration of the Liberal World Order

Elon Musk’s clash with the Lula government raises the issue of how to promote democracy and free speech in the new technological era.

SRAD | Sept. 12, 2024

Bolivia and US Dilemmas in Engaging with Problematic Regimes in Latin Am...

I recently had the opportunity to engage with a senior Bolivian colleague connected with the government of Luis Arce regarding the country’s economic and political difficulties and its relationship with the United States. Their fundamental question

SRAD | Aug. 27, 2024

The Impact of the Political Orientation of Latin America, on the Advance...

Latin America is currently undergoing unprecedented political shifts. This phenomenon is characterized by the recent electoral victories of left-ofcenter candidates in Mexico in 2018; Argentina in 2019; Peru, Honduras, and Chile in 2021; and in

SRAD | Aug. 26, 2024

Ukraine has invaded Russia, what happens next?

Ukraine shocked Russia and its allies by launching a surprise attack on the Kursk region and has now seized over 1200 square kilometres of enemy territory. Will this operation prove pivotal for the war or could it turn into a strategic

SRAD | Aug. 26, 2024

Protracted War Series: A Discussion with Markus Garlauskas

In episode 17 of CLSC Dialogues, Markus Garlauskas discusses why we should think about the potential for a protracted war in the Indo-Pacific and what lessons we should be learning from analyzing the topic. He talks about why we should think about

SRAD | Aug. 21, 2024

Satellites in the Russia-Ukraine War 

.adetail.news .article-body { max-width: 90% !important; }Satellites and counterspace systems have shown themselves to be important parts of modern warfare in the Russia-Ukraine War but have also been subject to various restrictions to prevent

SRAD | Aug. 20, 2024

Protracted War Series: A Discussion with COL Marco Lyons

In episode 16 of CLSC Dialogues, COL Marco Lyons discusses how the Pacific Army sees, understands, and utilizes landpower in the region from peacetime to a potential protracted war. He further articulates how the U.S. Army, Pacific conducts

SRAD | Aug. 15, 2024

Russia's Deepening Ties to North Korea: China's Gateway to the Arctic?

Recently, the Moscow Times reported that Russia would coordinate a deal with China and North Korea to allow Chinese ships to navigate through a seventeen-kilometer stretch of the Tumen River to the Rason Special Economic Zone (SEZ) on the Pacific

SRAD | Aug. 14, 2024

AY25 Campaign Planning Handbook

The purpose of this document is to assist United States Army War College students during the Military Strategy and Campaigning (MSC) course. It also serves to assist commanders, planners, and other staff officers in combatant commands (CCMD), joint

SRAD | Aug. 14, 2024

The NATO Strategic Concept on Its Seventy-Fifth Anniversary

| Published by Army University Press Military Review, July-August 2024 |  The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will celebrate its seventy-fifth anniversary at its 2024 summit in Washington, D.C. NATO’s age tells a story of alliance endurance

SRAD | Aug. 8, 2024

Protracted War Series: A discussion with Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens

In episode 15 of CLSC Dialogues, Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens looks at the potential for a protracted war between the US and China by exploring how a conflict could start and variables the CCP leadership may be watching. She then addresses public

SRAD | Aug. 2, 2024

Secrecy and Solidarity: PRC Internal Security Partnerships with Socialis...

Publication: China Brief Volume: 24 Issue: 15, The Jamestown Foundation: Global Research & AnalysisThe People’s Republic of China (PRC) engages in extensive security cooperation with other single-party socialist states. This includes deploying the

SRAD | July 25, 2024

Venezuela’s Elections: Hoping for the Best, Preparing for the Worst

As Venezuela moves toward promised national elections on July 28, my heart is with the hopes of Venezuelans for a miracle that will translate their courageous act of voting, into a restoration of democracy. Everything I have seen unfold in the

SRAD | July 22, 2024

China, the Illiberal Counter-Order, and the Role of Values in the Strate...

The dynamics of the international order in the third decade of the 21st Century are changing profoundly.  The magnitude and complexity of the change are illustrated by Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine, in both its initial failure, and in the ability

SRAD | July 18, 2024

Protracted War Series: A Discussion with Josh Arostegui

In episode 14 of CLSC Dialogues, Josh Arostegui discusses some of the more salient points regarding how prepared the PRC is for a protracted war. He describes how the PLA remains designed to execute large-scale combat operations through the existence

SRAD | July 15, 2024

An Interview with Dennis Blasko

In episode 13 of CLSC Dialogues, Josh Arostegui, and Rick Gunnell interview renowned China expert Dennis Blasko. They discuss the origins of Blasko's interest in China and the PLA, then delve into his research and writing on Chinese landpower. Blasko

SRAD | July 15, 2024

Engagement with China has had a Multifaceted Impact on Latin American De...

While Beijing may not deliberately promote authoritarian regimes in Latin America, implicit risks to the dynamics of democracies arise out of engagement with China.In its public discourse, unlike the Soviet Union during the Cold War, the People’s

SRAD | July 11, 2024

Lieutenant General Robert C. Richardson Jr.: Central Pacific Theater Arm...

Lieutenant General Robert C. Richardson Jr. commanded US Army Forces in Central Pacific Area and US Army Forces, Pacific Ocean Areas. He served as de facto theater Army commander to Admiral Chester W. Nimitz from August 1943 to June 1945, executing

SRAD | July 10, 2024

What’s Behind South Korea’s New Defectors’ Day Holiday?

The inaugural July commemoration is an inflection point and an opportunity for the Yoon government to advance both domestic and foreign policy priorities.On July 14, South Korea will commemorate its inaugural North Korean Defectors’ Day. The new

SRAD | July 8, 2024

NATO’s in Denial about Deterrence by Denial

Taking the necessary steps to fully operationalize deterrence by denial is critical — especially before a possible change in America’s relationship with NATO.Recent revelations that the Chinese government has been substantially aiding Russia’s war

SRAD | July 8, 2024

Paraguay’s Security Challenges and the Government Response

The land-locked South American country of Paraguay receives little attention in Washington D.C. relative to its strategic importance for the region and the U.S. It is larger than Germany, and like Germany, its impact, and the nature of its

SRAD | July 2, 2024

On "War with China: A View from Early 2024"

Episode 12 of CLSC Dialogues: In 2012, the late diplomat and RAND Corporation Senior Fellow James Dobbins wrote an article titled “War with China,” which was published in the journal Survival. The article asserted that there were several potential

SRAD | July 1, 2024

Landpower, Homeland Defense, and Defending Forward in US Indo-Pacific Co...

Homeland defense does not begin at the water’s edge, at least not on the east and west coasts of the United States. In the twenty-first–century geopolitical environment, the definition of homeland defense must now extend well beyond North American

SRAD | June 28, 2024

COMMENTARY: Studying Landpower in the Indo-Pacific

The China Landpower Studies Center at the U.S. Army War College produces research and analysis of China's strategic landpower for U.S. policymakers and military leaders. For many casual observers, the U.S. Army has little to say in how a future war

SRAD | June 27, 2024

A Call to Action: Lessons from Ukraine for the Future Force

The Russia-Ukraine War represents a strategic inflection point that provides valuable insights into the future of war and how the US military must adapt. This book identifies the lessons the US Army must learn from the Russia-Ukraine War as the

SRAD | June 26, 2024

On the 5th Security Force

In episode 11 of CLSC Dialogues, Colonel Rich Butler and Colonel Brandon Teague discuss the 5th Security Force Assistance Brigade and its contributions to the US Indo-Pacific and how persistent presence and advisory roles contribute to the concept of

SRAD | June 24, 2024

PODCAST: Chinese Strategy and Statecraft: Coercion and Competition in th...

What are the objectives of China’s foreign and security policies under Xi Jinping?  What is the role of Australia and other middle powers in responding to Chinese actions in the Indo-Pacific?  Are the United States’ China policies set to change with

SRAD | June 24, 2024

PODCAST: Paramilitaries Abroad: China’s Use of Nontraditional Security F...

Episode 107 of the Irregular Warfare Podcast examines how China uses its paramilitary and internal security forces to project power abroad and build global influence.Our guests begin by dissecting the Chinese security apparatus: contrasting the

SRAD | June 18, 2024

"Arming Allies and Partners: How Foreign Military Sales Can Change the C...

In episode 10 of CLSC Dialogues, MAJ Brennan Deveraux, national security researcher in the Strategic Studies Institute, and Josh Arostegui, research director and chair of the China Landpower Studies Center, discuss Deveraux's recent article, "Arming

SRAD | June 11, 2024

Politics of the North Korean Diaspora

In episode 9 of CLSC Dialogues, Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens discusses her book, Politics of the North Korean Diaspora, which was published by Cambridge University Press in January 2024. The conversation includes a look at how North Korea’s regime

SRAD | June 5, 2024

On Coalition of the unWilling and unAble: European Realignment and the F...

In episode 8, COL Rich Butler and Dr. John Deni discuss Deni's book Coalition of the unWilling and unAble: European Realignment and the Future of American Geopolitics. The conversation addresses Europe's relationship with China and what it means for

SRAD | May 30, 2024

China Center Director Series – China Maritime Studies Institute

In episode 7 of CLSC Dialogues, Christopher Sharman and Dr. Andrew S. Erickson discuss the China Maritime Studies Institute at the Naval War College. Sharman serves as the director of the China Maritime Studies Institute and Erickson—who helped stand

SRAD | May 29, 2024

China Center Director Series – Center for the Study of Chinese Military ...

In episode 6, Dr. Phillip C. Saunders, the director of the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs in the Institute for National Strategic Studies at National Defense University, discusses the organization’s research efforts, product lines,

SRAD | May 29, 2024

Parameters | Summer 2024

The Summer issue is out! In this edition: "What American Policymakers Misunderstand about the Belt and Road Initiative" by Zenel Garcia and Phillip Guerreiro; A Major's Perspective “Professional Discourse Is Shaping the Force”; Civil-Military

SRAD | May 29, 2024

Playing Both Sides of the U.S.-Chinese Rivalry

Why Countries Get External Security from Washington—and Internal Security from BeijingOn a visit to Budapest in late February, China’s minister of public security, Wang Xiaohong, secured a face-to-face meeting with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor

SRAD | May 28, 2024

China Center Director Series – Marine Corps University

Episode 5 of CLSC Dialogues features Daniel Rice, the China political and military strategy subject matter expert at Marine Corps University. In this episode, he explains how Marine Corps University and its Brute Krulak Center for Innovation and

SRAD | May 28, 2024

The New NATO Force Model: Ready For Launch?

Allies are in the process of a dramatic change to the Alliance’s force structure, which will see the NATO Response Force (NRF) replaced with a three tiered structure of Allied forces, to include an Allied Reaction Force (ARF), all of which is

SRAD | May 27, 2024

China Center Director Series – China Aerospace Studies Institute

Episode 4 features Dr. Brendan Mulvaney is the director of the department of the Air Force's China Aerospace Studies Institute (CASI). In this episode, Mulvaney introduces CASI, its mission, researchers, product lines, and more. The organization is

SRAD | May 23, 2024

China-Argentina Space Engagement

This work examines China - Argentine Space Collaboration, with a focus on the PRC Operated Deep Space Radar Facility in Neuquén. It argues that in interest of national development, and in the context of hopes for benefit from Argentina’s broader

SRAD | May 20, 2024

China Center Director Series – China Landpower Studies Center

In episode 3 of CLSC Dialogues, COL Rich Butler, director of the China Landpower Studies Center (CLSC) in the Strategic Studies Institute at the US Army War College, discusses the scope and mission of the CLSC and introduces its researchers and 2024

SRAD | May 13, 2024

Argentina: Security Challenges and the Government Response

Summary: In addition to Argentina’s profound economic crisis, the nation faces serious security challenges. These include use of the country as a drug transit zone, including cocaine from Bolivia and Peru bound for Europe and marijuana from

SRAD | May 1, 2024

Paraguay: A Promising Government Navigating a Perilous Path

The greatest gift that Cartes can give the country and President Peña is to empower Peña to take the real and symbolic steps to frontally tackle corruption. Paraguay, a land-locked country at the heart of South America, is strategically important for

SRAD | April 25, 2024

Now It’s Up to Europe to Take the Lead in Ukraine

Continental security can no longer be outsourced to the U.S., which may soon have other wars to fight.By John R. Deni and Lisa A. AronssonUkrainians are breathing a sigh of relief. Within days, desperately needed ammunition and military equipment

SRAD | April 24, 2024

The Role and Impact of US Army Pacific in the Indo-Pacific Region

In the second episode of CLSC Dialogues: Landpower in the Indo-Pacific, General Charles A. Flynn, commander of US Army Pacific and Colonel Rich Butler, director of the China Landpower Studies Center, discuss the role and impact of the US Army in the

SRAD | April 18, 2024

Emerging Technologies and Terrorism: An American Perspective

In a world where technology is rapidly advancing and available to the masses, companies and policymakers face a daunting reality—non-state actors are using innovation for sinister purposes. While artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomous systems

SRAD | April 17, 2024

Decisive Decade: PRC Global Strategy and the PLA as a Pacing Challenge –...

The US Army War College’s 2023 Conference on the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) was held February 22 to 24, 2023, at Carlisle Barracks, Pennsylvania. The conference, entitled “Decisive Decade: PRC Global Strategy and the PLA as Pacing Challenge,”

SRAD | April 12, 2024

Risk, Rumors, and Reprisals: The Imagined Side of Professional Writing

With the Army’s renewed emphasis on professional writing, a disturbing narrative will likely resurface that publishing is dangerous to an author’s career. While many have articulated the benefits of joining the professional discourse, myself

SRAD | April 11, 2024

War with China: A View from Early 2024

US defense analysts are overdue for a fundamental reassessment of the strategic factors that would shape a future Sino-American war.The United States may lower the overall risk of sparking a war between Washington and Beijing by more formally

SRAD | April 9, 2024

A Baseline Assessment of the PLA Army's Border Reinforcement Operations ...

This report analyzes the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) border reinforcement operation throughout the Aksai Chin and adjacent areas from summer 2020 to early 2021. It is based largely on analysis of Google Earth imagery and provides a baseline for


SRAD | April 4, 2024

At 75, NATO Is Still Worth the Price

Despite achieving notable successes over its seventy-five years of existence, NATO today faces a major challenge. A change in the United States’ commitment could spell the demise of the alliance.The North Atlantic Alliance should justifiably mark the

SRAD | March 28, 2024

Research Handbook on NATO "Collective Defense"

Collective defense is back at center stage for NATO. This is primarily due to Russia’s 2014 invasion of Ukraine, its illegal annexation of Crimea, and the subsequent and more brutal second invasion of 2022, all of which prompted NATO to fundamentally

SRAD | March 27, 2024

New Technologies and Emerging Trends in the Indo-Pacific

In this inaugural episode of CLSC Dialogues: Landpower in the Indo-Pacific, Lieutenant General Xavier T. Brunson, the commanding general of I Corps and Joint Base Lewis-McChord, retired Major General Mick Ryan of the Australian Army, and Colonel Rich

SRAD | March 22, 2024

Implications for Modern Warfighting Concepts: What the US Army Can Learn...

These four historic vignettes provide context and lessons learned for the US Army as it returns to peer conflict. Although history does not account for the cyber and space domains, the leaders involved in the highlighted conflicts dealt with the

SRAD | March 20, 2024

Arming Allies and Partners: How Foreign Military Sales Can Change the Ch...

Allies and partners are “a center of gravity” for the DoD National Defense Strategy in the Indo-Pacific. But are regional nations building military capacity to help the United States prepare for and deter a potential clash with the People’s Republic

SRAD | March 12, 2024

Argentina Political and Economic Challenges

From February 24 through March 2, I traveled to Argentina to speak with government, business and academic experts regarding the situation in the country, including 27 interactions involving some 300 people. Argentina is at a pivotal moment, as its

SRAD | March 5, 2024

EXPLAINER: What Is Article 5 and How Does it Shape NATO’s Ukraine Response?

Sweden, a neutral country for two centuries, is joining NATO in a moveexperts say will have a significant impact on global politics.The Swedish Island of Gotland, located 120 miles southeast of Stockholm and slightly smaller than Rhode Island, is

SRAD | March 4, 2024

Look deeper: Time may be on Ukraine’s side

If Kyiv can hold out through the next winter—a big if—there are trends that run in its favor.Conventional wisdom is that time is on Russia’s side as Ukraine battles to fend off Moscow’s invasion. Although much remains unclear, it seems certain that

SRAD | March 4, 2024

The Case for Containing, Not Coddling, Maduro

From 2019 to 2020, I had the honor of serving on Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s policy planning staff (S/P). One of my priority focus areas was the dictatorship of Nicholas Maduro and the dangers it posed to the Venezuelan people and to the

SRAD | Feb. 26, 2024

China’s Security Engagement in Latin America and the Caribbean

An overview of the characteristics and trends in China’s security engagement in the region, and how it is evolving.China’s activities in the security and defense sector in Latin America and the Caribbean are a small but strategically significant

SRAD | Feb. 20, 2024

Why North Korea Survives

Here’s how the Kim regime has proven so resilient.North Korea’s recent jettisoning of reunification with South Korea as a national goal has raised much speculation about Pyongyang’s goals and strategy. Relatively overlooked in recent debates over

SRAD | Feb. 16, 2024

China-Latin America Space Cooperation: An Overview

As China has increased its political and economic cooperation with Latin America, it has also expanded its space engagement with the region.In September 2023, during a visit to China, Venezuelan President Nicholas Maduro announced an agreement in

SRAD | Feb. 14, 2024

CMSI Note #4: Deck Cargo Ships: Another Option for a Cross-Strait Invasion

CMSI Perspectives and Key Take-Aways: In addition to RO-RO ferries, the PLA also uses another class of RO-RO ship, the deck cargo ship, in sea transport training exercises. Deck cargo ships are widely used in China’s ocean engineering and

SRAD | Feb. 8, 2024

PRC Engagement with Latin America, and Central and Eastern Europe: Compa...

PRC Engagement with Latin America, and Central and Eastern Europe: Comparisons and Insights R. Evan Ellis Over the past twenty years, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has expanded its political, institutional, economic, and other forms of

SRAD | Feb. 8, 2024

The Mixed Message About China's Economy

Chinese Premier Li Qiang spoke this week at the World Economic Forum in Switzerland, saying the Chinese economy was doing just fine. Signals out of Beijing have been conveying a different message.SHEENA CHESTNUT GREITENS: So I think that the idea

SRAD | Feb. 6, 2024

Argentina's Milei Returns Idea of Limited Gov't to Global Stage In Latin...

The nine most terrifying words in the English language are:I'm from the Government, and I'm here to help.— Ronald Reagan - Aug. 12, 1986Most Argentines did not elect eclectic libertarian Javier Milei in November 2023 because they understood his

SRAD | Feb. 2, 2024

Strategic Implications of the Deterioration of the Rules-Based Internati...

The multiple crises currently playing out in Ukraine, the Middle East, the Taiwan straits, and even Guyana’s Essequibo region, reflect a deterioration of the rules-based international order that has served as the foundation for economic growth,

SRAD | Jan. 25, 2024

International Competition in the High North: Kingston Conference on Inte...

Editors: Michael E. Lynch, Howard G. CoombsThe 16th annual Kingston Consortium on International Security conference, “International Competition in the High North,” took place on October 11–13, 2022, in Kingston, Ontario, Canada. The conference

SRAD | Jan. 22, 2024

Perspectives on Ecuador: The Sky Isn’t Falling

The takeover of Ecuadorian TV station TC in the middle of a widely watched news broadcast, Ecuadoran President Daniel Noboa’s declaration of a state of internal armed conflict, and his deployment of the military as part of the response dominated