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NEWS | April 9, 2026

On The Impossible Mission: The Office of Security Cooperation and the U.S. Forces Drawdown in Iraq

Robert L. Caslen Jr., DBA, and Katelyn K. Tietzen-Wisdom, PhD

 

In this episode of Conversations on Strategy, retired Lieutenant General Robert L. Caslen Jr. and historian Dr. Katelyn K. Tietzen-Wisdom discuss Caslen’s 2025 book, The Impossible Mission: The Office of Security Cooperation and the US Forces Drawdown in Iraq. The conversation explores the strategic challenges of the 2011 US drawdown in Iraq. The discussion highlights the complexities of war termination, highlighting the need to learn from the gap between policy expectations and on-the-ground reality.

Keywords: War Termination, Iraq Drawdown, Military Strategy, Security Cooperation, Robert Caslen

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Stephanie Crider (Host)
You are listening to Conversations on Strategy. The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the guests and are not necessarily those of the Department of the Army, the US Army War College, or any other agency of the US government.
I’m talking remotely with Lieutenant General Robert L. Caslen Jr. (US Army, retired) and Dr. Katelyn K. Tietzen-Wisdom.
Caslen is a United States Military Academy honor graduate, a veteran of 43 years, and the author of The Impossible Mission: The Office of Security Cooperation and the U.S. Forces Drawdown in Iraq, published by Outskirts Press Incorporated in 2025.
Tietzen-Wisdom is a historian at the US Army Center of Military History in Washington, DC. She wrote a Parameters book review about The Impossible Mission.
Welcome to Conversations on Strategy, General Caslen and Dr. Tietzen-Wisdom.

Robert L. Caslen Jr.
Alright. Thank you.

Katelyn K. Tietzen-Wisdom
Thanks for having us.

Host
General Caslen, what inspired you to write this book?

Caslen
Well, you know, first of all, for the over 8,000 men and women from the United States military that gave their life for the country of Iraq and for its development and for what it potentially can be in the middle of a very hostile area in the Middle East, you know, we owe it to their service and their sacrifice. That’s number one.
Number two, I think there’s just tremendous opportunity for what Iraq can become and its impact, not only in its own country, but also for the Middle East. And it’s a very rocky road to get there. And, we talk about going to war, and there’s a lot of books written about going to war and more, but there’s not that much written about terminating a war, and the challenges—not only the policy decisions, but the challenges to develop the right strategies based on what the policies are and how to get congruence across different United States government departments, you know,  because everybody has their own vision. So, who’s got the responsibility to bring it together to get a unified vision of how that drawdown proceeds?
And then, it just doesn’t happen by leaving. People think that leaving a war terminates a war, and there’s so much complication. And, those that remain to kind of pick up the tasks that are still outstanding—like foreign military sales—they rely on authorities to be there and immunities to be there that come from Congress and from elsewhere. And, all of that has got to be put together. Someone’s got to put that strategy together across departments of the United States government, and it didn’t happen. So, we were the ones that experienced it during the drawdown and the aftermath. I ended up staying there for 22 months. So, it was a huge challenge, but there were so many significant lessons, strategic lessons, that needed to be learned so that when we go to the next war termination, we can do it properly.
Afghanistan was the next one, and you can just look back on recent history [and assess] whether we learned anything from Iraq or not, but there’s still a lot to be learned. So, that’s why the book was written.

Tietzen-Wisdom
And, if I can jump in, as a historian, I’m eternally grateful that General Caslen wrote this book because, like he said, this time period is kind of overlooked. There’s the invasion, the insurgency, civil war, and then it’s “boop!”—the US Army is out of Iraq, and we’re back into Afghanistan. And this book, for historians, is just treasure. Having this primary source from somebody who is not only there—multiple times in Iraq—but there at a pretty decisive point, it’ll help advance the scholarship of the Iraq War and not only honor those veterans and the servicemembers, but [it] will help inform future policy and strategy.

Host
Let’s start by talking about where things went wrong. Where do you think the mission truly became impossible and were the obstacles structural, political, or self-inflicted by the system?

Caslen
Well, interestingly enough, General Lloyd Austin was the MNF (Multi-National Force) commander on termination, and he’s the one that departed. He hired RAND Corporation to come in to try to capture some of the historical narratives of the war termination of what took place within MNF-I (National Force-Iraq).
As RAND was thinking about what was going to happen next with the OSCI (Office of Security Cooperation in Iraq) coming in, which I was the commander of, they knew that there were so many areas that still had to be resourced that were not. And, their comment of it, not mine—I didn’t come up with the name or anything like that—their comment in their book was, “What Caslen inherited, it was impossible. And he has an impossible mission.” And that was a perfect title for the book, I thought. So, not Mission Impossible or whatever. It’s The Impossible Mission, and it’s not something I came up with but something I felt very closely, you know, trying to bang my head against the wall because there were some impossible things that were going on out there. But RAND Corporation was the one that came up with that name, and having lived it and experienced it, it really was, if not impossible, about as close as you can get to being impossible.

Tietzen-Wisdom
I think, important for this time period, too, is that the US is facing a deadline that was imposed three years earlier, if we’re talking about towards the end of 2011 with the Status (of Forces Agreement), the SOFA agreement, as it was colloquially referred to as a security agreement and a cooperation agreement. But, the US has to withdraw all forces no later than 31 December 2011. And there was questions of whether the US would be able to stay or not.
Whether this was an impossible mission, I think there’s multiple layers to it, but one of the driving factors for why General Caslen was facing all of these headaches was, in my opinion, I think the United States underestimated the Iraqi political sphere that, for many Iraqis, US forces, no matter [their] intentions after, were seen as occupiers, and there was a US occupation. And so, any Iraqi politician that was willing to sign off on an extension that would have allowed US forces to stay beyond 2011, that was pretty politically fraught to contend with.
I also would argue that a lot of Americans, both in Iraq and in the Pentagon or in [the] State Department, believed that the Iraqis would ask for an extension, and there was this kind of complacency [implying,] “Oh, well, this will happen.” And General Caslen talks about in his book, he arrives in Iraq in September 2011, and he’s told by some pretty powerful policymakers on the ground that “Oh, yeah, this will work.”
And I think, too, that Iraq, in general, kind of gets caught up in this new change. There’s a new administration in [Washington,] DC. They’re shifting priorities to Afghanistan, and it’s almost like Iraq kind of became on the back burner. And General Caslen and his team are left trying to put these pieces together as there’s changing personnel, [changing] focus, there’s Iraqi politics [that] is becoming more and more independent and assertive. And so, I don’t know if there’s one specific issue that made it impossible, but there was just a lot that General Caslen’s team had to contend with.

Caslen
You know, as I was doing my research getting ready to deploy to try to find what my mission and my responsibilities were going to be, the national security objectives that General Austin had in MNF-I (Multi-National Forces-Iraq) were the exact same national security objectives that I inherited. General Austin had 50,000 soldiers. I had 157. So, when you just stop and look at the math based on your national security objectives that were given to you, how in the heck are you going to accomplish the same national security objectives that 50,000 soldiers had a hard time accomplishing, and now you’re going to do it for 157? And, that’s when RAND (Corporation) looked at that thing and said, “This is impossible,” you know?
But, there was a there was a lot of thinking in Washington, DC, that there was going to be a significant residual force—similar to what took place in Korea after the 1953 [armistice] out there in South Korea. You know, they had a couple divisions that stayed there, and they still have a division headquarters over there, you know, even to this day, some 60 some years later. So, a lot of people thought that if you’re going to secure those national objectives and continue them that you’re going to have to have some sort of residual force.
But, there were some people that were arguing in support of it. There were even people in Iraq that were arguing in support of it, but the conditions that were set by the United States government was that you had to have a security agreement and a SOFA agreement—two separate agreements—where the security agreement allows you to be there, and the SOFA agreement gives you immunities. And both of them expired on the 31st of December at war termination. And, there was a big argument whether we should continue to pursue to get the security agreement and the SOFA agreement or not.
We then threw it on top of Iraq’s legislature that they had to pass a law. We were underneath the United Nations law before that, but now that it expired, it was going to have to be Iraq that gave us the authority to be there and the authority for a SOFA for immunities. The most important one to our government was the SOFA for the immunities. And then behind the scenes—not behind the scenes, but very publicly, as Kate had said—we had just gone through a presidential election. And the president that came in, President (Barack) Obama said, “I’m going to tell you how we’re going to terminate war.”
He made this big speech about war termination and how, I mean, I could almost quote [him], he said, “Let me tell you how we’re going to terminate the Iraq war.” And, that was part of his campaign, you know. So, lo and behold, he’s elected. Now we’re in the middle of trying to see whether there’s going to be a security agreement and an extension of some type of residual force.
And then, I’m getting ready to go over there and I get a phone call from my West Point classmate, who’s the Deputy National Security Advisor, Lieutenant General and Ambassador Doug Lute. And Doug says, “Bob, come on over here. I want to talk to you.”
So, I said, “Yeah, I’d be happy to come over to the White House.” You know, [it was] my first time in the White House, there in the West Wing.
And he says, “I gotta tell you, you know, I know you guys are talking about putting a residual force together, but you got to remember what President Obama said about this.”
And I go, “Doug, I don’t remember what he said.”
He said, “You gotta remember. It’s important that you understand what he said.”
And I said, “Doug, I don’t know what he said.”
I said, “Doug, what did he say?”
He said, “This [was] at the Camp Lejeune speech. He said, ‘We are going to be out of Iraq at the end of our security agreement. That’s it. Period. We’re going to—there will not be a residual force.’ ”
I said, “Doug, there’s all kinds of people telling me that I gotta prepare this residual force. As a matter of fact, the Department of Defense put the 3rd Infantry Division commander to do his reconnaissance as a residual force.”
And when I was over there doing my reconnaissance, you know, I ran into him. I said, “What are you going to be here for?”
He goes, “I’m your, I’m going to work for you, sir. I’m going to be your security force.” So, the two-star headquarters as part of the residual force.
Of course, pending all of that, had to be on the Iraq side, a security agreement and an approved SOFA of which, as Kate so keenly reminds us, there was no intention whatsoever on any Iraqi legislature to approve a security agreement to extend United States forces in Iraq. They want it, now it’s their turn to live with it and to make it happen, and they wanted us to go home. And, that was pretty clear.
So, I’m stuck in the middle of whether there’s going to be a residual force or not. And, I kept saying, “What are our national security objectives? What is the strategy to achieve them? What are the resources to implement that strategy?”
And, that’s what we were trying to determine—whether or not we can make that happen. And in the end, Iraq failed to pass the legislation.
President Obama said, “That’s fine with me because that’s what was my political objection and what I was voted to office for—to terminate the war—and therefore, Office of Security Cooperation, you, and your 157 soldiers that will do the Foreign Military Sales program, are on your own. Good luck.”
I said, “Got it.”
Those are the circumstances that led to not having any residual force and just 157 military on the ground. And 700 contractors, too, by the way.

Tietzen-Wisdom
And, I think it’s a testament to how powerful domestic politics or domestic considerations impact military or operational standards or practices and that, [in] the United States, the Iraq war is unpopular. There is a global recession that is impacting the economy. For the new administration, Iraq is not in the forefront. In Iraq, the Iraqis will not let up on immunities. They do not want to grant immunities to US soldiers and part of that is a legacy of US misconduct in Iraq. [There are] numerous examples—Abu Ghraib, Haditha, Yusufiyah, and Nisour Square. And, like I wrote in the review, some, not all of those individuals faced some sort of justice, but for Iraqis, they were never tried in Iraqi court or [never] faced Iraqi punishment.
And, that was just something that they could not let go. Even if an Iraqi politician wanted US forces to stay behind, he could not publicly come out and say, “We can move past this.”
Even US detention operations—our officers who work in detention operations are constantly reminded of Abu Ghraib. And, that happened in 2003. This is 2011. That legacy is important both domestically for Iraqis and then, also, just any residual force to them, would just be a continuation of that quote unquote occupation. And, I don’t know if [the] United States wholesale acknowledged that or gave it enough credence as they probably should have.

Caslen
I would say it’s important for us in the military to understand the politics and then, we just can’t pretend they’re not there. We have to make sure that we understand what the politics were. And, of course, that led to the policy that that we were going to withdraw.
I’m not condemning or criticizing the politics, but the politics are what really led to the decision by the president of the United States for 100 percent withdrawal and not to have a residual force. And, we need to understand that. And then, you got to go through the strategic planning of what’s our goals? What’s our national objectives? What are the programs that will get us there in accordance with the policy that was stated by our commander in chief? And what are the resources for that?
And, a lot of those resources are authorities and SOFA agreements that come out of Congress. So, it’s not just a physical resource like a gun or something. It’s also the privileges and the authorities that only Congress can provide to get you there and to give you the authority to be there.

Tietzen-Wisdom
And, I’m sure it was beyond frustrating for US officers on the ground who are being told by the Iraqi counterparts, “We want you here. We want you here.” And then publicly, they won’t say that. But then on the flip side for President Obama, it would have been a political nightmare if US forces decided to stay post-2011 without a SOFA agreement and US soldiers were detained by Iraqi forces.
And, I think it would have cast a whole shadow on the nature of the strategic relationship between Iraq and the United States. If you’re allied forces are arresting your soldiers, how does one navigate that, both if you’re the ground commander and if you’re the politicians in DC? I think for any, anyone who advocates, [saying,] “Oh, it would have been easy if they just stayed behind,” or “No, they could have us operate without a SOFA,” there’s significant nuance there that you cannot overlook.

Host
What roles did Titles 10 and 22 play?

Caslen
Well, the proponent for Title 22 is [the] State Department, the proponent for Title 10 is [the] Department of Defense, now the Department of War. If you go back to what our mission statement said, and then, if you look at and kind of draw the line between what you were doing and where your authority came from with what you were doing [you can tell the difference].
So, for example, we were doing security cooperation. Security cooperation, by definition, is a Title 10 [function], but security cooperation includes security assistance. Security assistance is a foreign military sales [function], and security assistance is training to operate the equipment. That is, by law, a State Department proponency, or a Title 22 proponency. That’s the law—a Title 22.
But, there’s so much more that had to take place that was Title 10. We had to do negotiations with the Kurds and the Arabs. That was going on. We had to do collective training. We had to do exercise programs. We had to build up their doctrine, instill doctrinal programs. And, we were still helping them with a lot of the maintenance programs that were going on. All of those are Title 10 responsibilities. So, we, in the Office of Security Cooperation, had Title 10 responsibilities and Title 22 responsibilities. And the problem was, I had to get my authorities from CENTCOM (Central Command) for my Title 10 responsibilities, and the Department of Defense, and I had to get my Title 22 authorities through the ambassador to this Department of State.
Interestingly enough, all the way up until withdrawal, the primary—or the principal— department of the United States government in Iraq was Department of Defense. After withdrawal, [the] Department of State assumed those responsibilities.
So, [the] Department of State was telling me, “We don’t want you to do any more Title 10 whatsoever.”
I said, “Sir, there’s a lot of negotiation that’s gotta take place. There’s a lot of exercises that need to occur. We want Iraq to be a prominent contributor to defense, collectively, in the Middle East, and also, for their own internal threats. And that requires Title 10 tasks, some of which I just mentioned.”
And [the Department of] State said, “You are Title 22, you are not Title 10. You’re prohibited from doing those tasks.”
And then on the same time, I’m going from the Department of Defense, and they’re saying “No! You need to do this. This is important. We’re going to build a national objective, a military that can not only deal with its internal threats, but also its external threats, and to be a partner within the greater community, a contributing partner—which means they’re going to do exercises—there’s going to be Title 10 tasks and responsibilities that that are necessary.”
And, I don’t know why, but there was so much friction between Title 22/State and Title 10/Defense. We’re caught in the middle of it, and we knew we had the Title 22 Foreign Military Sales. But [for] all the other stuff that needed to happen, our hands were tied. And we were not able to do it because the principal department after transition was State, and State trumped Defense, just because by design that’s the way it was. And I don’t know [why]. My feeling, you know, because Defense had been in charge for eight and a half years. I think now [that] the State was in charge, they wanted to make sure that [the Department of Defense] knew that they were in charge. I mean, that’s kind of the impression we all got.

Tietzen-Wisdom
I agree, I agree. I mean, the Department of Defense had been in charge of Iraq since 2003, and then, it’s almost like it’s a marriage that was on the rocks. And then in 2009, things start getting, like, really, really tense. And then by the end of 2011, 2012, it’s divorce, if you will.
But, there were warning signs that went back to 2009. And I know, General Caslen, you were up in northern Iraq at this time. But, with the new administration coming in, there were already signals that the Department of State was going to be taking more of the lead as the US government wanted to transition out of Iraq, focus on Afghanistan, and also kind of put the State Department front and center.
And so, there was a lot of tension. There was tension between the Pentagon and [the Department of] State. There was tension on the ground between maneuver elements and the provincial reconstruction teams that are often led by State Department officials. And I think, like your book and your experience, is like—when people talk about tension between then–Department of Defense and Department of State, here is an actual example of what happens when this tension is so palpable, and what happens to an officer like yourself, General Caslen, where you’re stuck in the middle of this.
To me, it was interesting. In your book, you describe how there are instances where, like, the Department of State wants nothing to do with you, and then CENTCOM or the Pentagon is also like . . .  there are moments where it’s like, “Wait, you’re over there?” Like, “Who are you again?” Like, very last-minute consideration from the Department of Defense to its own element in Iraq. And, I think the fact that these warning signs were there in 2009, ’10, ’11, [but] come ’12, it’s out in the open. And, this leaves the last US military element in Iraq kind of caught in the middle, and it has to navigate the super bureaucratic process while also working with the Iraqis. That’s quite a tall order.

Caslen
Yeah. It even got personal because they started rumors that General Caslen is not able to get along with the ambassador, and they’re fighting internally inside of Baghdad. And that’s going on in Washington.

Host
 Wow.

Tietzen-Wisdom
Oh, boy.

Caslen
Well, I got a phone call, you know, from the Joint Staff saying, “What’s this, you’re not getting along with the ambassador?”
I said, “What are you talking about?”
You know, so I went to the ambassador, I said, “Sir, have you heard this? You know?”
And he goes, “I have not heard anything.” And, he says “We’ve got to put a stop to this.”
But that’s some of the personal stuff that was going on back in Washington that, you know, you get fingers pointed in your chest and [end up] being accused of stuff that’s not even [happening, that you are] not even thinking about, never mind being accused of.

Host
Let’s talk about ISIS. Do you think ISIS would have come into being if the US had left sooner?

Caslen
The United States returned and then, for the most part, defeated ISIS, at least in Iraq. What had taken place with US forces withdrawal is you want to keep a democratic government democratic. And the US forces presence was not so much to provide security for Iraq and to protect it from external/internal threats, but it was to keep the government democratic, so you don’t have authoritative motions coming back in that they’ve been used to for generations.
ISIS is radical Sunni, you know, and you have to keep that in the back of your mind and that’s kind of their ideology and where they come from. And [al-Qaeda leaders Ayman al-Zawahiri] and (Osama) bin Laden were tied to the same ideology, both of them from a Sunni perspective. And Iraq is majority Shia—and it’s like 65 percent Shia and about 25 percent Sunni. And, Saddam (Hussein) was a Sunni, as a minority ruling over, authoritatively, a Shia majority country. Now you have the Shias in charge because they are the majority, and then you got the ISIS that’s coming on board. But what created the ISIS—I just watched it day by day by day. You know, when we left, we had all of the radical leadership that we had collected over eight years in Camp Bucca, so that they had to all be returned to Iraq.
And [the] Iraq judicial system said, “We don’t have any evidence that we should hold them.”
So, they were released. So, you immediately had a surge on the withdrawal of US forces of eight-and-a-half years of radical leadership being surged back into the country and into the community.
Then you have what’s going on over in Syria, which is a Sunni-majority country, and a lot of them are foot soldiers. And then you had the disenfranchisement of the Sunnis via Prime Minister (Nouri) al-Maliki. Prime Minister Maliki, as soon as US forces left, he arrested his deputy prime minister. He arrested his deputy, his vice president. He arrested his most prominent and, well, popular Sunni parliament member, the finance minister. And then, that just polarized all the Sunnis. And they wanted to do what the Kurds did. [They] wanted to have their own separate country—similar to what the Kurds were trying to accomplish—or at least being semi-autonomous. But what they did is all the sheikhs that were up there—that owned all the lands and the properties up there in northern Iraq—they welcomed all of the returning foot soldiers that left Iraq during the surge into Syria. And then, they left Syria and come back into Iraq. So, you had the perfect trifecta. You had radical leadership. You had safe haven provided by the sheikhs, and you had foot soldiers.
And that was the birth of the ISIS ideology. Then you have the leadership that brought the ideology to fruition, and they created the caliphate up there. You started seeing the falls of the cities. And that’s about when I transitioned out to (Lieutenant General Mick) Bednarek. And then, you had the rest of what took place that required US forces to return, and they finally agreed to do that. And, there’s some drama behind who wanted them to return to help or not and whether or not the United States was going to come back anyway.
They did come back, but it was after I had left and transitioned over to Mickey Bednarek. But, those conditions that I just described, in my opinion, created the conditions that were necessary for the rebirth of ISIS. I call it the rebirth because they were pretty much defeated and flat on the ground and, all of a sudden, now they had new energy with the leadership coming back in there and the safe haven, and then the foot soldiers returning to do all the work that was necessary.
And you still had an ideology that had not been defeated. And as a result, you had the rebirth of ISIS. And then, you know, you saw ISIS becoming pretty significant. And Iraq took necessary provisions bringing US forces back in to defeat it and put it where it needed to be put. That’s a significant, historical piece there that I personally witnessed that I wanted to pass on and include in my book.

Tietzen-Wisdom
And, I think it’s kind of forgotten sometimes that the US is leaving right in the midst of the Arab Spring, which that kicked off—really started—like, December 2010, but really spread across the Middle East in spring of 2011. And there was—because of the rise of, like, Facebook and other social media—younger Arabs are asking why. They’re asking questions about their authoritative government.
So, there’s already this pervasive challenge to state legitimacy and authorities in the Middle East, and then you had the Syrian Civil War erupt. And, I think this is critical that those who say like, “Oh, if the US hadn’t left, there wouldn’t have been ISIS, or if they had stayed behind they would have been able [to] prevent it,” the Islamic State of Iraq had been severely, like General Caslen said, had been severely degraded over eight years of war in Iraq.
ISIS does not emerge without the fighters and the funding that are because of the Syrian Civil War. That just opened up a total hole in the Middle East in terms of in the eastern parts of Syria, northwestern parts of Iraq, along the border with Türkiye, you have fighters coming in from not only other parts of the Middle East and the Islamic world, but you have fighters coming from Europe or elsewhere. And, that really reinvigorates the Sunni insurgency. Like General Caslen said, some of Prime Minister Maliki’s actions do not help, and he is no angel whatsoever. And it’s ironic, the sense of, like, the United States in 2011 is saying they want Iraq to be a strategic partner, think long term, be prepared for external threats. Meanwhile, the greatest threat comes from internal.
But, I think to say to blame the United States withdrawal as for why ISIS emerges is [that] it ignores all of the work and sacrifice that the Americans are part of in degrading the Sunni insurgency. But, I don’t think ISIS would have been as successful as it was without the Syrian Civil War. And, I think that gets overlooked, that this really had nothing to do with the Americans. I don’t know if the Americans had been there, [if] say the Syrian Civil War kicked off in 2013—and this is completely hypothetical—and the Americans are there, they may not have been as successful. We obviously will never know that, but ISIS never would have been what it became without that conflict right next door. I think that that gets overlooked quite a bit.

Caslen
Can I just add one quick alibi.

Host
Sure. Yes.

Caslen
In dealing with these different groups that are out there, it’s really important to understand the ideology. Because you can kill a lot of people, but unless you kill the ideology, that ideology is going to rebirth itself over and over again. And our strategies have really got to address not only the military aspect of it by destroying something, but they’ve got to also address the mindset and the philosophical underpinnings that motivate these people to do what they’re doing, and that’s their ideology. And we have to have ways to, really, to deal with the ideologies—at least these radical ideologies are a threat—not only as an internal threat to these governments, but also external threats, as well.

Host
We have a few minutes. Do you want to share any concluding thoughts?

Caslen
I have a chapter in my book called “Is Iraq Worth the Investment?” You know, we went to war for eight-and-a-half years. We lost so many of our great Americans, men and women, both military and civilian, and was Iraq worth the investment of what we actually did and why we went to war in Iraq? You know, after 9/11, we went to war in Afghanistan to defeat the terrorist organization that had global capability and governments that provide a safe haven like the Taliban. We went to war in Iraq, according to those that were in the meetings that made the decision with the president to go to Iraq, to keep the world’s most dangerous weapons out of the hands of the world’s most dangerous people.
And, it was a preemptive war. And we—I’m not sure in the history of the United States that we had ever executed a preemptive war before. Normally, our wars are a reaction to activities against us. You know, think of Pearl Harbor and stuff like that. So, that’s a huge change. And then, [we must consider] the number of casualties that we have—that we’ve experienced. But, then you’ve got a representative government in the middle of the Middle East that, for generations, no one had ever seen that. Then you had transition from authoritative means of governance.
And, if it really works, and if Iraq is democratic and can remain democratic—without corruption, without some degree of corruption—you know, you are going to set an example and a spotlight in the middle of the Middle East for other nations to also follow in a similar manner. Not to mention that Iraq also has the fifth largest world reserves of oil supply, you know, for energy, for the nations, for the world.
But, the real big answer is whether or not Iraq can keep a democratic government democratic. When we left Iraq, it was a democratic representative government, but it quickly became authoritative. Over the following years, it slowly has gone back to representative. And, if they can really—matter of fact, I had someone tell me Prime Minister Maliki might have become the prime minister again.

Tietzen-Wisdom
He’s still around.

Caslen
Well, hallelujah, you know.  So, if they can really become representative and they can buy into it and protect it—those democratic nature foundings—then I think there’s a lot of potential for Iraq and for what we have done to Iraq to create those conditions.

Tietzen-Wisdom
And, if I can use General Caslen’s book as a shameless plug, as a historian, I get excited when I see servicemembers and veterans write about their experiences in Iraq and Afghanistan. It really helps my job as a historian [to] bring this conflict, this war, to the general audience to add that human element to it. And, in an era with backlog and declassifying documents and that bureaucratic headache, reading books like this—these primary sources—they are so important to tell these stories. And I just would hope—again, shameless plug—I hope that anyone listening to this that was also a veteran or servicemember looks at General Caslen’s book and goes, “I can do this. I’ve got my diaries and my green notebooks. I’ve got my notes.”
We will read them. We will talk about them. And, I encourage anyone who’s listening to this to do the same because General Caslen’s book is the first book that I can think of that talks about this time period in as much detail as it does, outside of [the] RAND study and other formal studies. But, to have that first-person account, it brings the history alive, and I can’t thank him enough for writing a book like this.

Host
Well, I just want to thank you both. I wish we had more time. This was a very interesting conversation, and I know we glossed over a lot of details but thank you for making time to speak with me today.

Tietzen-Wisdom
Thank you.

Host
Listeners, you can read the review at https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters_bookshelf/. For more Army War College podcasts, check out Conversations on Strategy, SSI Live, CLSC Dialogues, and A Better Peace.
Recent Publications

SRAD | July 24, 2026

Economic Warfare: A Foundation for Twenty-First-Century Strategic Practice

Economic conflict is now a fundamental form of international competition, especially between large powers. Tariffs, sanctions, technological denial, supply-chain disruption, currency manipulation, and a host of other methods are now used daily, in

China’s Community of Common Destiny and the Global Initiatives, with Dr...

Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens, visiting faculty at the China Landpower Studies Center at the US Army War College and an associate professor at the University of Texas—Austin, joins the CLSC Dialogues to discuss the People’s Republic of China’s four




SRAD | June 24, 2026

China Maritime Report #55: Loading the Well Deck: The PLA Navy's Maturin...

Since 2023, the People's Liberation Army (PLA) has established an annualized rhythm of loading PLA Army (PLAA) combat, engineering, and support units onto PLA Navy (PLAN) amphibious ships for international exercises. This integration signals a

SRAD | June 22, 2026

Academic Year 2026–27 Annual Estimate of the Strategic Security Environment

The United States faces a complex and ever-changing global environment. The Annual Estimate of the Strategic Security Environment is designed to guide the collective defense community to research and write about critical national security challenges

SRAD | June 22, 2026

Systems Over Steel: How China is Redefining Amphibious Armor Survivability

The contemporary discourse on drone-driven warfare rarely suggests the end of maneuver, but it highlights an increasingly perilous gap between tactical movement and force survivability in a hypertransparent environment. Against this backdrop, the





SRAD | June 4, 2026

Ukraine’s War Effort in Mid-2026: International Opportunities and Domest...

The circumstances of the Russia-Ukraine War—and even the nature of modern warfare itself—appear to transform with each passing year. In 2023–24, the war was one of grinding attrition reminiscent of World War I. By 2025, advances in drone technology

SRAD | June 2, 2026

Between Beijing and the Budget: The Domestic Realities of Taiwan’s Defen...

Taiwan's legislature spent six months blocking a major defense budget, then passed a scaled-down version days before the Trump-Xi summit. Jessica C. Liao and Kyle Marcrum argue why the story the US media tells is flawed.

SRAD | May 22, 2026

“An Enviable Position in the Pacific”: An interview with General Xavier ...

Guest host Tom Spahr and General Xavier Brunson, commander of United Nations Command, ROK-US Combined Forces Command, and United States Forces Korea (UNC/CFC/USFK), discuss Korea, the Indo-Pacific, and mission command.


SRAD | May 19, 2026

The Peru F-16 Sale: The Relationship Between Partner Politics, Extra-Hem...

On April 18, 2026, interim Peruvian President José María Balcázar temporarily suspended signing a $3.42 billion agreement for the purchase of 24 new F-16 C and D block 70 fighters, associated equipment, and support. The Peruvian government authorized

SRAD | May 15, 2026

Decoding China’s 15th Five-Year Plan

China’s latest Five-Year Plan signals that it has become more pessimistic about the global environment, seeing it as uncertain and unstable. However, the Chinese Communist Party sees opportunity in that instability to promote the Community of Common

SRAD | May 14, 2026

Taiwan’s Special Defense Budget and KMT Trip to Beijing, Part 2

In part two of this two-part episode, COL Kyle Marcrum and Dr. Jessica Liao discuss Taiwan President Lai’s special defense budget and the Kuomingdang Chair, Cheng Li-wun, visit to Beijing.

SRAD | May 13, 2026

Taiwan’s Special Defense Budget and KMT Trip to Beijing, Part 1

In part one of this two-part episode, COL Kyle Marcrum and Dr. Jessica Liao discuss Taiwan President Lai’s special defense budget and why it is stalled in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan.

SRAD | May 11, 2026

Taking a Toll: How Allowing Iran to Charge for Transit in the Strait of ...

In April, Iran began charging ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz a “toll” for safe passage. By itself, this represents a dangerous new dynamic in the Middle East that may have begun with the Houthis in Yemen as early as 2024, wherein parties


SRAD | May 6, 2026

China Maritime Report #53: Filling the Ranks: China's Military Recruitin...

This report outlines People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) recruiting processes within the overarching context of China’s military personnel accession systems. Within China, most recruitment, mobilization, and service assignment of military personnel

SRAD | April 29, 2026

Can AI Pass the US Army War College?

The US Army War College oral comprehensive examination serves as the institution’s capstone, measuring its senior officers’ strategic thinking. In early 2026, three faculty panels applied that standard to four leading commercial artificial

SRAD | April 28, 2026

On the Pacific, USARPAC, and China

In this episode, COL Mike Long and LTG Joel B. Vowell discuss the US Army Pacific and the role of USARPAC.


SRAD | April 16, 2026

2026 Carlisle Conference on the PLA: The PLA’s Capability to React to Cr...

The US Army War College (USAWC) Strategic Studies Institute’s (SSI) held its annual Carlisle Conference on the PLA on March 25 and 26, 2026, in the Army Heritage and Education Center at Carlisle Barracks, Pennsylvania. The China Landpower Studies


SRAD | April 9, 2026

What is Strategic Rivalry? Why Should We Care?

The states most likely to draw America into its next major crisis or war are not unknowns. They are the usual suspects: The same handful of states that have threatened the United States repeatedly across decades. Interstate rivals have caused roughly




SRAD | March 3, 2026

Fighting for Intelligence in Large-Scale Combat Operations: The Role of ...

This article contends the US Army’s proposed intelligence and electronic warfare battalion–next concept constitutes an organizational solution essential for achieving intelligence dominance in large-scale combat operations. Transcending legacy

SRAD | Feb. 26, 2026

Is there still a Path for an International Security Force in Gaza

The US twenty-point peace plan that marked the end of Gaza War created an opportunity to break the political stalemate in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and advance major moves. Yet, progress on some of the most critical areas of security and



SRAD | Feb. 11, 2026

Frustrating the Fait Accompli: How Rocket Artillery Changes the Taiwan S...

China is furious about the United States’ recently announced $11 billion arms deal with Taiwan, and for good reason. Beyond simply comprising a significant assortment of military equipment, the package supports Taiwan’s developing asymmetric-warfare


SRAD | Feb. 4, 2026

If China Attacks Taiwan: Beijing Risks Social Instability in a Conflict

A conversation between Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens, Dr. Jake Rinaldi, and Bonnie Glaser on the risk of domestic social instability for Beijing if China attacked Taiwan. A podcast from The German Marshall Fund of the United States.



SRAD | Jan. 27, 2026

Discussion on the New National Security Strategy and its Relevance to th...

Rick Gunnell and Colonel Michael Long discuss the latest National Security Strategy and its implications for the US posture toward the Indo-Pacific.

SRAD | Jan. 14, 2026

Can the 15th Five-Year Plan Fix the People’s Liberation Army’s Procureme...

China’s newly released 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–2030) proposal, unveiled after the Fourth Party Plenum in October 2025, not only marks Beijing’s quest to achieve the People’s Liberation Army’s goal of building a so-called world-class military by

SRAD | Jan. 12, 2026

A Human-Centric Framework: Employment Principles for Lethal Autonomous W...

As lethal autonomous weapon systems become a battlefield reality, the Department of War must establish unambiguous employment criteria to allow war fighters to use these controversial systems ethically and responsibly. The updated policy should shift

SRAD | Jan. 12, 2026

A Long, Hard Year: Russia-Ukraine War Lessons Learned 2023

As the Russia-Ukraine War passed the two-year mark, the conflict ground to an entrenched, apparent stalemate. Nevertheless, the conflict, with a blend of conventional warfare and innovative technology, offers new lessons to the US Joint Force about

SRAD | Jan. 12, 2026

The 2024 Carlisle Conference on the PLA: Protracted War Against the PRC

The US Army War College’s 2024 Carlisle Conference on the People’s Liberation Army was held on October 16 and 17 at Carlisle Barracks, Pennsylvania. The conference brought together experts to discuss the People’s Republic of China’s understanding of

SRAD | Jan. 6, 2026

If China Attacks Taiwan: The Consequences for China of "Minor Conflict" ...

Introduction by Bonnie S. Glaser: Research on the possibility and likely outcome of a conflict in the Taiwan Strait has expanded rapidly in recent years. Studies have focused on a broad range of questions related to deterrence, potential conflict

SRAD | Jan. 5, 2026

How Maduro’s capture went down – a military strategist explains what goe...

The predawn seizure of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on Jan. 3, 2026 was a complicated affair. It was also, operationally, a resounding success for the U.S. military.Operation Absolute Resolve achieved its objective of seizing Maduro through a

SRAD | Dec. 17, 2025

Parameters | Winter 2025–26

Welcome to the Winter 2025–26 issue of Parameters, which consists of an In Focus special commentary, two forums (Indo-Pacific Deterrence and Considerations for Modern Warfare), and the new Strategic Competition Corner.

SRAD | Dec. 17, 2025

Security Implications of the China-Russia-North Korea Triangle

This article analyzes the evolving strategic dynamics within the China-Russia-North Korea triangle and their implications for global security. It argues that while the strengthened Russia–North Korea relationship poses risks for China’s global

SRAD | Nov. 24, 2025

Meet the New CLSC Director: A Conversation on Korea

In this episode of CLSC Dialogues, Major Brennan Deveraux welcomes Colonel Michael Long, the new Director of the China Landpower Studies Center. After discussing COL Long’s thoughts on the new assignment, the conversation shifts to his recent

SRAD | Nov. 13, 2025

China’s Foreign Police Training: A Global Footprint

New data reveal how China’s foreign police training programs have become an integral part of Beijing’s strategy to remake global security.

SRAD | Nov. 13, 2025

SSI Live 118 – The China Strategic Competition Seminar

In this episode of SSI Live, Major Brennan Deveraux interviews Colonel Kyle Marcrum and Lieutenant Colonel Paul Milas on the SSI-developed China Strategic Competition Seminar. The conversation explores the origin and relevance of the seminar,

SRAD | Nov. 7, 2025

Forecasting the PRC’s Next Global Initiative

Executive Summary:• Xi Jinping could unveil a “global environmental initiative” as soon as mid-November 2025, at the COP31 summit in Brazil. This would align with previous initiatives that have been announced at international forums.• This new

SRAD | Oct. 27, 2025

The PLA’s Progress toward World-Class Ground Force Capabilities

This essay examines Xi Jinping’s dictum of creating a world-class military by 2049 and assesses the progress of the PLA ground forces toward achieving that notional benchmark.

SRAD | Oct. 16, 2025

Preparing for PRC Military Actions in Latin America in the Context of a ...

Within the new book by the U.S. Military Academy Modern Warfare Institute, “Expecting the Unexpected: Essays on Strategic Surprise in the 21st Century” comes a chapter from Dr. R. Evan Ellis: “Preparing for PRC Military Actions in Latin America in

SRAD | Oct. 14, 2025

Peru’s Complex Security Challenges and the Government Response

"From September 13 through 21, 2025, the author traveled to Lima, Peru for an event bring them together faculty from the US Army War College and it’s alumni from Peru and across the region. There, he spoke to a wide range of Peruvian security experts

SRAD | Sept. 30, 2025

Global Public Security with Chinese Characteristics

A conversation between Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Bonnie Glaser on China's Global Security Initiative.

SRAD | Sept. 30, 2025

SSI Live 117 – China-Russia Relations and the Central Asian States

In this episode of SSI Live, Major Brennan Deveraux interviews Dr. Brian Carlson, a research professor of Indo-Pacific security studies for the China Landpower Studies Center, on Central Asia. The conversation highlights two drastically different

SRAD | Sept. 26, 2025

Adapting to Future Wars: The Reorganization of the PLA Army’s Special Op...

The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) implemented major changes to the organization, accession, and training of its army’s special operations forces (SOF) beginning in 2017, including the creation of a 12-man SOF team and establishment of a probable

SRAD | Sept. 16, 2025

Parameters | Autumn 2025

Welcome to the Autumn 2025 issue of Parameters. We open with two In Focus commentaries. The first, “A Case for Military Proportionality: Disabling Nuclear Plants” by Henry Sokolski, offers practical ways in which military planners can disable

SRAD | Sept. 5, 2025

China’s September 2025 Military Parade: How PLA Ground Forces Are Adapt...

China’s military parades are often viewed as a form of deterrence by giving Xi Jinping an opportunity to showcase the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) advanced weapons systems to the world and bring like-minded authoritarian leaders from partner

SRAD | Sept. 3, 2025

More Than a Numbers Game: Comparing US and Chinese Landpower in the Paci...

This episode features the authors of the recently published monograph More Than a Numbers Game: Comparing US and Chinese Landpower in the Pacific Requires Context.

SRAD | Aug. 26, 2025

Loyal Paraguay: The Peña Government’s Strategic Choice to Stay with Taiwan

From August 11-15, 2025, the author was in Asuncion, Paraguay, in an International Republican Institute (IRI) event hosted by that nation’s President Santiago Peña, bringing together government officials, diplomats, businesspersons, and civil

SRAD | Aug. 25, 2025

From the Last Frontier to the Final Frontier: The Polar Regions and Spac...

This article examines the intersection of Arctic geopolitics and space security amid intensifying U.S., Russian, and Chinese competition. Melting ice has opened access to resources and new sea routes, elevating the Arctic’s strategic value while

SRAD | Aug. 15, 2025

The Economic Argument for Keeping US Forces in Europe

NATO’s Hague summit earlier this summer has generally been viewed as a qualified success, despite — or perhaps because of — its unusually short and focused agenda. The new 5 percent defense spending commitment deserves most of the credit for this

SRAD | Aug. 13, 2025

A New World Cop on the Beat? China’s Internal Security Outreach Under th...

Global outreach by China’s internal security agencies is expanding. This nonmilitary security diplomacy plays a crucial yet overlooked role in Chinese foreign security policy. Watch Now

SRAD | Aug. 13, 2025

Election, Crisis, and U.S. Opportunity in Bolivia

Bolivia, strategically at the center of South America, faces a critical election that will define its direction in its current profound economic, political and security crisis, its future relationship with the People’s Republic of China (PRC), its

SRAD | Aug. 6, 2025

Understanding, Deterring, and Preparing for a Great-Power War in the Twe...

This integrated research project highlights gaps in the US Army’s understanding of, and preparations for, a great-power war in the twenty-first century. The project employs historical analysis to enhance Army leaders’ understanding of great-power

SRAD | July 22, 2025

More Than a Numbers Game: Comparing US and Chinese Landpower in the Paci...

As the US Army organizes, trains, and equips for an unforeseen future, service decisions should create or amplify relative operational advantages over the US military’s rising foe—the People’s Liberation Army. Discerning critical differences between

SRAD | July 22, 2025

Weaponizing Risk: Recalibrating Western Deterrence

Can NATO increase the risks and costs of war for an adversary without unduly raising the alliance’s own? Can the alliance strengthen the credibility of NATO’s extended deterrence through a proxy strategy of “waging war without going to war”? 

SRAD | July 15, 2025

Integrating Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Technologies in...

Explore artificial intelligence’s potential for military planning! This study examines how artificial intelligence and machine learning can enhance the US Army’s common operational picture and course of action development. Learn how advanced

SRAD | July 9, 2025

Academic Year 2025–26 Annual Estimate of the Strategic Security Environment

The United States faces a complex and ever-changing global environment. The Annual Estimate of the Strategic Security Environment is designed to guide the collective defense community to research and write about critical national security challenges


SRAD | June 18, 2025

Parameters | Summer 2025

Welcome to the Summer 2025 issue of Parameters. This issue consists of an In Focus special commentary, three forums (Indo-Pacific Challenges, Russia-Ukraine Issues, and Historical Studies).

SRAD | June 3, 2025

Assessing the PLA’s Strengths and Weaknesses for Achieving the PRC’s Goals

This chapter examines the perceived strengths and weaknesses of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) within the context of its modernization process and argues that the persistence of shortcomings may undercut the confidence senior leaders would prefer

SRAD | May 20, 2025

China Landpower Studies Center Newsletter II

In our second newsletter, we will share the China Landpower Studies Center (CLSC) team’s latest analysis and insights on the People’s Liberation Army (PLA).

SRAD | May 8, 2025

Ecuador’s Incoming Government Faces Difficult Choices Regarding China

With Daniel Noboa returning to the presidency and a new Chinese ambassador on the way, China-Ecuador relations are at an inflection point.From April 22-25, I had the opportunity to travel to Quito, Ecuador, to address an international forum on China

SRAD | May 8, 2025

China’s Coming Diplomatic Blitz in the Americas

The next few months will bring a series of high-profile multilateral engagements between China and Latin American countries, as Beijing seeks to capitalize on discontent with Trump.In the coming three months, China will have a number of opportunities

SRAD | April 29, 2025

Transnational Organized Crime in Mexico and the Government’s Response

The US government threats of tariffs on the Mexican government if it did not do more to control illicit fentanyl flows into the United States have cast new attention on the growing problem of transnational organized crime that has wrought violence

SRAD | April 24, 2025

Waging War without Disruption: China’s People’s Armed Police in a Future...

As one of the three branches of China’s armed forces, the People’s Armed Police (PAP) (人民武装警察) operates alongside the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) (人民解放军) and the militia (民兵) as a key instrument of Chinese Communist Party power. According to the

SRAD | April 22, 2025

Thompson’s Rifle Battalion: The Original Unit of the Army of the United ...

Why is 1775 depicted on the official flag of the US Army? Why did Congress form the Pennsylvania Rifle Battalion as the first non-militia unit in the army of the United Colonies? Who was the battalion’s commander, William Thompson? What happened to

SRAD | April 21, 2025

Russia's the Enemy

The United States has never been directly involved in the war in Ukraine. U.S. troops weren’t sent there to fight for Ukraine against the Russian invaders, and both sides of our political spectrum seemed intent on keeping it that way. Russia remained

SRAD | April 21, 2025

Russia, Ukraine, and Collective Defence

The ability to adapt to a constantly evolving security environment has been critical to the success of NATO, yet this is being tested anew as the Alliance faces a second term of Donald Trump in the White House and re-embraces collective defence in

SRAD | April 21, 2025

Does NATO Still Matter?

The alliance has created economic growth, peace and stability. America’s relationship with Europe is undergoing a potentially profound reexamination. Whether and how the transatlantic bond — especially America’s commitment to NATO — will endure has

SRAD | April 15, 2025

Don’t waste this crisis, Europe: consolidate your defense industry

Turn your excess national defense champions into continental ones.Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine and questions about the American commitment to NATO have cast a spotlight on European efforts to safeguard security on the continent. But today, the

SRAD | April 15, 2025

A Drawdown of US Forces in Europe Is All but Certain

Here’s how the Pentagon can rebalance its approach to the continent without sacrificing US interests.The Trump administration has only just begun to fill its ranks with the political appointees who will flesh out the future of US defense policy. One

SRAD | April 14, 2025

LTG Matthew McFarlane: Commanding General of America's First Corps

Today we are talking with Lieutenant General Matthew McFarlane, the commanding general of America's I Corps, headquartered at Joint Base Lewis-McChord. Having served with distinction at all levels of the Army and Joint Force, he now leads the Army's

SRAD | April 11, 2025

How Chinese Leaders Conceptualize Protracted War

You're listening to CLSC Dialogues, a China Landpower Studies Center production. The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the guests and are not necessarily those of the Department of the Army, the U.S. Army War College, or any

SRAD | March 24, 2025

Amid Trump Tariffs, Where Do China-Mexico Ties Stand?

Mexico’s government is attempting to downplay its relationship with China to avoid Trump’s ire, but ties continue beneath the surface. In the beginning of March 2025, I traveled to Mexico to speak with a range of officials and experts about

SRAD | March 20, 2025

Parameters | Spring 2025

Welcome to the Spring 2025 issue of Parameters. This issue consists of an In Focus special commentary, three forums (Russia, Ukraine, and NATO; Strategic Competition and Managing National Security; and Joint Sustainment Strategies), the regular

SRAD | March 18, 2025

North Korea in Ukraine: Analyzing Authoritarian Cooperation

The deployment of North Korean forces to Ukraine marks a critical inflection point in global security dynamics, challenging long-held assumptions about the limits of cooperation between authoritarian states. This development, unprecedented in its

SRAD | Feb. 21, 2025

Toward a More Effective DoD Contribution to Strategic Competition in the...

Innovative new thinking is needed on the security challenges the People’s Republic of China poses in Latin America and the Department of Defense’s role in the US response, including (1) enhanced security cooperation that helps key democratic partners

SRAD | Feb. 21, 2025

The Impact of China on US Interests in Latin America

President Trump’s statements regarding the influence of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) over the Panama Canal, and the focus on the issue as part of Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s February 2025 trip to Central America and the Caribbean  have

SRAD | Feb. 20, 2025

Freezing Point: PLA Army Expeditionary Units Lack Readiness for Extreme ...

In 2024, the US Department of Defense promulgated the latest edition of its Arctic Strategy, highlighting the need to enhance domain awareness and operational readiness to safeguard US and allied interests in the Arctic region. The Arctic possesses

SRAD | Feb. 11, 2025

Ecuador’s Security Challenges and the Government’s Response

In January 2024, following a series of dramatic public security incidents, including the escape from prison of Adolfo Macias (“Fito”), the leader of the violent Ecuadoran gang Los Choneros, and the takeover of an Ecuadoran Television station during a

SRAD | Jan. 31, 2025

China Landpower Studies Center Newsletter I

With the start of the New Year, the China Landpower Studies Center (CLSC) would like to share with you the team’s latest analysis and insights on the People's Liberation Army (PLA).If you find value in this newsletter, please share it with colleagues

SRAD | Jan. 31, 2025

2024 Carlisle Conference on the PLA

The China Landpower Studies Center (CLSC) held the Carlisle Conference on the PLA at the US Army War College’s (USAWC) Army Heritage and Education Center on 16 and 17 October 2024. This year’s conference, a keystone annual event held by the USAWC

SRAD | Jan. 14, 2025

Evolution of the Latin American Strategic Environment and the Posture of...

The security environment in Latin America and the Caribbean continues to evolve, driven in part by dramatic underlying changes in the broader global dynamics. Latin American security forces, constrained by a combination of resources and

SRAD | Jan. 14, 2025

Rethinking Denial: The People’s Liberation Army’s Laser Systems and the ...

In a future Taiwan contingency, the United States and its allies and partners are poised to leverage large-scale autonomous unmanned aircraft system (UAS) operations to counter China’s anti-access/area denial strategy. This approach aims to mitigate

SRAD | Jan. 8, 2025

Assessing the Effectiveness of US Army Campaigning in the Indo-Pacific

Applying the military instrument of power is essential to deterrence and assurance in the Indo-Pacific. This essay explores the underappreciated application of Landpower in this critical region and assesses the effects of a few activities that assure

SRAD | Jan. 6, 2025

“Potential Forms of Russian Support for China in a Protracted War”

Brian Carlson and David Stone – “Potential Forms of Russian Support for China in a Protracted War” In this episode of CLSC Dialogues, Brian Carlson interviews David Stone, a Russia expert from the U.S. Naval War College, about potential forms of

SRAD | Jan. 2, 2025

8 Simmering Threats You Shouldn’t Ignore in 2025: A Plausibly Deniable R...

The sabotage of undersea communications cables in the Baltic Sea by the cargo ship Yi Peng 3 is only the latest in a series of asymmetric attacks against Western interests and infrastructure that appear to be connected in one way or another to

SRAD | Dec. 27, 2024

2025: Possibilities for the Year to Come

2025 is likely to be a transformative year for Latin America and the Caribbean, and its relationships with the United States, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and other actors. Although it is impossible to predict with certainty the complex

SRAD | Dec. 24, 2024

Ecuador’s Evolving Engagement with the PRC

Under the current Ecuadorian government of Daniel Noboa, major infrastructure, financial, and security cooperation with China has been restrained, but political expediency may change that.In September 2024, Ecuadorian Economy Minister Juan Carlos

SRAD | Dec. 19, 2024

It’s (Still) More Expensive to Rotate Military Forces Overseas than Base...

In mid-2020, then-President Donald Trump ordered the Pentagon to withdraw roughly one-third of US forces from Germany, reportedly because of policy differences with Berlin. Given how long it would take to implement such a significant change in

SRAD | Dec. 18, 2024

Security Implications for the United States from Iranian and Hezbollah A...

This presentation will examine engagement with Latin America by Iran, its government agents, and surrogate groups such as Hezbollah, including terrorist finance, terrorism, and other activities and their evolution in recent years. It will address the

SRAD | Dec. 17, 2024

Making the Case for Democratic, Limited Government and Economic Liberty ...

This work is derived from an address given by the author to the InterAmerican Institute for Democracy on December 4, 2024, in Miami, Florida.In discussing the status of political and economic freedom in Latin America, my thoughts go to the

SRAD | Dec. 10, 2024

Will Assad’s Defeat be Putin’s Waterloo?

The narrative of Russia’s ascendancy in 2024 is beginning to look like more fiction than fact. The Assad regime in Syria has become a casualty of Moscow’s increasingly desperate efforts in Ukraine, and its collapse is a strategic and operational blow

SRAD | Dec. 5, 2024

China’s Next Step in Modernizing the People’s Liberation Army: A New Res...

The Chinese Communist Party’s massive active-duty army—the largest in the world—understates the manpower available to the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) during a future protracted war. Despite the hundreds of thousands of combat troops garrisoned

SRAD | Dec. 5, 2024

Pretexts for War and the Preinvasion Crisis in Ukraine

The US strategy in the run-up to the invasion of Ukraine appeared to undermine Russian efforts to justify the war. While studies of international crises typically focus on the goals of deterrence and escalation management, recent events in Ukraine

SRAD | Nov. 26, 2024

China’s Summit Diplomacy: Insights From BRICS, APEC and the G20

From late October through mid-November, China’s President Xi Jinping held high-profile engagements in three very different major international forums: the BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia; the APEC Leadership Forum in Lima, Peru; and the G-20 summit in

SRAD | Nov. 26, 2024

Challenges and Opportunities for U.S.-Mexico Security Cooperation

While policy clashes between the elected governments of Mexico and the United States in the coming years appear likely, the degree to which those tensions degrade the commercial relationship and security cooperation that is vital to both will depend

SRAD | Nov. 21, 2024

Parameters | Winter 2024–25

Welcome to the Winter 2024–25 issue of Parameters. This issue consists of an In Focus special commentary, three forums (Indo-Pacific, Security Cooperation, and Historical Studies), and the regular Civil-Military Relations Corner installment.

SRAD | Nov. 14, 2024

Opidata #8: The BRICS Summit, China, and the Emerging Illiberal Counter-...

The 2024 BRICS summit in Kazan solidified an anti-liberal «counter-order,» challenging the rules-based international system. With its expansion to 23 members, the bloc, financially led by China, seeks to evade global restrictions and advance its

SRAD | Nov. 12, 2024

Security Challenges in the Dutch Caribbean

This work examines security challenges facing the Dutch Caribbean, including narcotrafficking and other forms of organized crime, money laundering, Venezuelan and other refugee flows, and the little-understood activities of criminal groups operating

SRAD | Nov. 7, 2024

Strategic Implication of the Chinese-Operated Port of Chancay

This article examines the Port of Chancay from a strategic perspective, with a focus on how COSCO (China Ocean Shipping Company) achieved unprecedented control over the operation of the new Peruvian megaport, the impact that the port is likely to

SRAD | Nov. 7, 2024

“China, the Illiberal Counter-Order, and the Role of Values in the Strat...

Dr. R. Evan Ellis discusses his recent article written for the Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs titled, “China, the Illiberal Counter-Order, and the Role of Values in the Strategic Response.”  This illuminating discussion covers what China is doing

SRAD | Nov. 6, 2024

Venezuela: The Path Forward

Thanks to the courageous work of the Venezuelan opposition, including obtaining physical and photographic evidence of over 80% of the individual “acts” from Venezuela’s more than 30,000 polling places, the world generally knows that Edmundo Gonzalez

SRAD | Oct. 28, 2024

Paraguay’s Security Challenges and the Government Response

This article analyzes the security challenges in Paraguay and the government response under the administration of Santiago Peña. It argues that Paraguay, despite its strategic location and regional relevance, faces serious security problems due to

SRAD | Oct. 18, 2024

Chile’s Expanding Defense Relationship with China

From September 9-14, 2024, Chilean Defense Minister Maya Fernandez Allende, granddaughter of Chile’s first socialist president Salvador Allende, traveled to the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to attend the 11th annual Xiangshan Defense Forum in

SRAD | Oct. 17, 2024

China in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: A New Dynamic in Critical...

Critical minerals will continue to grow in importance across the globe in the coming decades as technological advancements require greater quantities of these materials. The 2023 US Department of Energy Critical Materials Assessment report listed

SRAD | Oct. 15, 2024

Re-Asserting the Value of the Individual for Latin America’s Security an...

Empowerment of the individual, not the state, is the key to innovation, prosperity, physical and political security for Latin America, as the region engages with an unprecedented array of challenges and new partners.

SRAD | Oct. 9, 2024

PRC Strategic Adaptation in Africa

The People’s Republic of China (PRC)’s expanding security footprint in Africa, marked by increased military cooperation and infrastructure investments, poses a significant challenge to US strategic interests. As outlined in the Department of

SRAD | Oct. 9, 2024

Peace and Unity: China’s Growing Military Footprint in Tanzania

The July and August 2024 Sino-Tanzanian training exercise Peace Unity-2024 (和平团结-2024) provided the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) an opportunity to apply its growing joint expeditionary capability, while also strengthening its relationship with a


SRAD | Sept. 24, 2024

“A Baseline Assessment of the PLA Army's Border Reinforcement Operations...

In episode 18 of CLSC Dialogues, Josh Arostegui interviews prominent China expert Dennis Blasko on his analysis of PLA Army and Boader Defense Unit activity along the Line of Actual Control between China and India. He describes the development of

SRAD | Sept. 23, 2024

Bargaining for Justice: Ukraine, Gaza, and the Ethics of Conflict Termin...

As wars in Ukraine and Gaza continue with little end in sight, the sense of urgency to determine how they should end is increasing, given how the wars could end. A just war aims to establish a better state of peace, but a better state of peace may

SRAD | Sept. 20, 2024

Ukraine in NATO: Beyond the ‘Irreversible Path’

Whether and how NATO might pull Ukraine closer attracted a great deal of attention at the 2024 Washington summit, with the Alliance settling on the formulation of an ‘irreversible path’ towards Kyiv’s membership and pledging to further

SRAD | Sept. 19, 2024

The Role of America’s European Allies in the Russia-Ukraine War, 2022–24

What more can US allies in Europe do to assist Ukraine militarily? More broadly, what can the United States expect from its closest allies in Europe in strategic competition with Russia and China? In this monograph, John R. Deni and Lisa A. Aronsson

SRAD | Sept. 18, 2024

The Growing Significance of China-Russia Defense Cooperation

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s two recent meetings with Chinese President Xi Jinping, especially his visit to Beijing in May, reinforced US and allied concerns about the China-Russia relationship, especially the two countries’ growing security

SRAD | Sept. 13, 2024

Brazil’s Attempt to Control X: The Deterioration of the Liberal World Order

Elon Musk’s clash with the Lula government raises the issue of how to promote democracy and free speech in the new technological era.

SRAD | Sept. 12, 2024

Bolivia and US Dilemmas in Engaging with Problematic Regimes in Latin Am...

I recently had the opportunity to engage with a senior Bolivian colleague connected with the government of Luis Arce regarding the country’s economic and political difficulties and its relationship with the United States. Their fundamental question

SRAD | Aug. 27, 2024

The Impact of the Political Orientation of Latin America, on the Advance...

Latin America is currently undergoing unprecedented political shifts. This phenomenon is characterized by the recent electoral victories of left-ofcenter candidates in Mexico in 2018; Argentina in 2019; Peru, Honduras, and Chile in 2021; and in

SRAD | Aug. 26, 2024

Ukraine has invaded Russia, what happens next?

Ukraine shocked Russia and its allies by launching a surprise attack on the Kursk region and has now seized over 1200 square kilometres of enemy territory. Will this operation prove pivotal for the war or could it turn into a strategic

SRAD | Aug. 26, 2024

Protracted War Series: A Discussion with Markus Garlauskas

In episode 17 of CLSC Dialogues, Markus Garlauskas discusses why we should think about the potential for a protracted war in the Indo-Pacific and what lessons we should be learning from analyzing the topic. He talks about why we should think about

SRAD | Aug. 21, 2024

Satellites in the Russia-Ukraine War 

.adetail.news .article-body { max-width: 90% !important; }Satellites and counterspace systems have shown themselves to be important parts of modern warfare in the Russia-Ukraine War but have also been subject to various restrictions to prevent

SRAD | Aug. 20, 2024

Protracted War Series: A Discussion with COL Marco Lyons

In episode 16 of CLSC Dialogues, COL Marco Lyons discusses how the Pacific Army sees, understands, and utilizes landpower in the region from peacetime to a potential protracted war. He further articulates how the U.S. Army, Pacific conducts

SRAD | Aug. 15, 2024

Russia's Deepening Ties to North Korea: China's Gateway to the Arctic?

Recently, the Moscow Times reported that Russia would coordinate a deal with China and North Korea to allow Chinese ships to navigate through a seventeen-kilometer stretch of the Tumen River to the Rason Special Economic Zone (SEZ) on the Pacific

SRAD | Aug. 14, 2024

AY25 Campaign Planning Handbook

The purpose of this document is to assist United States Army War College students during the Military Strategy and Campaigning (MSC) course. It also serves to assist commanders, planners, and other staff officers in combatant commands (CCMD), joint

SRAD | Aug. 14, 2024

The NATO Strategic Concept on Its Seventy-Fifth Anniversary

| Published by Army University Press Military Review, July-August 2024 |  The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will celebrate its seventy-fifth anniversary at its 2024 summit in Washington, D.C. NATO’s age tells a story of alliance endurance

SRAD | Aug. 8, 2024

Protracted War Series: A discussion with Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens

In episode 15 of CLSC Dialogues, Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens looks at the potential for a protracted war between the US and China by exploring how a conflict could start and variables the CCP leadership may be watching. She then addresses public

SRAD | Aug. 2, 2024

Secrecy and Solidarity: PRC Internal Security Partnerships with Socialis...

Publication: China Brief Volume: 24 Issue: 15, The Jamestown Foundation: Global Research & AnalysisThe People’s Republic of China (PRC) engages in extensive security cooperation with other single-party socialist states. This includes deploying the

SRAD | July 25, 2024

Venezuela’s Elections: Hoping for the Best, Preparing for the Worst

As Venezuela moves toward promised national elections on July 28, my heart is with the hopes of Venezuelans for a miracle that will translate their courageous act of voting, into a restoration of democracy. Everything I have seen unfold in the

SRAD | July 22, 2024

China, the Illiberal Counter-Order, and the Role of Values in the Strate...

The dynamics of the international order in the third decade of the 21st Century are changing profoundly.  The magnitude and complexity of the change are illustrated by Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine, in both its initial failure, and in the ability

SRAD | July 18, 2024

Protracted War Series: A Discussion with Josh Arostegui

In episode 14 of CLSC Dialogues, Josh Arostegui discusses some of the more salient points regarding how prepared the PRC is for a protracted war. He describes how the PLA remains designed to execute large-scale combat operations through the existence

SRAD | July 15, 2024

An Interview with Dennis Blasko

In episode 13 of CLSC Dialogues, Josh Arostegui, and Rick Gunnell interview renowned China expert Dennis Blasko. They discuss the origins of Blasko's interest in China and the PLA, then delve into his research and writing on Chinese landpower. Blasko

SRAD | July 15, 2024

Engagement with China has had a Multifaceted Impact on Latin American De...

While Beijing may not deliberately promote authoritarian regimes in Latin America, implicit risks to the dynamics of democracies arise out of engagement with China.In its public discourse, unlike the Soviet Union during the Cold War, the People’s

SRAD | July 11, 2024

Lieutenant General Robert C. Richardson Jr.: Central Pacific Theater Arm...

Lieutenant General Robert C. Richardson Jr. commanded US Army Forces in Central Pacific Area and US Army Forces, Pacific Ocean Areas. He served as de facto theater Army commander to Admiral Chester W. Nimitz from August 1943 to June 1945, executing

SRAD | July 10, 2024

What’s Behind South Korea’s New Defectors’ Day Holiday?

The inaugural July commemoration is an inflection point and an opportunity for the Yoon government to advance both domestic and foreign policy priorities.On July 14, South Korea will commemorate its inaugural North Korean Defectors’ Day. The new

SRAD | July 8, 2024

NATO’s in Denial about Deterrence by Denial

Taking the necessary steps to fully operationalize deterrence by denial is critical — especially before a possible change in America’s relationship with NATO.Recent revelations that the Chinese government has been substantially aiding Russia’s war

SRAD | July 8, 2024

Paraguay’s Security Challenges and the Government Response

The land-locked South American country of Paraguay receives little attention in Washington D.C. relative to its strategic importance for the region and the U.S. It is larger than Germany, and like Germany, its impact, and the nature of its

SRAD | July 2, 2024

On "War with China: A View from Early 2024"

Episode 12 of CLSC Dialogues: In 2012, the late diplomat and RAND Corporation Senior Fellow James Dobbins wrote an article titled “War with China,” which was published in the journal Survival. The article asserted that there were several potential

SRAD | July 1, 2024

Landpower, Homeland Defense, and Defending Forward in US Indo-Pacific Co...

Homeland defense does not begin at the water’s edge, at least not on the east and west coasts of the United States. In the twenty-first–century geopolitical environment, the definition of homeland defense must now extend well beyond North American

SRAD | June 28, 2024

COMMENTARY: Studying Landpower in the Indo-Pacific

The China Landpower Studies Center at the U.S. Army War College produces research and analysis of China's strategic landpower for U.S. policymakers and military leaders. For many casual observers, the U.S. Army has little to say in how a future war

SRAD | June 27, 2024

A Call to Action: Lessons from Ukraine for the Future Force

The Russia-Ukraine War represents a strategic inflection point that provides valuable insights into the future of war and how the US military must adapt. This book identifies the lessons the US Army must learn from the Russia-Ukraine War as the

SRAD | June 26, 2024

On the 5th Security Force

In episode 11 of CLSC Dialogues, Colonel Rich Butler and Colonel Brandon Teague discuss the 5th Security Force Assistance Brigade and its contributions to the US Indo-Pacific and how persistent presence and advisory roles contribute to the concept of

SRAD | June 24, 2024

PODCAST: Chinese Strategy and Statecraft: Coercion and Competition in th...

What are the objectives of China’s foreign and security policies under Xi Jinping?  What is the role of Australia and other middle powers in responding to Chinese actions in the Indo-Pacific?  Are the United States’ China policies set to change with

SRAD | June 24, 2024

PODCAST: Paramilitaries Abroad: China’s Use of Nontraditional Security F...

Episode 107 of the Irregular Warfare Podcast examines how China uses its paramilitary and internal security forces to project power abroad and build global influence.Our guests begin by dissecting the Chinese security apparatus: contrasting the

SRAD | June 18, 2024

"Arming Allies and Partners: How Foreign Military Sales Can Change the C...

In episode 10 of CLSC Dialogues, MAJ Brennan Deveraux, national security researcher in the Strategic Studies Institute, and Josh Arostegui, research director and chair of the China Landpower Studies Center, discuss Deveraux's recent article, "Arming

SRAD | June 11, 2024

Politics of the North Korean Diaspora

In episode 9 of CLSC Dialogues, Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens discusses her book, Politics of the North Korean Diaspora, which was published by Cambridge University Press in January 2024. The conversation includes a look at how North Korea’s regime

SRAD | June 5, 2024

On Coalition of the unWilling and unAble: European Realignment and the F...

In episode 8, COL Rich Butler and Dr. John Deni discuss Deni's book Coalition of the unWilling and unAble: European Realignment and the Future of American Geopolitics. The conversation addresses Europe's relationship with China and what it means for

SRAD | May 30, 2024

China Center Director Series – China Maritime Studies Institute

In episode 7 of CLSC Dialogues, Christopher Sharman and Dr. Andrew S. Erickson discuss the China Maritime Studies Institute at the Naval War College. Sharman serves as the director of the China Maritime Studies Institute and Erickson—who helped stand

SRAD | May 29, 2024

China Center Director Series – Center for the Study of Chinese Military ...

In episode 6, Dr. Phillip C. Saunders, the director of the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs in the Institute for National Strategic Studies at National Defense University, discusses the organization’s research efforts, product lines,

SRAD | May 29, 2024

Parameters | Summer 2024

The Summer issue is out! In this edition: "What American Policymakers Misunderstand about the Belt and Road Initiative" by Zenel Garcia and Phillip Guerreiro; A Major's Perspective “Professional Discourse Is Shaping the Force”; Civil-Military

SRAD | May 29, 2024

Playing Both Sides of the U.S.-Chinese Rivalry

Why Countries Get External Security from Washington—and Internal Security from BeijingOn a visit to Budapest in late February, China’s minister of public security, Wang Xiaohong, secured a face-to-face meeting with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor

SRAD | May 28, 2024

China Center Director Series – Marine Corps University

Episode 5 of CLSC Dialogues features Daniel Rice, the China political and military strategy subject matter expert at Marine Corps University. In this episode, he explains how Marine Corps University and its Brute Krulak Center for Innovation and

SRAD | May 28, 2024

The New NATO Force Model: Ready For Launch?

Allies are in the process of a dramatic change to the Alliance’s force structure, which will see the NATO Response Force (NRF) replaced with a three tiered structure of Allied forces, to include an Allied Reaction Force (ARF), all of which is

SRAD | May 27, 2024

China Center Director Series – China Aerospace Studies Institute

Episode 4 features Dr. Brendan Mulvaney is the director of the department of the Air Force's China Aerospace Studies Institute (CASI). In this episode, Mulvaney introduces CASI, its mission, researchers, product lines, and more. The organization is

SRAD | May 23, 2024

China-Argentina Space Engagement

This work examines China - Argentine Space Collaboration, with a focus on the PRC Operated Deep Space Radar Facility in Neuquén. It argues that in interest of national development, and in the context of hopes for benefit from Argentina’s broader

SRAD | May 20, 2024

China Center Director Series – China Landpower Studies Center

In episode 3 of CLSC Dialogues, COL Rich Butler, director of the China Landpower Studies Center (CLSC) in the Strategic Studies Institute at the US Army War College, discusses the scope and mission of the CLSC and introduces its researchers and 2024

SRAD | May 13, 2024

Argentina: Security Challenges and the Government Response

Summary: In addition to Argentina’s profound economic crisis, the nation faces serious security challenges. These include use of the country as a drug transit zone, including cocaine from Bolivia and Peru bound for Europe and marijuana from

SRAD | May 1, 2024

Paraguay: A Promising Government Navigating a Perilous Path

The greatest gift that Cartes can give the country and President Peña is to empower Peña to take the real and symbolic steps to frontally tackle corruption. Paraguay, a land-locked country at the heart of South America, is strategically important for

SRAD | April 25, 2024

Now It’s Up to Europe to Take the Lead in Ukraine

Continental security can no longer be outsourced to the U.S., which may soon have other wars to fight.By John R. Deni and Lisa A. AronssonUkrainians are breathing a sigh of relief. Within days, desperately needed ammunition and military equipment

SRAD | April 24, 2024

The Role and Impact of US Army Pacific in the Indo-Pacific Region

In the second episode of CLSC Dialogues: Landpower in the Indo-Pacific, General Charles A. Flynn, commander of US Army Pacific and Colonel Rich Butler, director of the China Landpower Studies Center, discuss the role and impact of the US Army in the

SRAD | April 18, 2024

Emerging Technologies and Terrorism: An American Perspective

In a world where technology is rapidly advancing and available to the masses, companies and policymakers face a daunting reality—non-state actors are using innovation for sinister purposes. While artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomous systems

SRAD | April 17, 2024

Decisive Decade: PRC Global Strategy and the PLA as a Pacing Challenge –...

The US Army War College’s 2023 Conference on the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) was held February 22 to 24, 2023, at Carlisle Barracks, Pennsylvania. The conference, entitled “Decisive Decade: PRC Global Strategy and the PLA as Pacing Challenge,”

SRAD | April 12, 2024

Risk, Rumors, and Reprisals: The Imagined Side of Professional Writing

With the Army’s renewed emphasis on professional writing, a disturbing narrative will likely resurface that publishing is dangerous to an author’s career. While many have articulated the benefits of joining the professional discourse, myself

SRAD | April 11, 2024

War with China: A View from Early 2024

US defense analysts are overdue for a fundamental reassessment of the strategic factors that would shape a future Sino-American war.The United States may lower the overall risk of sparking a war between Washington and Beijing by more formally

SRAD | April 9, 2024

A Baseline Assessment of the PLA Army's Border Reinforcement Operations ...

This report analyzes the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) border reinforcement operation throughout the Aksai Chin and adjacent areas from summer 2020 to early 2021. It is based largely on analysis of Google Earth imagery and provides a baseline for


SRAD | April 4, 2024

At 75, NATO Is Still Worth the Price

Despite achieving notable successes over its seventy-five years of existence, NATO today faces a major challenge. A change in the United States’ commitment could spell the demise of the alliance.The North Atlantic Alliance should justifiably mark the

SRAD | March 28, 2024

Research Handbook on NATO "Collective Defense"

Collective defense is back at center stage for NATO. This is primarily due to Russia’s 2014 invasion of Ukraine, its illegal annexation of Crimea, and the subsequent and more brutal second invasion of 2022, all of which prompted NATO to fundamentally

SRAD | March 27, 2024

New Technologies and Emerging Trends in the Indo-Pacific

In this inaugural episode of CLSC Dialogues: Landpower in the Indo-Pacific, Lieutenant General Xavier T. Brunson, the commanding general of I Corps and Joint Base Lewis-McChord, retired Major General Mick Ryan of the Australian Army, and Colonel Rich

SRAD | March 22, 2024

Implications for Modern Warfighting Concepts: What the US Army Can Learn...

These four historic vignettes provide context and lessons learned for the US Army as it returns to peer conflict. Although history does not account for the cyber and space domains, the leaders involved in the highlighted conflicts dealt with the

SRAD | March 20, 2024

Arming Allies and Partners: How Foreign Military Sales Can Change the Ch...

Allies and partners are “a center of gravity” for the DoD National Defense Strategy in the Indo-Pacific. But are regional nations building military capacity to help the United States prepare for and deter a potential clash with the People’s Republic

SRAD | March 12, 2024

Argentina Political and Economic Challenges

From February 24 through March 2, I traveled to Argentina to speak with government, business and academic experts regarding the situation in the country, including 27 interactions involving some 300 people. Argentina is at a pivotal moment, as its

SRAD | March 5, 2024

EXPLAINER: What Is Article 5 and How Does it Shape NATO’s Ukraine Response?

Sweden, a neutral country for two centuries, is joining NATO in a moveexperts say will have a significant impact on global politics.The Swedish Island of Gotland, located 120 miles southeast of Stockholm and slightly smaller than Rhode Island, is

SRAD | March 4, 2024

Look deeper: Time may be on Ukraine’s side

If Kyiv can hold out through the next winter—a big if—there are trends that run in its favor.Conventional wisdom is that time is on Russia’s side as Ukraine battles to fend off Moscow’s invasion. Although much remains unclear, it seems certain that

SRAD | March 4, 2024

The Case for Containing, Not Coddling, Maduro

From 2019 to 2020, I had the honor of serving on Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s policy planning staff (S/P). One of my priority focus areas was the dictatorship of Nicholas Maduro and the dangers it posed to the Venezuelan people and to the

SRAD | Feb. 26, 2024

China’s Security Engagement in Latin America and the Caribbean

An overview of the characteristics and trends in China’s security engagement in the region, and how it is evolving.China’s activities in the security and defense sector in Latin America and the Caribbean are a small but strategically significant

SRAD | Feb. 20, 2024

Why North Korea Survives

Here’s how the Kim regime has proven so resilient.North Korea’s recent jettisoning of reunification with South Korea as a national goal has raised much speculation about Pyongyang’s goals and strategy. Relatively overlooked in recent debates over

SRAD | Feb. 16, 2024

China-Latin America Space Cooperation: An Overview

As China has increased its political and economic cooperation with Latin America, it has also expanded its space engagement with the region.In September 2023, during a visit to China, Venezuelan President Nicholas Maduro announced an agreement in

SRAD | Feb. 14, 2024

CMSI Note #4: Deck Cargo Ships: Another Option for a Cross-Strait Invasion

CMSI Perspectives and Key Take-Aways: In addition to RO-RO ferries, the PLA also uses another class of RO-RO ship, the deck cargo ship, in sea transport training exercises. Deck cargo ships are widely used in China’s ocean engineering and

SRAD | Feb. 8, 2024

PRC Engagement with Latin America, and Central and Eastern Europe: Compa...

PRC Engagement with Latin America, and Central and Eastern Europe: Comparisons and Insights R. Evan Ellis Over the past twenty years, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has expanded its political, institutional, economic, and other forms of

SRAD | Feb. 8, 2024

The Mixed Message About China's Economy

Chinese Premier Li Qiang spoke this week at the World Economic Forum in Switzerland, saying the Chinese economy was doing just fine. Signals out of Beijing have been conveying a different message.SHEENA CHESTNUT GREITENS: So I think that the idea

SRAD | Feb. 6, 2024

Argentina's Milei Returns Idea of Limited Gov't to Global Stage In Latin...

The nine most terrifying words in the English language are:I'm from the Government, and I'm here to help.— Ronald Reagan - Aug. 12, 1986Most Argentines did not elect eclectic libertarian Javier Milei in November 2023 because they understood his

SRAD | Feb. 2, 2024

Strategic Implications of the Deterioration of the Rules-Based Internati...

The multiple crises currently playing out in Ukraine, the Middle East, the Taiwan straits, and even Guyana’s Essequibo region, reflect a deterioration of the rules-based international order that has served as the foundation for economic growth,

SRAD | Jan. 25, 2024

International Competition in the High North: Kingston Conference on Inte...

Editors: Michael E. Lynch, Howard G. CoombsThe 16th annual Kingston Consortium on International Security conference, “International Competition in the High North,” took place on October 11–13, 2022, in Kingston, Ontario, Canada. The conference