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External Article
What is Strategic Rivalry? Why Should We Care?
April 9, 2026
— The states most likely to draw America into its next major crisis or war are not unknowns. They are the usual suspects: The same handful of states that have threatened the United States repeatedly across decades. Interstate rivals have caused roughly 80 percent of history’s wars and the odds of any given rivalry ending peacefully are little better than a coin toss. Yet America’s key strategy documents since the 2017 National Security Strategy have used phrases like great power competition, interstate strategic competition, and strategic competition without acknowledging the essential difference between a competition and a rivalry...
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If China Attacks Taiwan: Beijing Risks Social Instability in a Conflict
February 4, 2026
— A conversation between Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens, Dr. Jake Rinaldi, and Bonnie Glaser on the risk of domestic social instability for Beijing if China attacked Taiwan. A podcast from The German Marshall Fund of the United States...
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Preparing for PRC Military Actions in Latin America in the Context of a War in the Indo-Pacific
October 16, 2025
— Within the new book by the U.S. Military Academy Modern Warfare Institute, “Expecting the Unexpected: Essays on Strategic Surprise in the 21st Century” comes a chapter from Dr. R. Evan Ellis: “Preparing for PRC Military Actions in Latin America in the Context of a War in the Indo-Pacific.”...
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Peru’s Complex Security Challenges and the Government Response
October 14, 2025
— "From September 13 through 21, 2025, the author traveled to Lima, Peru for an event bring them together faculty from the US Army War College and it’s alumni from Peru and across the region. There, he spoke to a wide range of Peruvian security experts about the country’s challenges and the response of its government and security forces. This work relays the insights from those conversations."...
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Global Public Security with Chinese Characteristics
September 30, 2025
— A conversation between Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Bonnie Glaser on China's Global Security Initiative...
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